Mikkel Stein Knudsen

It strikes me that I have no idea what to do after Hormuz is closed because every time we got to this phase in discussions or simulations I read people just said “oh man the economy” and went back up the game tree

17% still meeting *that* definition is wild.

Det skal jo fx ikke eskalere særligt meget, før det vil være en decideret bombe midt i den danske valgkamp. [Også selv om det måske/måske-ikke senere deeskalerer.]

Det er ikke min fornemmelse, at erkendelsen af dét scenarie har spredt sig særligt meget, ikke endnu i hvert fald.

Nej, mere seriøst er det jo svært at se nogen aktørs interesse i et worst case-udkomme, og det politiske ansvar kan placeres ret entydigt. Også ved midtvejsvalg.

Men at situationen er så vild er i den grad opsigtsvækkende - og selv en mild udgave af det skitserede vil føles som et jordskælv.

Du har formentligt ret. Håber jeg 🙃

Memory Card Technology endte med seks års fængsel til direktøren og stifteren.

IT Factory endte med syv års fængsel til direktøren og stifteren.

Er det alle gode gange tre for en dansk IT-virksomhed i cykelsport, eller ser vi nu ind i otte års fængsel?

Danmark er ved at løbe tør for strøm – men elbilerne er ikke synderen Danmarks elnet er så presset, at Energinet nu sætter nye tilslutninger på pause. Men selv om mange peger på elbilerne, er det i virkeligheden enorme datacentre, batteriparker og Power-to-X-projekter, ...

😳⚡️

Enorme datacentre, batteriparker og Power-to-X-projekter, der trækker tænder ud af det danske elsystem

Hvis alle projekterne blev realiseret, ville Danmarks elforbrug blive otte gange større end i dag.

www.inputmag.dk/danmark-er-v...

A map showing where Europe’s peatlands are located. Many bogs, fens and mires are concentrated around NATO’s borders with Russia and Belarus. Map colours show percentage of peat cover per soil mapping unit. From https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-defense-kyiv-ukraine-nato-eu-bogs-poland-war-germany/

And oh boy do we have peatlands to rewild!

This is such a brilliant idea.

How to build natural defenses against evil, expansionist neighbours? Let a thousand peatlands bloom.

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Ændringer i afviklingen af årets Slutspil

FIFA er ofte et gratis bud.

Således også i dag: superliga.dk/nyheder/pres...

Sometimes I think an explicit carbon tax might work for climate.

Hvad kan vi lære af Finland?

Slide: Left side: Financial Times March 28 2022: "War with Russia? Finland has a plan for that" Right side: The Economist, February 24 2026: "A stay-calm plan to save the world."

Forberedelse.

Jeg forstår godt dine første sætninger, men i den sidste del er underforstået, at kommende valg ikke bare bliver endnu mærkeligere og vildere.

Det virker som en modig antagelse pt.

Spændende rapport - og nu begynder vi at kunne se en nogle tendenser (svært med tidsserier på få nedslag 🙂).

Interessant skifte på tværs af generationer ift. tillid - selvom ændringerne er små.

#dktech #dkforsk #dkvid

(Den sidste viser andelen der er positive - det bliver forklaret i rapporten)

What this does to military A.I. capabilities is beyond the brief of this newsletter, except to say that I think it’s “bad” for Grok, the pedophile mechahitler A.I., to be involved with weapons in really any way. What I am interested in, here, is what this reveals about the state of politics in Silicon Valley. In a sentence, I think what’s happening is (1) basic (i.e. normal) cutthroat competition between rival firms for government contracts, which is both driving and being driven by (2) an open and ongoing political-ideological dispute between two factions of Silicon Valley capital, which is in turn informing and being informed by (3) an almost religious disagreement about the nature of the god being built on the computer.

To start, it seems quite obvious that the Tech Right--a bloc of right-wing, Trump-aligned executives, investors, podcasters, Twitter personalities, firms, and companies, among them Palantir’s Joe Lonsdale and Alex Karp, Anduril’s Palmer Luckey, and, of course, xAI’s Elon Musk--with its extensive links to the administration, has been exerting behind-the-scenes pressure on Hegseth and the Pentagon to sever ties with or otherwise punish Anthropic. It was a Palantir executive, after all, who snitched on Anthropic to the D.o.D., and Hegseth’s speech in January about “objectively truthful AI capabilities” was a close echo of Musk’s ramblings about his “maximally truth-seeking” model Grok. The Tech Right’s contempt for Anthropic is first and foremost financial in nature. Musk, obviously, would like xAI to be first in line for any government contracts. (Indeed, Hegseth announced a deal with xAI this week to use Grok under the Pentagon’s preferred “all lawful use” terms.) And I suspect Palantir, Anthropic client though it may be, has the same existential fear of Claude as McKinsey or Salesforce or any other consultancy or software-as-a-service provider. If Anthropic is aggressively courting the D.o.D. to contract directly, and if Claude is as good as every thinks, what does Palantir’s future as a data-analytics-in-camo platform actually look like?

This doesn’t necessarily separate him from any other Silicon Valley liberal. But I think it’s good to attend to the valence of his liberalism. Amodei, like most of the Anthropic executives and many people in the A.I. in general, has long been associated with the worlds of Bay Area Rationalism and Effective Altruism--wonkily utilitarian philosophical and philanthropic practices focused on self-described rationalist inquiry and self-improvement. Bay Area Rationalism is a loose and diverse movement, containing a host of political perspectives, but it’s always had a particular concern with moral philosophy as it relates to the expected development of artificial superintelligence. To be a Rationalist liberal democrat (small-L small-D), e.g., might mean orienting your liberal democrat-ness toward its practical applications around the eschatological scenario of hard-takeoff A.G.I.

I don’t mean to suggest that Amodei’s commitments to liberal democracy are inauthentic. More that, as far he is concerned the stakes of this commitment go well beyond his own moral or ethical culpability. The decisions he makes now, and his consistent practice to his espoused beliefs, could mean the difference between a benevolent computer god and a wrathful one. X avatar for @hlntnr Helen Toner @hlntnr One thing the Pentagon is very likely underestimating: how much Anthropic cares about what *future Claudes* will make of this situation. Because of how Claude is trained, what principles/values/priorities the company demonstrate here could shape its "character" for a long time. Andrew Curran @AndrewCurran_ Update on the meeting; according to Axios Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth gave Dario Amodei until Friday night to give the military unfettered access to Claude or face the consequences, which may even include invoking the Defense Production Act to force the training of a WarClaude 4:26 PM · Feb 25, 2026 · 227K Views 41 Replies · 122 Reposts · 1.96K Likes And this has placed him, and Anthropic, on a collision course with the Tech Right. Musk, too, believes he is bringing superintelligence into existence at xAI. But for him the urgenct imp

one way of seeing anthropic vs. the pentagon is as a fissure between the two silicon valley tribes most enthusiastic about ai: "rationalists" and "accelerationists"

maxread.substack.com/p/what-anthr...

Som min far plejer at sige: Det er farligt at leve. Man kan dø af det.

SOURCE: https://espas.secure.europarl.europa.eu/orbis/system/files/generated/document/en/Under2_DestructionMunich_Security_Report_2026%20%28002%29.pdf

SOURCE: https://espas.secure.europarl.europa.eu/orbis/system/files/generated/document/en/Under2_DestructionMunich_Security_Report_2026%20%28002%29.pdf, p. 92.

In 2024, global official development assistance (ODA) fell for the first time in five years - by 7.1 percent.

In 2025, it dropped even more sharply (9-17 percent per OECD).

*Then* came the radical US cuts. Now UN is, with SG Guterres' words, "in a race to bankruptcy"

#Signalsforchangingworlds 29

Uppgifter: Hotbild mot energisystemen för hela Norden Främmande makt pekas ut • FRA bekräftar ökad vaksamhet

This won't get much attention in Denmark today, but it probably should. The entire Nordic energy system (apparently) under threat.

www.tv4.se/artikel/2aNm...

Det virker rimeligt. Man bør også kunne arbejde med stemmeclearing, så én udvalgt almindelig borger stemmer på vegne af en udlandsprof.

Hvem ville ikke udlåne sin stemme til en landsholdskæmpe?

Der er vel kun en håndfuld, der har stemmeret? Så (fra seneste trup) er det Billing, Isaksen, Froholdt, Høgsberg eller Hermansen, der stemmer Fonseca? Og hvad stemmer de andre i øvrigt?

Det er generelt en fordel for mange politiske eksperter og lignende, tror jeg, at ingen almindelige mennesker kan huske - eller går op i - eksperternes forudsigelser.

Det var så på den her måde, at TLP fandt ud, at de andre partiledere planlægger en surprise 50-års fødselsdagsfest for ham i marts.

Eller, nu hvor TLP har læst om mødet i avisen, så gør de i hvert fald.

Medmindre Troels Lund Poulsen forladte mødet vældigt talende, så har han nok sendt samme screenshot og samme spørgsmål rundt.

Great piece. Remarkable figure.

And academic paper on TDF-temperatures from here: bsky.app/profile/inrn...

Temperatures from here: bsky.app/profile/serg...

Record-breaking with +20 degrees in Chamonix and almost 30 degrees in the Pyrenees. Good luck for future winter sports.

Temperatures in France, source in following skeet.

Source: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-30129-8

Still winter and cold up here in the north, but we're on the verge of cycling's opening weekend.

Two topical reminders that the climate - and with that, also outdoor sports - is changing. Already 25.5 degrees in central 🇫🇷 yesterday + new academic paper out this week.

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