Laura Suarez-Gutierrez

New study shows #constraining projections using best-performing climate models, #uncertainties in future #temperature variability can be narrowed, yet remain large over poorly modelled regions, highlighting the need for #MultipleModelEnsembles to assess future risks.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Temperatures Are Rising, but What About Humidity? - Eos Humid heat extremes are less frequently studied, but no less important, than those of dry heat.

Record-breaking humidity is on the rise, but it’s understudied relative to dry heat. New research takes a look.

eos.org/research-spo...

What do we talk about when we talk about unprecedentedness? Without a clear baseline, understanding & preparedness for climate extremes may be out of whack. We sought to improve this for humid heat in our new paper out now in @aguadvances.bsky.social: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

a graph of high temperatures, daily severity rating and radiative power, showing how heat and DSR built up before fires broke out

Heat & very dry air that used to be rare, now very common in Spain & Portugal, putting huge strain on EU firefighting resources - at 1.3C global warming. Every additional ton of fossil fuels burnt will make European summers even more deadly & dangerous www.worldweatherattribution.org/extreme-fire...

Paisaje de montañas calcinadas con varias pistas y cortafuegos que destacan en color tierra sobre el manto negro.

Paisaje de montañas calcinadas con varias pistas y cortafuegos que destacan en color tierra sobre el manto negro.

Paisaje de montañas calcinadas con varias pistas y cortafuegos que destacan en color tierra sobre el manto negro.

Paisaje de montañas calcinadas con una pequeña zona arbolada aún verde en medio de del color gris negruzco de las cenizas.

Las imágenes de @pedroarmestre.bsky.social para @greenpeace.es tras los incendios de este verano son...

💔

Los incendios de Ourense, León y Zamora, fotografiados desde el aire El fotógrafo Pedro Armestre, de la mano de Greenpeace, ha documentado gran parte de las zonas arrasadas por el fuego en Galicia y Castilla y León, con imágenes de lugares casi inaccesibles

📷 | El fotógrafo Pedro Armestre, de la mano de Greenpeace, ha documentado gran parte de las zonas arrasadas por el fuego en Galicia y Castilla y León, con imágenes de lugares casi inaccesibles

#Wildfires in Spain have reached record emissions in just one week according to our #CopernicusAtmosphere data. Heatwaves & drought are fueling fires, forcing evacuations & worsening air quality hundreds of km away. 🔥 Read the article for details https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/spain-below-average-record-wildfire-emissions-just-one-week

#Wildfires in Spain have reached record emissions in just one week according to our #CopernicusAtmosphere data. Heatwaves & drought are fueling fires, forcing evacuations & worsening air quality hundreds of km away. 🔥 Read the article for details
atmosphere.copernicus.eu/spain-below-...

Europe could face weeks of 40°C heat in current worst-case scenario A perfect storm of conditions priming the atmosphere for extreme heat could result in devastating droughts and deadly temperatures lasting for weeks across Europe

Europe's current climate could produce a 'mega heatwave', feat. more than a month of +40C temps & intense drought

Extra scary fact: The worst-case heatwaves occur predominantly after another extreme heatwave. In other words, rolling waves of deadly heat

www.newscientist.com/article/2491...

Large biases in the frequency of water limitation across Earth system models - Communications Earth & Environment CMIP6 Earth system models overestimate the frequency of water-limited conditions on land, by about 14% globally and 26% in the tropics, according to analyses using solar-induced fluorescence, satellit...

Can we trust Earth system models to locate and quantify land-surface water stress?

www.nature.com/articles/s43...

Thank you @soniaseneviratne.bsky.social, @ryanpad.bsky.social, Benjamin Stocker and Dominik Schumacher

Happening today! #EGU25

Transdisciplinary coordination is essential for advancing agricultural modeling with machine learning Crop models play a key role in understanding and improving the climate-change resilience of food systems. If appropriately used, machine learning can help tackle some of the critical challenges of agr...

Transdisciplinary coordination is essential for advancing agricultural modelling with machine learning. The opportunities are great, but to avoid pitfalls, we need to establish benchmarks, evaluation criteria and best practices. Our perspective: www.cell.com/one-earth/fu... @cp-oneearth.bsky.social

Co-convened by @erichfischer.bsky.social, @edhawkins.org, Henrique Goulart & Antonio Sanchez.

#EGU25 is about to start!

If you're there, check out our session on High-impact Climate Extremes on Tuesday, room 🟨 F1

🧪: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...

With many exciting talks, including the CL Division Outstanding ECS Award Lecture by
@kornhuber.bsky.social

Heading to #EGU25? Curious about how climate change boosted Valencia's floods in October 2024?

Don't miss our talk next Tuesday, April 29, at 09:45 AM in Session CL3.2.4 in Room F1! 🌍📢 #ClimateChange #StormDynamics

Time series of daily mean temperatures averaged for each EGU General Assembly (2005-2024). Data: ERA5

What better way to prepare for #EGU25 than to calculate the mean temperature in Vienna during the conference for each year since the @egu.eu was established 🤓📈 Considering the current weather forecast for next week, this edition we might have a record year 🌡️

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather Nature Communications - Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of...

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather?

Transformative adaptation, foundation for long-term resilience, supported by incremental adaptation through upgrading existing infrastructure, and reactive adaptation - early action and disaster response.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

A GIF of the perspective piece

1/ How to Stop Being Surprised by Unprecedented Weather

Our new @naturecomms.bsky.social paper provides our multi-author perspective on methods to anticipate extreme weather and reduce impacts, shifting from reacting with surprise towards resilience.

🔗 Read it here: doi.org/10.1038/s414...

🧵⬇️

It's hard to comprehend the scale at which supertrawlers are murdering life in the oceans.

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather Nature Communications - Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of...

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather

Kelder et al. discusses a multitude of ways that we could anticipate unprecedented weather events that might otherwise be a surprise

rdcu.be/ecWQF

We have seen many record-shattering and unprecedented weather extremes in recent years. In the paper led by @timokelder.bsky.social we review methods on how to stop being surprised by the next one.

A global high-resolution and bias-corrected dataset of CMIP6 projected heat stress metrics - Scientific Data Scientific Data - A global high-resolution and bias-corrected dataset of CMIP6 projected heat stress metrics

We have described and made available through Nature Scientific Data our global high resolution bias corrected CMIP6 derived wet-bulb and wet-bulb globe temperature data and codes. This is currently the most accurate formulation of these metrics available. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Mortality impacts of the most extreme heat events - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment Extreme heat is increasing in magnitude and frequency, threatening human health. This Review assesses mortality risk associated with extreme heat, revealing that human thermal tolerances (that is, unc...

For extreme heat, each year seems to bring fresh examples of precedents being surpassed — in heat severity, but also in understanding of its physics and risks. A group of us led by Tom Matthews and Radley Horton have assembled a review of this knowledge whirlwind: www.nature.com/articles/s43...

physics of climate impacts 101:
- Stuff gets hot (worse heatwaves)
- Hot air holds more water vapor (heavier rainfall)
- Hot air is thirstier air (higher drought risk)
- Warm water is hurricane food (stronger storms)
- Hot water expands and hot ice melts (sea level rise)

NEW – Analysis: The climate papers most featured in the media in 2024 | @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org

Read here: https://buff.ly/4heAVMH

Not that we really need more ways to show how unusually warm 2024 was...

Here's the joyplot updated with the past year.

'Free Our Feeds' campaign aims to billionaire-proof Bluesky’s tech | TechCrunch The initiative, Free Our Feeds, aims to protect Bluesky’s underlying technology, the AT Protocol, and leverage it to create an open social media ecosystem that can’t be controlled by a single company ...

This campaign is so good & so important. Please support it!

Are you working on High-impact Climate Extremes? Join our #EGU25 session!

🧪: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...

With an exciting talk by invited speaker @vikkithompson.bsky.social, and co-convened @erichfischer.bsky.social, @edhawkins.org, Henrique Goulart & Antonio Sanchez.

📢 One week left to submit #EGU25 abstracts!

Join us if you're working on understanding how climate variability will shape future floods and droughts! 🌧️🏝️💧

🔗 meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...

Ft. exciting talk by invited speaker @drlaurasuarez.bsky.social

@ukceh.bsky.social

Are you working on High-impact Climate Extremes? Join our #EGU25 session!

🧪: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...

With an exciting talk by invited speaker @vikkithompson.bsky.social, and co-convened @erichfischer.bsky.social, @edhawkins.org, Henrique Goulart & Antonio Sanchez.

#EGU25 Call for Abstracts

High-impact climate extremes: from physical understanding and storylines to impacts and solutions

With @drlaurasuarez.bsky.social, @erichfischer.bsky.social, @edhawkins.org, Henrique Goulart, Antonio Sanchez Benitez.

meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...