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CMG Venture

@cmgventure.bsky.social

πŸ‘¨β€πŸ’Ό Engineering/Finance background 🏝 FI/RE at 34 πŸ“¬ Sharing my EDGE in the market to 20k+ investors. Join the IE newsletter for FREE πŸ‘‡ https://www.cmgventuregroup.com/links

68 Followers  |  6 Following  |  634 Posts  |  Joined: 14.11.2024  |  1.7164

Latest posts by cmgventure.bsky.social on Bluesky

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$DKS | Dick's is -4.7% this morning.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $4.38 vs. $4.30 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $3.65B vs. $3.61B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Comp sales: +5% YoY
πŸ”Έ Inventory: +7% YoY
πŸ”Έ FY revenue outlook: $13.85B ($13.8B prior)
πŸ”Έ FY EPS outlook: $14.20 ($14.10 prior)

28.08.2025 14:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$DG | Dollar General is -2.2% this morning.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $1.86 vs. $1.58 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $10.73B vs. $10.68B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Consumables revenue: +5% YoY
πŸ”Έ Same store sales: +2.8% YoY
πŸ”Έ Inventory: -6% YoY
πŸ”Έ FY EPS outlook: ~$6.05 ($5.50 prior)
πŸ”Έ FY revenue outlook: ~+4.6% YoY (+4.2% prior)

28.08.2025 14:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$CRWD | CrowdStrike is -7.5% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $0.93 vs. $0.83 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $1.17B vs. $1.15B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Subscription revenue: +20% YoY
πŸ”Έ ARR: +20% YoY
πŸ”Έ Record cash: $4.97B
πŸ”Έ Acquired Onum Technology
πŸ”Έ FY EPS outlook: ~$3.66 ($3.50 prior)
πŸ”Έ Q3 revenue outlook: ~$1.21B

27.08.2025 20:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$NVDA | Nvidia is -3.0% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $1.05 vs. $1.01 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $46.74B vs. $46.05B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Data center revenue: +56% YoY
πŸ”Έ Gaming revenue: +49% YoY
πŸ”Έ Gross margin: 72.4%
πŸ”Έ Announced $60B in buybacks
πŸ”Έ Q3 revenue outlook: $54.0B
πŸ”Έ Q3 gross margin outlook: 73.3%

27.08.2025 20:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$DE | Deere & Co is -5.8% this morning.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $4.75 vs. $4.58 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $12.02B vs. $10.35B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Production rev: -16% YoY
πŸ”Έ Small ag rev: -1% YoY
πŸ”Έ Financial rev: -5% YoY
πŸ”Έ FY net income outlook: $4.75B-$5.25B
πŸ”Έ FY revenue outlook: -10% to -15% YoY across all segments

14.08.2025 12:18 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$CSCO | Cisco is -2.7% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $0.99 vs. $0.98 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $14.67B vs. $14.62B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Networking revenue: +12% YoY
πŸ”Έ Security revenue: +9% YoY
πŸ”Έ RPO: $43.5B (+6% YoY)
πŸ”Έ FY revenue outlook: $59.0B-$60.0B
πŸ”Έ FY EPS outlook: $2.79-$2.91

13.08.2025 20:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$ABNB | Airbnb is +0.4% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $1.03 vs. $0.94 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $3.10B vs. $3.03B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Nights/experiences booked: +7% YoY
πŸ”Έ Gross booking value: +11% YoY
πŸ”Έ Adj EBITDA: +17% YoY
πŸ”Έ FY EBITDA margin outlook: 34.5%
πŸ”Έ Q3 revenue outlook: $4.06B (+9% YoY)

06.08.2025 20:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$DIS | Disney is -2.0% this morning.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $1.61 vs. $1.45 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $23.65B vs. $23.69B est. πŸ”΄

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Entertainment revenue: +1% YoY
πŸ”Έ Experiences revenue: +8% YoY
πŸ”Έ Disney+ subs: 128M (+21% YoY)
πŸ”Έ FY EPS outlook: $5.85 ($5.75 prior)
πŸ”Έ Q4 Disney+ subs outlook: +10M QoQ

06.08.2025 13:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$MCD | McDonald's is +3.4% this morning.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $3.19 vs. $3.14 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $6.84B vs. $6.70B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Company revenue: Flat YoY
πŸ”Έ Franchise revenue: +7% YoY
πŸ”Έ Global comp sales: +3.8% YoY
πŸ”Έ US sales: +2.5% YoY
πŸ”Έ Systemwide sales: +8% YoY

06.08.2025 13:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$SHOP | Shopify is +14.7% this morning.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $0.35 vs. $0.29 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $2.68B vs. $2.58B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Merchant revenue: +37% YoY
πŸ”Έ Gross merch volume: +31% YoY
πŸ”Έ Free cash flow margin: 16%
πŸ”Έ Q3 profit outlook: +21% to +23% YoY
πŸ”Έ Q3 revenue outlook: +25% to +27% YoY

06.08.2025 12:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$UBER | Uber is -0.4% this morning.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $0.63 vs. $0.63 est. 🟠
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $12.65B vs. $12.47B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Mobility revenue: +19% YoY
πŸ”Έ Gross bookings: +17% YoY
πŸ”Έ MAUs: 180M (+15% YoY)
πŸ”Έ Q3 bookings outlook: ~$49.0B (+19% YoY)
πŸ”Έ Q3 adj EBITDA outlook: ~$2.14B (+33% YoY)

06.08.2025 12:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$AMD | AMD is -3.4% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $0.48 vs. $0.48 est. 🟠
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $7.69B vs. $7.41B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Data center revenue: +14% YoY
πŸ”Έ Client revenue: +67% YoY
πŸ”Έ Gaming revenue: +73% YoY
πŸ”Έ Q3 margin outlook: 54.0%
πŸ”Έ Q3 revenue outlook: $8.4B-$9.0B

05.08.2025 20:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$PLTR | Palantir is +3.8% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $0.16 vs. $0.14 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $1.00B vs. $937.7M est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ US gov't revenue: +53% YoY
πŸ”Έ US commercial revenue: +93% YoY
πŸ”Έ Record contract wins: $2.3B TCV (+140% YoY)
πŸ”Έ FY rev outlook: $4.146B ($3.9B prior)
πŸ”Έ Q3 rev outlook: $1.085B

04.08.2025 20:26 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$CVX | Chevron beat earnings and revenue estimates in Q2. The stock is +1.0% this morning.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $1.77 vs. $1.73 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $44.82B vs. $43.87B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Upstream earnings: -39% YoY
πŸ”Έ Downstream earnings: +23% YoY
πŸ”Έ Production: +3% YoY
πŸ”Έ FY capex outlook: $15.0B

01.08.2025 13:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$XOM | Exxon Mobil beat earnings and revenue estimates in Q2. The stock is -0.8% this morning.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $1.64 vs. $1.57 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $81.51B vs. $80.70B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Upstream earnings: -20% YoY
πŸ”Έ Energy earnings: -22% YoY
πŸ”Έ Production: +14% YoY
πŸ”Έ FY capex outlook: $27.0B-$29.0B

01.08.2025 13:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

NFP revisions to previous months are wild:

June: was 147k --> now 14k
May: was 144k --> now 19k

Total number of cuts = -258k

01.08.2025 12:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Nonfarm payrolls were weaker than expected, but May/June data saw massive revisions

πŸ”Ή Nonfarm payrolls: 73K vs. 104K est. (14K prior*)
πŸ”Έ Average Hourly Earnings MoM: 0.3% vs. 0.3% est. (0.2% prior)
πŸ”Έ Average Hourly Earnings YoY: 3.9% vs. 3.8% est. (3.9% prior)

01.08.2025 12:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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$AAPL | Apple is +2.6% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $1.57 vs. $1.43 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $94.04B vs. $89.35B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ iPhone revenue: +14% YoY
πŸ”Έ Services revenue: +13% YoY
πŸ”Έ Accessories revenue: +13% YoY
πŸ”Έ Mac revenue: +15% YoY
πŸ”Έ iPad revenue: -8% YoY
πŸ”Έ China revenue: +4% YoY

31.07.2025 20:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$AMZN | Amazon is -4.7% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $1.68 vs. $1.33 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $167.70B vs. $162.19B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ N. America rev: +11% YoY
πŸ”Έ International rev: +16% YoY
πŸ”Έ AWS rev: +18% YoY
πŸ”Έ Q3 revenue outlook: $174.0B-$179.5B (+12% YoY)
πŸ”Έ Q3 op. income outlook: $15.5B-$20.5B (+3% YoY)

31.07.2025 20:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$ABBV | AbbVie is +2.5% this morning.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $2.97 vs. $2.88 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $15.42B vs. $15.03B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Humira revenue: -58% YoY
πŸ”Έ Skyrizi revenue: +62% YoY
πŸ”Έ Rinvoq revenue: +42% YoY
πŸ”Έ FY EPS outlook: $11.88-$12.08 (~$11.77 prior)

31.07.2025 14:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$MA | Mastercard is +3.1% this morning.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $4.15 vs. $4.03 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $8.13B vs. $7.93B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Payment network revenue: +13% YoY
πŸ”Έ Services revenue: +23% YoY
πŸ”Έ Gross dollar volume: +9% YoY
πŸ”Έ Cross border volume: +15% YoY
πŸ”Έ Q3/FY revenue outlook: +15% to +17% YoY

31.07.2025 14:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Jobless claims were lower than expected last week

πŸ”Ή Initial Jobless Claims: 218K vs. 224K est. (217K prior*)
πŸ”Έ Continuing Claims: 1.946M vs. 1.953M est. (1.946M prior*)

31.07.2025 13:24 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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PCE month-over-month was in-line with estimates, as last month's data was revised higher

πŸ”Ή PCE MoM: 0.3% vs. 0.3% est. (0.2% prior)
πŸ”Έ Core PCE MoM: 0.3% vs. 0.3% est. (0.2% prior)

31.07.2025 13:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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PCE was hotter than expected in June while May data was revised higher

πŸ”Ή PCE YoY: 2.6% vs. 2.5% est. (2.4% prior*)
πŸ”Έ Core PCE YoY: 2.8% vs. 2.7% est. (2.8% prior*)

31.07.2025 13:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$LRCX | Lam Research is +2.1% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $1.33 vs. $1.21 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $5.17B vs. $5.00B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Systems revenue: +58% YoY
πŸ”Έ China revenue: +20% YoY
πŸ”Έ Deferred revenue: $2.7B
πŸ”Έ Q1 revenue outlook: $4.9B-$5.5B
πŸ”Έ Q1 EPS outlook: $1.10-$1.30

30.07.2025 21:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$QCOM | Qualcomm is -4.5% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $2.77 vs. $2.71 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $10.37B vs. $10.34B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ QCT revenue: +11% YoY
πŸ”Έ QTL revenue: +4% YoY
πŸ”Έ Handsets revenue: +7% YoY
πŸ”Έ Q4 EPS outlook: $2.75-$2.95
πŸ”Έ Q4 revenue outlook: $10.3B-$11.1B

30.07.2025 20:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$META | Meta is +9.6% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $7.14 vs. $5.88 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $47.52B vs. $44.81B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Advertising revenue: +21% YoY
πŸ”Έ Capex: +108% YoY
πŸ”Έ Daily active users: 3.48B
πŸ”Έ Q3 revenue outlook: ~$49.0B
πŸ”Έ FY capex outlook: ~$69.0B ($68.0B prior)

30.07.2025 20:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$MSFT | Microsoft beat earnings and revenue estimates in Q4. The stock is +6.5% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $3.65 vs. $3.37 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $76.44B vs. $73.86B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Intelligent Cloud revenue: +26% YoY
πŸ”Έ Azure/Cloud services: +39% YoY
πŸ”Έ Productivity revenue: +16% YoY

30.07.2025 20:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$SBUX | Starbucks missed earnings estimates in Q3. The stock is +5.0% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $0.50 vs. $0.65 est. πŸ”΄
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $9.46B vs. $9.29B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ N. America revenue: +2% YoY
πŸ”Έ US comp sales: -2% YoY
πŸ”Έ Int'l comp sales: Flat YoY
πŸ”Έ Global transactions: -2% YoY

29.07.2025 20:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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$V | Visa is -2.2% after-hours.

πŸ”Ή EPS: $2.98 vs. $2.85 est. βœ…
πŸ”Ή Revenue: $10.17B vs. $9.85B est. βœ…

Key takeaways:
πŸ”Έ Service revenue: +9% YoY
πŸ”Έ Data process revenue: +15% YoY
πŸ”Έ Payment volume: +8% YoY
πŸ”Έ Q4 EPS outlook: +8% to +12% YoY
πŸ”Έ FY revenue outlook: +10% to +12% YoY

29.07.2025 20:26 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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