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Suz Tolwinski-Ward

@suztw.bsky.social

Cat risk modeling of atmospheric perils, and accounting for climatic nonstationarity therein; physics + statistics matchmaking; Mom, yogi & New-Englandah.

1,924 Followers  |  289 Following  |  30 Posts  |  Joined: 17.08.2024  |  1.8528

Latest posts by suztw.bsky.social on Bluesky

What a beautiful visualization!

01.07.2025 14:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Huge opportunity to try to reach Weather Channel viewers on the importance of supporting the science their reporting depends upon?

31.05.2025 13:47 β€” πŸ‘ 70    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Familiar with use of dropsonds in TCs… assume these are dropped by drones? What’re the little stick thingies in the styro cups actually measuring?

31.05.2025 15:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

High-level explanation of a hailsonde for civilian science fan?

31.05.2025 15:48 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Dooope. Is raw data available to public? Or I gotta wait?!?

31.05.2025 15:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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On Thursday, the #ICECHIP teams performed an impressive hail sampling effort on a storm to the south of Lubbock, Texas. Hail reports from our teams can always be found here on our website: icechip.niu.edu/reports/

30.05.2025 14:14 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Simply incredible satellite imagery of a dust storm hitting Chicago this evening.

17.05.2025 01:31 β€” πŸ‘ 699    πŸ” 199    πŸ’¬ 30    πŸ“Œ 36

This is hella cool!

19.05.2025 01:34 β€” πŸ‘ 57    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This all-out assault is just relentless….

14.04.2025 22:54 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Brewing tornados and wildfires… potential for a real expensive few days, according to @walkerashley.bsky.social. Stay safe, folks.

15.03.2025 00:14 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
NASA Intern Found Hope in the Moon - NASA Lee esta historia en espaΓ±ol aquΓ­

This profile has been scrubbed from the site. Rose Ferreira grew up without reliable electricity, immigrated to NY, then survived homelessness and cancer on her way to NASA. She was so moved by images from the Webb telescope she wept. This is what’s at stake

web.archive.org/web/20231206...

08.02.2025 17:07 β€” πŸ‘ 9170    πŸ” 3311    πŸ’¬ 153    πŸ“Œ 258

Here is another #Bluesky starter pack with scientists who were involved in the @ipcc.bsky.social #AR6 reports (with a likely WGI bias). Please let me know if I missed you!
go.bsky.app/Erpq9Sq
@valmasdel.bsky.social @edhawkins.org @glenpeters.bsky.social @lisaschipper.bsky.social

12.11.2024 22:55 β€” πŸ‘ 459    πŸ” 199    πŸ’¬ 48    πŸ“Œ 13

My wish for the future: 1) government data sets receive DOIs and 2) data.gov facilitates automatic mirroring of the entire archive.

31.01.2025 12:41 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Lehigh University, Research Full service online faculty recruitment and application management system for academic institutions worldwide. We offer unique solutions tailored for academic communities.

Tenure track positions in Natural Hazards Modeling at Lehigh University’s Center for Catastrophe Modeling and Resilience academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/29144

02.12.2024 22:20 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

You gotta teach me how to wrangle these interwebs like this. Soβ€” in the end, did you get anything out of AGU via this method?

12.01.2025 22:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I dont understand your implicit connection between public availability and capacity for building/operationalizing…

10.01.2025 11:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

We are working toward full-scale climate cat models quite hard in my organization. Lots of exciting progress but the ultimate goal of unified risk view everywhere is still many years away.

10.01.2025 00:49 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Exactly why (at least at the company I work for) we dont spend nearly as the resources on projections of risk! Can only provide physically plausible and scientifically reasonable sketches, but the sci uncertainty is too huge to validate.

10.01.2025 00:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@adamsobel.bsky.social took a stab at this about a decade ago. But it didn’t take offβ€”- because who’s to be the arbiter of model quality?? Other than proven use over time…

10.01.2025 00:20 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Some of it is publicly available. I am always astounded that nobody outside the modeling companies who purports to be interested in building cat models ever looks at it, or what the required exhibits are….

10.01.2025 00:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Repost this if you’re old enough to remember when they tried to convince us that β€œglobal warming stopped in 2008” (or whenever).

11.11.2024 17:12 β€” πŸ‘ 787    πŸ” 350    πŸ’¬ 31    πŸ“Œ 37
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Probabilistic Uncertainty xkcd.com/3007

05.11.2024 03:10 β€” πŸ‘ 7609    πŸ” 1132    πŸ’¬ 69    πŸ“Œ 62

Oooooh, aaaah.

…But what differentiates it? (And did we need another better one and I just haven’t known about that?)

28.10.2024 18:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks!

22.10.2024 09:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Aerial photo of the Shenandoah and Potomac rivers converging. Green tree-covered hill on the left, the town of Harper’s Ferry in the middle. Two bridges cross the water. The Shenandoah on the left is murky brown; the Potomac is green-blue. A sharp line between them.

Aerial photo of the Shenandoah and Potomac rivers converging. Green tree-covered hill on the left, the town of Harper’s Ferry in the middle. Two bridges cross the water. The Shenandoah on the left is murky brown; the Potomac is green-blue. A sharp line between them.

Incredible photo via Potomac Riverkeeper today (credit: Nathan Hitt) of the Shenandoah River, muddy with polluted runoff from Helene, meeting the Potomac at Harper’s Ferry.

02.10.2024 19:45 β€” πŸ‘ 861    πŸ” 362    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 17

A time series trace is worth a thousand words…

01.10.2024 09:47 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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#Helene made landfall ~11pm Thursday night in the Big Bend area of Florida as a Category 4 hurricane and as of 5am Friday is centered over central Georgia. Significant impacts from rain, tornadoes, and strong winds will continue over the next 1-2 days.
www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...

27.09.2024 10:12 β€” πŸ‘ 48    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

β€œAs the prospect of a major hurricane menaces much of Florida, a quick reminder: Under Project 2025, that controversial right-wing blueprint for a GOP-led national government, the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration would be dismantled”

www.miamiherald.com/opinion/edit...

26.09.2024 20:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks @scottstgeorge.paleohydrology.com !

25.09.2024 10:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Please let me know if you learn anything new or if anything surprises you!!!

25.09.2024 10:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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