$RKLB showing relative strength today. We're going into pre SpaceX IPO frenzy.
06.03.2026 18:44 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
$RKLB showing relative strength today. We're going into pre SpaceX IPO frenzy.
06.03.2026 18:44 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Yes, but it needs some help with at least hints of deescaltion. We'll see what they do over the weekend.
06.03.2026 13:26 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
3/5 flow
06.03.2026 10:49 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
06.03.2026 07:39 —
👍 6
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 0
Arab money drying up is a major risk for the market.
06.03.2026 07:17 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
3/4 flow. Another low activity day.
$GLD si short call roll.
Round 2
05.03.2026 07:42 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0It's just delayed. I don't think it will work out quite yet but good luck anyway.
05.03.2026 07:00 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
3/3 flow
04.03.2026 11:42 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
What you're looking at is not a sunrise — it's the Russian LNG tanker ARCTIC METAGAZ (IMO 9243148) struck by a massive explosion in the Mediterranean this morning. Photographed by crew aboard a merchant vessel, via Vanguard Tech.
03.03.2026 23:04 — 👍 403 🔁 134 💬 23 📌 35
Clear dip buy on banks. Puts are sold as part of financed spreads.
04.03.2026 07:51 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
No and yes. The drop would be a synchronized market event, not NVDA related. I think it's fine here fundamentally, but if everything drops it won't be immune.
03.03.2026 16:42 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Brutal selling in EM FX at the moment:
03.03.2026 15:13 — 👍 24 🔁 8 💬 1 📌 3Sir, your TACO is being prepared
03.03.2026 15:33 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0It's the real deal today. 90DVOL, rejecting from 675.
03.03.2026 14:56 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0To be used as threshold for the entire AI memory/optics/cooling/energy stack.
03.03.2026 14:51 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0I suspect that large $360M NVDA block was sold calls. 150 for buy the dip seems reasonable
03.03.2026 14:47 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 1We'll see. Can still go either way IMO.
03.03.2026 12:49 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Everything bows to the USD.
03.03.2026 12:13 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
3/2 flow. Lowest activity day of the last couple of months.
03.03.2026 08:03 — 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
Yeah, did not expect it to reverse, but it's within reason. SPY went green when Russia invaded Ukraine as well.
I will still recommend Mag7, and I think there are 2 ways to enter based on SPY, to avoid chop:
- On SPY 650
- On SPY breakout above 700 (daily close above)
This point is about energy security. Premium will shift toward markets where energy is not a risk, so US will be the winner. EU and Asia should underperform. EU already dropping more than the US, on top of the -1% in EURUSD. Depending on amplitude, It can also prevent/limit inflation and yields.
02.03.2026 14:18 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Hope not. Everyone loses.
02.03.2026 13:45 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
2/27 flow
02.03.2026 13:40 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
10/10
To conclude, my predictions are:
- Deescalation within 2 weeks
- SPY 650 this week, potentially lower if deescalation is not fast or further escalation. 600 if full blowup.
- USD squeeze starts -> US outpeformance
- Mega US squeeze after we bottom: 15-20% within 1 month
- End of the ROW trade
9/10
What I am wondering now is whether this will also limit US downside to something like 650 SPY, or if it actually get the full 15%+ drop now (6k or lower). Leaning towards 650 at this moment. Will likely depend on when we get deescalation. I expect Mag7 to be safe heaven (less red).