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@welcometeam.bsky.social

We’re a community of Democrats focused on winning. We elect, convene, and amplify bold, pragmatic leaders who represent the middle.

50,616 Followers  |  2 Following  |  307 Posts  |  Joined: 15.11.2024
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Posts by Welcome (@welcometeam.bsky.social)

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Democrats need a pre-mortem, not an autopsy Democrats keep celebrating at the 20-yard line

Upset about the DNC hiding the 2024 autopsy? Don’t be – a 2028 pre-mortem is actually what’s needed. Democrats misread the last three elections, and need to get ahead of a 2026 mirage.

www.welcomestack.org/p/pre-mortem...

23.12.2025 15:10 — 👍 7    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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In Violent Agreement with Stan Greenberg Pollster’s critique of Deciding to Win proves the thesis. Sometimes word for word.

A new critique of our Deciding To Win report shows just how much Democrats across the political spectrum agree with its core arguments. www.welcomestack.org/p/in-violent...

18.12.2025 16:13 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The Jamie Ager, Shannon Bird, Christina Bohannan, and Sarah Trone Garriott Endorsements Welcome is thrilled to back four candidates who prove they can Win the Middle on Trump turf in 2026.

Welcome is thrilled to endorse four candidates who prove they can Win the Middle on Trump turf in 2026. Read our case for Jamie Ager, Shannon Bird, Christina Bohannan, and Sarah Trone Garriott.
open.substack.com/pub/thewelco...

17.12.2025 00:04 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Want to flip the House next year?

Support these amazing candidates: secure.actblue.com/donate/winth...

15.12.2025 22:26 — 👍 11    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
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In 2024, Welcome candidates over-performed Harris in Trump-won districts by nearly 6 points. In 2026, they’ll be key to taking back the House.

11.12.2025 17:31 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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🚨Welcome’s Win the Middle slate is filling out for the 2026 cycle with the addition of these great candidates!

11.12.2025 17:31 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Centrists should try harder to win tough races Don’t blame the left for Tennessee

The left has proven unable to win elections like the special election in Tennessee. But we know that, so can't blame them - gotta just step up and admit Centrist Need To Try Harder To Win Tough Races. www.welcomestack.org/p/centrists-...

09.12.2025 16:19 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Focusing on affordability alone won’t win races for Democrats.

In moderate and conservative districts, we need candidates who don’t have to outrun a left wing record.

04.12.2025 15:21 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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No Left On Red Lessons from the loss in Tennessee

GOP was vulnerable in Tennessee

Aftyn Behn ran hard and Dems spent millions. But ...

Affordability message can't outrun a leftwing record.
open.substack.com/pub/thewelco...

03.12.2025 17:16 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 1
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The Golden Zone Model & motivator

Jared Golden's retirement should be a wake-up call for the country. We are losing good political leaders because of extreme polarization. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-golden...

02.12.2025 14:52 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Congressional Competition Index Q3: The Ever-Changing House Battlefield Republicans tried to shrink the battlefield with aggressive gerrymandering, but the 2025 elections suggest these gerrymanders might not hold up

As we head into the new year, all eyes will be on the House of Representatives. Republicans are trying to gerrymander states to shrink the battlefield. We don't think it will hold up. www.welcomestack.org/p/congressio...

01.12.2025 16:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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How Democrats Lost Black and Hispanic Voters Dems’ problem isn’t in turning out the base — it’s keeping voters of color in the base.

Black and Hispanic voters once made up the base for the Democratic Party.

Now, they’re turning away.

Why? We explain: www.welcomestack.org/p/how-democr...

30.11.2025 17:59 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Congressional Competition Index Q3: The Ever-Changing House Battlefield Republicans tried to shrink the battlefield with aggressive gerrymandering, but the 2025 elections suggest these gerrymanders might not hold up

Republicans thought they could gerrymander states like Texas and keep the House in 2026. Turns out, their plan might backfire. Here's why: www.welcomestack.org/p/congressio...

24.11.2025 15:36 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Congressional Competition Index Q3: The Ever-Changing House Battlefield Republicans tried to shrink the battlefield with aggressive gerrymandering, but the 2025 elections suggest these gerrymanders might not hold up

Republicans redrew the Texas map assuming their 2024 strength with Latinos would hold. But the 2025 elections suggest a moderate like Bobby Pulido could ruin their plans. www.welcomestack.org/p/congressio...

20.11.2025 21:06 — 👍 7    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Voters are not fools Issue positioning isn’t everything, but it’s not nothing either

Cool kid Hot take: moderation doesn’t matter, it’s all about vibes. Reality: voters actually care about where politicians stand on issues, as Milan Singh shows: www.welcomestack.org/p/voters-are...

17.11.2025 22:33 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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How Democrats Lost Black and Hispanic Voters Dems’ problem isn’t in turning out the base — it’s keeping voters of color in the base.

Democrats are increasingly the party of college-educated white people. Black and Hispanic voters who once made up the "base" have slowly been turning away from the party. Lauren Harper Pope explains why. www.welcomestack.org/p/how-democr...

17.11.2025 16:00 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Deciding to Back Winners Ben McAdams: Recruiting the Calm to Beat the Storm

Ben McAdams is running again, and we're glad to see it. As we said last week: he's a proven winner, and is ready to take back a Congressional seat in Utah. www.welcomestack.org/p/deciding-t...

14.11.2025 00:40 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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New Kind of Old-Fashioned Democrat Learning from a winner

"If Democrats hope to lead a restless nation, we must lay out a clear platform rooted in a commitment to the middle class and those aspiring to it, based on the ideals of our party’s past, yet envisioned for a new age."

This is Tom Suozzi's vision for a new kind of old-fashioned democrat.

12.11.2025 20:28 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Donald Trump’s approval rating continues to fall.

Following Tuesday’s results, it’s clear—Democrats can win in 2026.

The key? Move to the middle.

10.11.2025 19:11 — 👍 10    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0
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The Real Lessons From Last Night Look to Virginia and New Jersey for lessons about the midterms.

This week, moderate candidates in Virginia and New Jersey, smashed expectations by running on pragmatic solutions.

Want to win in 2026? Move to the center. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-real-l...

08.11.2025 17:04 — 👍 25    🔁 4    💬 11    📌 0
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The Real Lessons From Last Night Look to Virginia and New Jersey for lessons about the midterms.

The lessons from last night should come from Virginia and New Jersey, where moderate Democrats smashed expectations by running on pragmatic solutions, not left-wing ideology. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-real-l...

05.11.2025 17:23 — 👍 7    🔁 2    💬 3    📌 0
The REAL lessons from Zohran Mamdani | Deciding to Win Part 2
YouTube video by Welcome The REAL lessons from Zohran Mamdani | Deciding to Win Part 2

Zohran Mamdani is the left's new hero and right's new villain. But what lessons can Democrats looking to win learn from his meteoric rise? And what myths about his campaign have to be busted along the way?

We break it down: www.youtube.com/watch?v=w9Ci...

03.11.2025 15:48 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 3    📌 0
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Deciding to Back Winners Ben McAdams: Recruiting the Calm to Beat the Storm

Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.

But it’s usually the best clue we’ve got.

Ben McAdams is a superstar, and he needs to run again.
www.welcomestack.org/p/deciding-t...

02.11.2025 01:47 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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DECIDING TO WIN: How We Got Here An analysis of the Democratic Party platforms from 2012 to 2024 gives us clues to the current Democratic Party struggles

Democrats need to get back to winning again.

We used to win in states like Florida and Ohio. We used to have Senators in West Virginia and Montana.

Here's how we got here: www.welcomestack.org/p/deciding-t...

30.10.2025 14:38 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 6    📌 0
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DECIDING TO WIN: How We Got Here An analysis of the Democratic Party platforms from 2012 to 2024 gives us clues to the current Democratic Party struggles

How did Democrats go from winning in states like Florida, Ohio, and Iowa and having U.S. senators in North Dakota, Montana, Missouri, and West Virginia to pundits now warning of a permanent Republican majority in the Senate?

Here's how: www.welcomestack.org/p/deciding-t...

28.10.2025 16:11 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 2    📌 1
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Introducing DECIDING TO WIN Postmortem with a plan

🚨 Donald Trump and the Republican Party are damaging our economy and threatening our democracy.

Democrats need to learn how to win again, but they can't do it with the same old tactics and candidates.

Here's exactly how Democrats can start winning: www.welcomestack.org/p/introducin...

27.10.2025 15:07 — 👍 48    🔁 7    💬 13    📌 3
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Essential Reading in The New York Times To beat authoritarianism, you need to win elections. Centrists do it best.

Moving to the center is the way to win: The New York Times editorial board released essential reading today on why candidates backed by Welcome, Blue Dogs, and New Dems over-perform. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-new-yo...

20.10.2025 23:10 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 5    📌 2
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Dark MAGA Police Reporting Part 4 The Cory Mills scandals are piling up, now is the chance to oust him from Congress

Cory Mills has scandals piling up against him quickly, with the latest being a restraining order from his ex.

This cycle, we can defeat him. www.welcomestack.org/p/dark-maga-...

17.10.2025 16:06 — 👍 9    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Dark MAGA Police Reporting Part 4 The Cory Mills scandals are piling up, now is the chance to oust him from Congress

The Cory Mills scandals are piling up. A restraining order from his ex, lying about military accomplishments and financial improprieties. This cycle, Democrats could actually unseat him. But they need to focus on ensuring races on the edge of the battlefield get resources.

16.10.2025 15:13 — 👍 8    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Checking In On The "Somewhats" Democrats have lost ground with those who "somewhat" disapprove of Trump. That could cost them in the midterms.

Democrats have lost ground with those who “somewhat” approve or disapprove of Trump.

There’s time to reverse this trend if Democrats want to win in 2026. www.welcomestack.org/p/checking-i...

13.10.2025 13:57 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 3    📌 0