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Aaron K

@ladyotreesyrup.bsky.social

Stars fan, data fan, handle to the tune of "Radio Free Europe" He/him https://puckovertheglass.substack.com/

252 Followers  |  193 Following  |  539 Posts  |  Joined: 19.09.2023
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Posts by Aaron K (@ladyotreesyrup.bsky.social)

Preview
What NHL General Managers and Owners Can (and Should) Learn from the Carter Racing Case Study When the logic of 'win now' breaks down.

Re-posting something I wrote at the Stars Stack a long time ago for the new site: the scientific counterargument to Seattle staying put and not cashing in like they should. sticksandsalvos.substack.com/p/what-nhl-g...

03.03.2026 20:54 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

You’re braver than I am

03.03.2026 03:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
line chart of fenwick shooting percentage on shots deemed a "defensive deflection."  The line is roughly 15-20% for the 2023-24 and 2024-25, but jumps to almost 100% for the 2025-26 season

line chart of fenwick shooting percentage on shots deemed a "defensive deflection." The line is roughly 15-20% for the 2023-24 and 2024-25, but jumps to almost 100% for the 2025-26 season

Interesting development for anyone interested in building an xG model: the NHL apparently decided this season that defensive deflections are only worth recording if the shot is a goal

27.02.2026 03:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

interesting how the home ice advantage, such as it is, mostly manifests in blowouts

25.02.2026 20:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Ales Hemsky

20.02.2026 17:41 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Thousands of examples of Rememberable Fun Guys, but for right now: Jason Robertson.

20.02.2026 17:29 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

You mentioned that you were curious about if you'd feel the same visiting Rome this year as you did previously now that you know more that you did previously. What person/event/place has your opinion changed the most on since you covered them for the show?

20.02.2026 16:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Rules court emergency session

20.02.2026 16:12 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

What an incredible day of hockey

19.02.2026 20:55 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

What an incredible day of hockey

18.02.2026 22:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Saw the third one for some reason without seeing the first two and walked out wondering if they were all like that. Good to know that apparently, yes, they are

18.02.2026 22:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

3/21 are names I've only encountered in The Simpsons

17.02.2026 04:42 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Huh, I seem to remember him doing the same thing to Hintz a couple years ago

12.02.2026 17:12 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

ιžεΈΈε–œζ¬’οΌŒη‰Ήεˆ«δ½ ηš„οΌ

10.02.2026 00:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Uncanny

05.02.2026 22:19 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Stargazing, A Dallas Stars Puckcast – Episode 315: Harley Kick Puck Over The Glass founder Aaron Knodell joins Mark for a deep dive into Thomas Harley’s season so far, and the Dallas Stars’ defense in general.

Need some good #TexasHockey content to tide you over until the Stars-Blues game?

@hitzicestat.bsky.social does a deep dive on defense with Puck Over The Glass founder @ladyotreesyrup.bsky.social. And you should have just enough time to listen to the whole thing.

Enjoy.

05.02.2026 01:26 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hryckowian and Bourque are from Quebec and BΓ€ck is pronounced more like Beck

03.02.2026 23:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Dallas's third-ish line with Hryckowian, Bourque, and BΓ€ck being called the QuebΓ€ck line

03.02.2026 23:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

There should absolutely be (much) better oversight and more avenues for intervention on the kids' behalf, but an outright ban is extreme for something that does have redeeming aspects (more one-to-one attention, tailored lesson plans, etc.)

03.02.2026 20:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I had an overwhelmingly positive experience homeschooling through eighth grade. There are homeschool communities that provide good education and socialization and to paint with such a broad brush is unnecessarily reductive

03.02.2026 20:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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On The Ben Chiarot Extension And Missing Context Yesterday, the Detroit Red Wings announced they had signed defenseman Ben Chiarot to a three-year extension with a $3.85 million average annual value (3.7% cap hit percentage).

On the Ben Chiarot contract and missing context

prashanthiyer.substack.com/p/on-the-ben...

29.01.2026 14:53 β€” πŸ‘ 56    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 19    πŸ“Œ 6

Thanks!

28.01.2026 05:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

What is the delta-method? Average individual year-to-year change?

28.01.2026 02:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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What Happened To Thomas Harley? A deep dive into what's been troubling the Star defenseman this season

New post: What's going on with Thomas Harley this season and should the Stars be concerned? Why his down season may not be as much about him as it seems.

open.substack.com/pub/puckover...

22.01.2026 19:27 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Unfortunately he’s pretty much the only Star who is

23.01.2026 01:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you!

22.01.2026 21:03 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
What Happened To Thomas Harley? A deep dive into what's been troubling the Star defenseman this season

New post: What's going on with Thomas Harley this season and should the Stars be concerned? Why his down season may not be as much about him as it seems.

open.substack.com/pub/puckover...

22.01.2026 19:27 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Stanley Cap - Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins Salary Cap, Player Contracts, Rosters, Depth Charts and active lineups, News, Statistics, Analytics and more

New Feature: Team cards.

Team cards for the current season and the past 5 seasons can be found in the 'Team Cards' tab on team pages.

thestanleycap.com/teams/pittsb...

16.01.2026 19:21 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

At least they finally added an API. The way they were doing it before sending the page HTML via web sockets was bizarre. Someone said part of the issue was the PA not wanting detailed tracking stuff published, but there's still so much they could do to supplement the PBP

15.01.2026 15:54 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

So much of the edge stuff is on the cusp of being useful

15.01.2026 15:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0