Catarina Leão

Plotting heterogeneous treatment effects in RDDs

I also have to deeply thank the @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social for their support (and in particular @ffaucher.bsky.social and @jrovny.bsky.social). Everything I have learned these two years wouldn’t have been possible without my affiliation to the CEE.

Today marks the end of my fellowship at AxPo @sciencespo.bsky.social. Grateful for the freedom to pursue my research and for the brilliant colleagues who made this journey so rewarding. In particular @oliviergodechot.bsky.social, Allison Rovny, Noam Titelman, Ulysse Lojkine, Meryem Bezzaz.

Thanks Felix! That’s good to know :)

Thanks again :) that’s helpful

Andreas, thank you very much. That is very useful advice. I was exactly thinking about getting the Air with M4 and investing on the memory capacity.

Was it too slow ?

Thanks so much for sharing, that’s really reassuring! Yes… the Pro is so heavy I was wondering if it was really worth it. Glad to know it’s not :)

This is so helpful, thank you lots Sascha :) ! Might go for the lighter Air

Fellow academics, I need to replace my old Mac laptop. Do you think a MacBook Air can handle R, Stata, QGIS, etc., or do I need a MacBook Pro?
Many thanks for the tips!

Excerpt of the programme Friday 4 July 2025 9:00-11:00 - Session 4: Political Economy History I 9:00-10:00 Catarina Leão (Sciences Po), "Past Benefits Today Keep Extremism Away. Authoritarian Privileges Withdrawal and the Emergence of Contemporary Extremism: Evidence from Post-WWII Italy" Discussant: Karine Van Der Straeten (IAST)

3rd IAST-OXPO Conference in Political Economy

Tomorrow, @catarinaleao.bsky.social will present her work "Past Benefits Today Keep Extremism Away. Authoritarian Privileges Withdrawal and the Emergence of Contemporary Extremism: Evidence from Post-WWII Italy". ⤵️

www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/news-events/...

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨

We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.

🔗 epssnet.org

Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.

🧵

EPSA 2025 - Madrid 26 - 28 June espanet.org

#EPSA2025 starts tomorrow!

A dozen of our scholars have papers on political lotteries, challenges to democracy, autocratic legacies, the fate of mainstream parties, group-targeting in politics and media, climate politics, culture wars / backfire...

👉Details here: www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...

I look forward to meeting many of you soon in Madrid for EPSA 2025.

In case that’s helpful to anyone, here are some of my personal Madrid favorites:

Looking for a last-minute #EPSA2025 Reception ticket. Happy to buy if anyone can’t make it.

According to «objective» democracy measures, we have learned nothing about the trajectory and state of democracy in the US since January. That strikes me as pretty damn absurd..

Many many congratulations Damien!! 🎉🎉

If you read just one opinion piece about the latest Portuguese election, make it this one.

I've been running online surveys in #Romania about the presidential elections. Lots of crazy stuff but the graph below took me by surprise (and I'm someone who studies communist legacies). This is the share of the second-round vote for Simion as a function of what respondents think of Ceaușescu.

You've (probably) got mail! ✉️

Heading to #EPSA2025 in Madrid?

Consider signing up to our buddy/mentor scheme that the diversity committee has set up to help first-time attendees navigate Europe's biggest political science conference

Questions? Send them over to @alonadolinsky.com or me 🙂

Overleaf is down. Use Word, or preserve your dignity by doing nothing.

Reads like pink pony club

Boa escolha de nome.

Making it a cult, not really based on religion

It’s so funny how MAGA thinks the Pope is ‘woke’ for his views on migration and helping the poor—when that’s literally one of the most basic tenets of Christianity. The level of dissociation is off the charts.

Amen to that

Even established authoritarian regimes consider arresting defiant judges an extreme tactic—a serious escalation usually reserved for after one-party rule is firmly entrenched. Seeing a judge arrested in the US today should alarm everyone who values democratic governance. This cannot be allowed. 🧵

When a democracy falls, do the people know? A simple four-category test applied to acts over the first 90 days of Trump-II shows autocracy rising in the US due primarily to violations of the rule of law, which many people don't perceive.

My first post at the newly revived @misofact.bsky.social is a nerdy take on why it seems like experts are decrying rising autocracy in thd US, but for most folks, life goes on as usual. How much authoritarianism has the US actually seen so far in Trump-II? open.substack.com/pub/misofact...

Just posted updated version of our DID textbook! We now have drafts of all chapters, including the one on general designs! Now you can tell your friends still on X that they are DID-outdated :-) Happy easter for those of you that celebrate it. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Can ChatGPT accurately identify the position of parties? A validation study with an expert survey in France - Damien Bol, Pierre-Henri Bono, 2025 We evaluate whether ChatGPT can be used to estimate the ideological positions of parties in real time. Compared to other methods, ChatGPT can be used at all tim...

🚨 New paper🚨 on how AI can help us doing research (or not) with my office mate @phbono.bsky.social

We test whether LLMs (ChatGPT, MistralAI) can be used to ideologically position parties in real time.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

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