Danbischof

The critique of unmeasured confounding is often levied in a lazy/broad way. It is trivially true in any observational study. But if the critic can't think of a plausible such confounder and posit a reasonable direction/magnitude of its bias then they're not doing productive science.

Thx for having me! Looking very much forward to this:

I have been trying to summarize social psychology research on anti-immigrant sentiment for 3 weeks now. While I can summarize families of results based on types of designs, I still struggle to summarize the theory used to make sense of results. Anybody has a clearly written piece they can recommend?

thx!

Call for applications for a 3 years doctoral contract For the ERC GREENLOSS Project - Application deadline: May 17, 2026

📢 JOB ALERT! Fully funded 3-year PhD in Climate & Comparative Politics at @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social. Starting in September.
The project is on the political consequences of climate policies in carbon-intensive communities across Europe.
🗓 Deadline: May 17
www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...

Zu echt. Hagel fand 2018, es gäbe "schlimmere Termine für einen 29jährigen Abgeordneten *grins*" als eine Realschulklasse mit 80% "Mädchen" zu besuchen. Von Eva, die höchstens 16 war, mit "braunem Haar und rehbraunen Augen", war er anscheinend auch angetan.

Immer schade, wenn das Bild so passt

Strong Facebook vibes. This is bad, why?

So, LinkedIn…really? Puh 😮‍💨

We‘re very excited for the next edition of the Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim! ✨

Join us and apply until 1 March!

More info in @melinscribe.bsky.social‘s thread below and here: summerschoolwpm.org

Application form: sosci.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/wpm/

This is crazy. It would have taken years! of work:

Auf @soziopolis.bsky.social ist heute das Dossier zu strategischer Prozessführung erschienen, das ich mit Verena Frick herausgebe. Sechs Autorinnen beleuchten strategische Klagen aus unterschiedlichen Perspektiven: www.soziopolis.de/dossier/stra...

Russia, Venezuela, Iran, China, the Sahel region, the United States ...

Want to know why state agents carry out brutal repression — or participate in illegal coups?

Our new book "Making a Career in Dictatorship" provides answers — it just got published by @academic.oup.com:

tinyurl.com/ystwm3tf

I'm not dropping the name but you can guess who I'm thinking of...

This is already happening. Aarhus pol sci stopped teaching stata, license sure will follow. Many German unis stopped stata licenses.

This is done. Staying with stata is high risk now.

Die Grundstruktur der Rede: Wer die AfD verbieten will, wolle "rechte" Politik generell verbieten und sei damit selbst der Demokratiefeind. Wir kennen diese Argumentation, man nennt sie "Strohmann". Art. 21 GG fragt nicht, ob eine Partei links oder rechts ist. Es geht um die Verfassungswidrigkeit.

Exactly what he says:

But you do have an AI subscription? Also: many unis already started implanting own AIs, no?

Also: ppl a) need to know about IVF (correlated with education/social status?) b) usually self-paid?

But: IVF might also mean these women tried to get pregnant for a long time already.

Pretty clever idea to get at the selection effects into motherhood. Must read:

‘Handmaid’s Tale future’: Reform’s Matt Goodwin sparks outcry with fertility comments Byelection candidate accused of indulging ‘alt right fantasy’ by suggesting women need ‘biological reality’ check

“I long for the days when a midlife crisis for men meant getting a motorbike and a leather jacket, not trying to get elected to indulge alt right fantasies about ensuring women were pregnant as soon as they were fertile and then didn’t go to university"

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

Niemand:

Berliner*innen: Klar kann ich dich besuchen ich bin sofort in 60 Minuten da

Very glad that our first DEMNORM paper found such a great home at @thejop.bsky.social. If you’re interested in the role of social desirability in online surveys, check out the thread and paper below ⬇️

Thanks, Alex!

Thrilled about our first DEMNORM paper and that it has been conditionally accepted at @thejop.bsky.social!

#thx!

This might be interesting for: @mamalik.bsky.social @eliasdinas.bsky.social @dziblatt.bsky.social @amaliaab.bsky.social @valentimvicente.bsky.social

URL: osf.io/preprints/os...

Thanks: Special thanks go out to @brendannyhan.bsky.social . Without him pushing us to write this up, we would have not written the paper! We also thank everyone else who has commented on this paper.

💡✨ Inspiration and thank you:
The paper was heavily inspired by work of @graemeblair.com , @aecoppock.bsky.social & Margaret Moor + Jonathan Mummolo & Erik Peterson.

See:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

💥 Bluntly:

If you run online surveys in democratic contexts, you may be worrying too much about social desirability bias.

And maybe over-correcting for a problem that's smaller than we assume.