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John R. Lawson

@johnroblawson.bsky.social

Senior AQ Scientist, Bingham Ctr \\ Research Asst Prof in Math & Stats, Utah State \\ Vernal, UT \\ Musician \\ Meteorologist making risk-based ozone predictions \\ I study LLMs, chaos, information, uncertainty \\ We are rust worshipping rain. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง

660 Followers  |  622 Following  |  879 Posts  |  Joined: 16.10.2023
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Posts by John R. Lawson (@johnroblawson.bsky.social)

Haha. Trapezium singular!

26.01.2026 17:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The Falklands War involved many deaths over imperialism and sheep/penguins. Europe wonโ€™t roll over. Take your โ€œtwo dogsledโ€ comments and fuck yourself. Greenland has more history and culture along a random side road in Nuuk than half of the States.

14.01.2026 18:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
OH REALLY?
...YOU KNOW WHAT THEY SAY:
IF YOU DON'T LIKE THE WEATHER, WAIT FIVE MINUTES!
WELL ACTUALLY...
EVERY TIME THIS IS SAID, WE SEED ANOTHER HURRICANE OUT OF SPITE.
?
MEMBER OF PUBLIC
WEATHERMAN
A TALE OF METEOROLOGICAL MISCHIEF!

OH REALLY? ...YOU KNOW WHAT THEY SAY: IF YOU DON'T LIKE THE WEATHER, WAIT FIVE MINUTES! WELL ACTUALLY... EVERY TIME THIS IS SAID, WE SEED ANOTHER HURRICANE OUT OF SPITE. ? MEMBER OF PUBLIC WEATHERMAN A TALE OF METEOROLOGICAL MISCHIEF!

I canโ€™t draw comics, so I used words as my brushes (and as words), and Google Gemini Nano Banana as my ghost artist. Still uncomfortable attributing an image that obviously apes other styles.

30.12.2025 15:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I am SHOCKED that a FIFA Peace Prize recipient would bomb another country on Christmas. Absolutely stunned.

26.12.2025 00:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 414    ๐Ÿ” 78    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

Nice, cool!!

26.12.2025 01:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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US carries out strikes on Nigeria targeting Islamic State militants, Trump says President claims strikes targeted militants in countryโ€™s north-west, accusing group of attacking Christian communities

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

Didnโ€™t have a casual Christmas bombing of Nigeria on my 2025 card

26.12.2025 01:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Putin threatening Belgium is fucking tragic man, get a life and go back to shit claims of rivers in Moldova

18.12.2025 15:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Benjamin Netanyahu blames Anthony Albanese for Bondi beach terror attack, as world leaders express horror Israeli prime minister claims the Australian government โ€˜let the diseaseโ€™ of antisemitism spread โ€˜and the result is the horrific attacks on Jews we saw todayโ€™

You subhuman fuck. If anyone carries any proportion of blood on their handsโ€ฆ

www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...

15.12.2025 03:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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If you use Perplexity, watch out for their increasingly scammy behaviour including their refusal to refund a mistake I literally have receipts for. โ€œBig AIโ€ will get its comeuppance soon and academia will pick up the pieces by optimising for truth, not greed.

21.11.2025 17:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Regarding obs: what about atypical archive of obs such as the vertically pointing MST radar near Aberystwyth?

Regarding reanalyses: theyโ€™re fantastic for setting baselines when evaluating forecasts. Also case studies of old events with as close to โ€œlike for likeโ€ as possible.

04.11.2025 10:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Did you knowโ€ฆ I used to be a meteorologist ๐Ÿ˜…

04.11.2025 08:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Addison Raeโ€™s 2025 album is full of clever decisions incl. from the two MxM producers. These trio of women should forge long-term collab!

โ€œIn The Rainโ€ only has two bass drums per two bars (standard 4/4). Parallel 4ths and various modes. Shifting entire orchestration down a semitone in Diet Pepsiโ€ฆ

03.11.2025 23:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yeah! Itโ€™s a function of practical testsโ€™ trustworthiness. I canโ€™t vibe-code a prediction model and pray it doesnโ€™t have a snowfall bias. But then our new website is entirely supervised โ€œcoding with natural languageโ€ allowing high school students to be trained, contribute, learn. Mantra: caution! ๐Ÿ˜ฅ

03.11.2025 00:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Worst aspect is making LLM tools look like web browsers, or my insurance companyโ€™s chatbot. Prompt/content engineering is increasingly becoming my job, and itโ€™s creative, unpredictable (!), jaw-dropping (sublime & ridiculous!) โ€” if academia is fumbling in the dark, weโ€™ve mainstreamed an experiment!

03.11.2025 00:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Watching GitHub CoPilot CLI agent try to commit on my behalf & repeatedly forget to โ€œgit addโ€ first. Itโ€™s silly/inefficient but impact is relatively low. But writ large, if one deploys an AI-driven systems lacking a suitable penalty, โ€œif it breaks, it breaksโ€ creates amplifying, unforeseen ripplesโ€ฆ

03.11.2025 00:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The genius of Left Behind by Slipknot is how atonal yet dissonantly melodic it is at times

01.11.2025 00:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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This photo of rookie Yesavage casually walking off the mound as future Hall of Famer and helmet-less Ohtani is still in motion striking out is everything. #WantItAll

30.10.2025 02:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3869    ๐Ÿ” 995    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 74    ๐Ÿ“Œ 131

So we arenโ€™t using the same word then. Inference is the act of proposing the next symbol based on current state(s). LMs in general donโ€™t understand what you mean on Google Translate either. It can still be correct. Thatโ€™s inference too.

29.10.2025 18:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Iโ€™ve got some Teesside dialect I can give you son, haโ€™way then you daft melt

29.10.2025 17:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Cited two of those papers recently after deliberately writing with a LLM sceptic on LLMs, haha, and he was right there with his Bullshit papers.

29.10.2025 17:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Nope, my first big use of LLMs was fixing a six year math problem I couldnโ€™t work out. Itโ€™s Shannon at the core: information transfer. I donโ€™t care what it sounds like and neither does info entropy quantification.

29.10.2025 17:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Truth is a pattern, a sequence, that can be true by accident. I donโ€™t think truth must be intentional. Maybe thatโ€™s way off into philosophy at this point

29.10.2025 17:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

We definitely have different definitions of inferenceโ€ฆ

29.10.2025 17:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

(I did a first round and it hit me I havenโ€™t seen an email about R2. Oh noโ€ฆ)

29.10.2025 16:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Iโ€™ve got that horrible feeling a spam filter has blocked emails from AMetSoc for a while now, not for first time, and Iโ€™m going to be mortified if a paper review has gone through the cracks.

29.10.2025 16:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Stochastic sampling of anthropologic states unfortunately led us to discovering an efficient way to democratise interpretations of truth (โ€œall stupidity counts oneโ€) via popularity contests, and throw the idea of fact-curation to the wind. Truthiness now defined by aesthetic, rhetoric, advertising.

29.10.2025 15:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Blows my mind. The waste of money, energy; the staggeringly consistent incompetenceโ€ฆ If youโ€™re going to cosplay a LLM thatโ€™s actually just Microsoft Graph + Grammarlyโ€™s stunt double, maybe donโ€™t shoehorn it into every piece of IP you own. Dreadful, and damaging abuse of the term โ€œAIโ€.

29.10.2025 15:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Lovely plot, nice work.

29.10.2025 02:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Given higher than usual confidence of rapid intensification (RI) from analyses of an exceptionally favorable environment & with the aid of newer hurricane models (HAFS) & Google DeepMind, NHC was able to skillfully predict Melissa's RI days in advance.

29.10.2025 00:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 110    ๐Ÿ” 18    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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The official home of the Python Programming Language

TLDR; The PSF has made the decision to put our community and our shared diversity, equity, and inclusion values ahead of seeking $1.5M in new revenue. Please read and share. pyfound.blogspot.com/2025/10/NSF-...
๐Ÿงต

27.10.2025 14:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6419    ๐Ÿ” 2756    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 125    ๐Ÿ“Œ 452