Rorro

Wait till you look at Cy Young's and Joe DiMaggio's ballot records...

I agree. This tells me that jumps next year will not be this accentuated. For no one.

I still think he has a small chance next year. But, very small.

I'm figuring if he (Pettitte) gets to 63-65 in 2027, well, he'll make in 2028 but, who knows.

I keep thinking the Committee(s) should have a year with, say, 30 inductees, to clear that 'catalog'. Not just pitchers, either.

Both Felix and Pettitte will end the year at, or very close to, 50%

Pettitte only has two more years so, difficult but, doable.

Félix has eight more years to go.

2027 is still a very weak ballot and Beltrán, Andruw and Manny will no longer be there.

If this happens, should we expect 435+ ballots in total?

I go there for fun (if that's the correct word) and come here for (mostly) baseball.

"It's like twitter but, for baseball!"

It has happened...just, don't want to jump the gun.

They both have lots of time, so, 2027,
2028, 2029, (2030?), (2031?) is fine by me.

Didn't say that's not happening. But, I doubt Utley (or Félix) will jump 25+ points this year, and again 20+ next year.

I rather think he'll (Utley) be high 60s next year, and jump the rest in 2028.

Utley. Don't see him jumping enough next year but, getting so close he could get there in 2028, regardless of Pujols and Yadi.

Maybe not next year but, 2028?

Pettitte is gonna continue rising till the end. People are gonna cry when he stays out but, a stronger choice for when the committee comes.

I'm thinking that Abreu will jump this year, a little more next year, and then plateau the two last ones. Had this happened one or two years ago, I'd be more hopeful.

While it's still early (at ~25%), I have him projected at almost 78% because of the gains (7) and the new voters (16 out of 17).

This is the year.

Wait. Is Dom Amore an anagram for Adam Dore?

@camarcano.bsky.social

Interesting that Canó only had 2 but, 5 times over .882

I hope the same but, I have a feeling Hamels will grab some of those votes, so they don't jump that much

Happy Thanksgiving! With 3 ballots revealed/~0.7% of the total vote known:

Beltrán 100%
---
Andruw 66.7%
Pettitte 66.7%
Buehrle 33.3%
Félix 33.3%
A-Rod 33.3%
K-Rod 33.3%
Vizquel 33.3%
---
All other candidates 0%

tracker.fyi

His full name is Felipe Rojas Alou.

Few people outside of the Caribbean include the 'Rojas'.

Check his brothers in B-R.

I agree. Have him at minus -3 at this point (180 ballots). This year's trend has been great fot him, but his history with private ballots is not very good.

The only real suspense this year...

Agree. Keep seeing him staying out, but really, really close.

Close enough that next year's weak ballot will be easy for him. And Jones.

Get To Know These 1B Prospects in 2025 | Baseball Prospectus First base prospects are more than just failed third base or catcher prospects. This year, they are failed pitching prospects too.

Get To Know These 1B Prospects in 2025
by Carlos Marcano (@camarcano.bsky.social)

Apart from Bonds, Clemens and Sheffield, who have PEDs related issues, Beltrán, Jones, Vizquel and Wagner, still on the ballot, got over 50%

And Schilling got to 70% twice

Solid, non-PED ballot.

Always thought of him as a HoFer on his personality alone.

His numbers helped, as well as all the publicity from playing for the Yankees (and the Indians of that era, too).

Where do I sign?

This could be my post. Completely agree.

Looks like Vegas is building their first championship team, if you ask me.

I think he'll make it next year. His momentum, plus a weaker ballot will be enough.

Finally.

I have him finishing at 68-69%, mostly because he always ends up lower after the private votes are added.