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Thomas Warrick

@tomwarrickac.bsky.social

Atlantic Council Nonresident Senior Fellow in Middle East Programs and Director, Future of DHS Project. Former State Department Senior Advisor, former DHS Deputy Assistant Secretary for Counterterrorism Policy. Reposts do not imply endorsement.

526 Followers  |  34 Following  |  339 Posts  |  Joined: 06.12.2024  |  2.1566

Latest posts by tomwarrickac.bsky.social on Bluesky

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3 / 3 The world needs to build Tony Blair @InstituteGCโ€™s Gaza Int'l Transitional Authority and its security force. If Hamas lays down weapons, good. If not, #GITA and the ISF should get ready to deploy to the parts of Gaza free of Hamas, and begin Gazaโ€™s physical and social reconstruction.

09.10.2025 04:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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2 / 3 Signs are Hamas wants to keep the weapons. But the world is calling on Hamas to disarm. There is no prospect that Arab governments will contribute to Gazaโ€™s reconstruction if Hamas can re-take power, and then attack Israel, then Israel will destroy whatever was rebuilt.

09.10.2025 04:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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1 / 3 On Ash-Sharq/Bloomberg, Al-Qahera, and Al-Jazeera today talking about the Gaza peace deal. Worth celebrating for all those who want to see a lasting peace. But (1) will Hamas agree to lay down its weapons? (2) Will countries agree to contribute peacekeeping troops?

09.10.2025 04:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Second question: Will Hamas agree to lay down its weapons? If not, Israel will say Hamas rejects @realDonaldTrump's plan.

It baffles me why some think the pressure Monday will be on Israel. It will be on Hamas.

04.10.2025 21:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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On Al-Jazeera and Al-Jazeera English tonight, explaining that the pressure Monday in the talks in Egypt will be on Hamas: will they agree to the release of hostages within days? If not, Israel will say Hamas rejects President Trumpโ€™s plan.

04.10.2025 21:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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6/6 There are many issues that could hold up peace. Hamas made no mention of laying down its arms, for example. But if this misunderstanding over sequencing is not clarified quickly, it could derail progress towards Trumpโ€™s peace deal, which, as Trump said, is the best available deal for peace.

04.10.2025 02:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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5/6 I said that Qatar, Egypt, and Tรผrkiye mediators should seek immediate clarification whether Hamas agrees to the sequencing President Trump has in mind. We have two days until Trumpโ€™s deadline of Sunday 6 pm EDT.

04.10.2025 02:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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4/6 Looking at the tone of Hamasโ€™s response, itโ€™s clear they were trying to be respectful to President Trump. And his response to Hamas reciprocates this respect.

04.10.2025 02:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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3/6 The problem is this is not the only possible interpretation of Hamasโ€™s response. Hamas could have intended the hostages be released only after other steps, like a Palestinian conference, that will take weeks, or the withdrawal of Israeli troops, which is not the sequence Trump has in mind.

04.10.2025 02:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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2/6 President Trump read into Hamasโ€™s response that the hostages should be freed in a matter of days. He told PM Netanyahu to stop the bombing of Gaza so the hostages could be safely moved from the tunnels to positions where they can be returned to their families.

04.10.2025 02:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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1/6 On Al-Jazeera, Al-Arabiya, Al-Qahera, CTV News (Canada), Al-Ghad al-Arabi, and TRT World tonight talking about Hamasโ€™s response to the Trump peace plan for Gaza. One big concern is sequencing.

04.10.2025 02:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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How a UN Security Council resolution could help end the war in Gaza Drawing inspiration from an earlier example, the council should pass a one-time-only resolution authorizing an international transitional governing authority and security force.

While the Trump 20-point plan for Gaza has no UN role, there is a way a one-time-only, nonrenewable Security Council resolution could help, modeled on UNSCR 1031 (1995) for Bosnia.

www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

01.10.2025 16:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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3/3 As President Trump tries to work a peace plan for Gaza with Israeli, Arab, European, and other world leaders, I would respectfully urge this is not a good time for lower-ranking officials to undercut the Presidentโ€™s Gaza peace initiative.

25.09.2025 21:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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2/3 Arab leaders will then need to alert President Trump, e.g., by having the Qatari Prime Minister contact Steve Witkoff, or Saudi Crown Prince calling Jared Kushner, or UAE Amb. al-Otaiba calling Secretary Rubio. President Trump will not like it if ministers undercut him.

25.09.2025 21:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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1/3 On Al-Jazeera Thursday talking about the West Bank. Now that President Trump has said no West Bank annexation, here's what concerns me: Trump emphasizes no annexation to PM Netanyahu on Monday. But when Netanyahu goes home, some Israeli ministers may try small steps to undercut Trumpโ€™s position.

25.09.2025 21:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Plan itself is at:

jstribune.com/wp-content/u...

22.09.2025 13:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Postwar Gaza โ€” What Will It Look Like? โ€“ The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune Essays โ€“ Two years after October 7, 2023, governments are finally recognizing the need to adopt a plan for postwar Gaza, even while fighting is ongoing. On August

Postwar Gaza plans are now on the front burner in Washington and New York. Bob Silverman and I discuss our updated Plan for Postwar Gaza and other, comparable plans in this OpEd in the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune:

jstribune.com/warrick-silv...

22.09.2025 13:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Plan for Postwar Gaza cover.

Plan for Postwar Gaza cover.

A group of former senior US officials, of whom Iโ€™m one, has released our updated Plan for Postwar Gaza on the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune website:

jstribune.com/wp-content/u...

22.09.2025 13:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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On CTV News in Canada on Saturday talking about the visit of Secretary of State Rubio to Israel. The question is what he will say on behalf of President Trump about the Israeli efforts to annex the West Bank, which could undermine the Abraham Accords.

14.09.2025 18:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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On BBC Arabic Sunday discussing the Rubio visit to Jerusalem. The open question is what message he conveyed about West Bank annexation. Annexation could disrupt the Abraham Accords and undermine one of Trump's most important diplomatic accomplishments.

14.09.2025 18:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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On Al-Jazeera tonight, saying that @realDonaldTrump will ensure Qatari PM Mohammed Abdulrahman Al Thani hears tonight the depth of the US commitment to Qatar's security.

On Gaza, Trump can be expected to say no one will, or should, pay to rebuild Gaza until Hamas is out of power and disarmed.

13.09.2025 04:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Providing context and analysis on Israelโ€™s strike against Hamas in Qatar, on Bloombergโ€™s โ€œInsight with Haslinda Aminโ€ on Sept. 9. | Tom Warrick Providing context and analysis on Israelโ€™s strike against Hamas in Qatar, on Bloombergโ€™s โ€œInsight with Haslinda Aminโ€ on Sept. 9.

Providing context and analysis on Israelโ€™s strike against Hamas in Qatar, on Bloombergโ€™s โ€œInsight with Haslinda Aminโ€ on Sept. 9.

www.linkedin.com/posts/tom-wa...

11.09.2025 02:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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White House rebukes Israel over strike on Hamas in Qatar Trump condemned the attack. Analysts say his mixed messaging on the war emboldened Israel to take unilateral military action.

President Trump is obviously angry about this, as many people are. Let's see how the President plans to enforce his promise to Qatar that this will never happen again.

www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

10.09.2025 16:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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As I explained on several news programs on Tuesday, Israel does not ask U.S. permission before conducting strikes it deems essential for its national security. Here is IsraeliPM Netanyahu explaining this in April 2025.

10.09.2025 16:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Quite a statement by the White House spokesperson criticizing the location of the Israeli strike against Hamas in Doha, Qatar.

09.09.2025 17:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Did you see this?

09.09.2025 16:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Prime Minister of Israel on X: "Prime Minister's Office: Today's action against the top terrorist chieftains of Hamas was a wholly independent Israeli operation. Israel initiated it, Israel conducted it, and Israel takes full responsibility." / X Prime Minister's Office: Today's action against the top terrorist chieftains of Hamas was a wholly independent Israeli operation. Israel initiated it, Israel conducted it, and Israel takes full responsibility.

x.com/IsraeliPM/st...

09.09.2025 16:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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On Al-Ghad al-Arabi (Egypt) on Tuesday talking about the Israeli strike against Hamas in Doha, explaining that the United States does not give "green lights" to strikes like this, as the tweet from the Israeli Prime Minister's office made clear.

09.09.2025 16:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Strengthening Efforts to Protect U.S. Nationals from Wrongful Detention Abroad By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, including the Robert Levinson Hostage

So this Executive Order going after countries that wrongfully detain Americans deserves broad support. We'll deal with "retaliation" by Iran, Russia, China, etc. later. This order is good news.

www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...

06.09.2025 01:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
ุงู„ูƒูˆู†ุฌุฑุณ ุงู„ุฃู…ุฑูŠูƒูŠ ูŠุนูˆุฏ ู…ู† ุฅุฌุงุฒุชู‡ ุงู„ุตูŠููŠุฉ ุจุฃุฌู†ุฏุฉ ู…ู„ูŠุฆุฉ ุจุงู„ู…ู„ูุงุช.. ุนู‚ูˆุจุงุช ุฑูˆุณูŠุง ุชุชุตุฏุฑ ุงู„ุงู‡ุชู…ุงู…
YouTube video by AlQahera News - ุงู„ู‚ุงู‡ุฑุฉ ุงู„ุฅุฎุจุงุฑูŠุฉ ุงู„ูƒูˆู†ุฌุฑุณ ุงู„ุฃู…ุฑูŠูƒูŠ ูŠุนูˆุฏ ู…ู† ุฅุฌุงุฒุชู‡ ุงู„ุตูŠููŠุฉ ุจุฃุฌู†ุฏุฉ ู…ู„ูŠุฆุฉ ุจุงู„ู…ู„ูุงุช.. ุนู‚ูˆุจุงุช ุฑูˆุณูŠุง ุชุชุตุฏุฑ ุงู„ุงู‡ุชู…ุงู…

Explaining the upcoming U.S. Congressional session to Arabic-speaking audiences on the Al-Qahera News Channel (from Cairo, Egypt). The federal budget, aid to Ukraine, confirmation of nominees all dominate the substantive agenda.

youtu.be/4iQ_yluzglE?...

05.09.2025 13:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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