Dave Trotter

If Mamdani gets over 50% tonight, especially if he gets 55%+, that should be the green light for AOC to run for the Senate in 2028.

Because they are GOP-funded pollsters for the most part. Same thing with SoCal Strategies.

Though I'm not a fan of polls, the Emerson poll showed only a 0.6% Spanberger-Jones split. I'm not sure it will happen.

To put what we are seeing in Virginia in perspective, this could be the biggest Democratic victory in the governor's race since 1961, when Albertis Harrison won 63.9% of the vote. If not, then 1985 when Gerald Baliles won 55.2%.

As of the updates that I have in VA (which doesn't include all the states, mind you), Democrats, at this point, should get between 53.2% and 59.8% of the vote. I don't have data from Fairfax County yet.

The stats on @statenavigate.org how that 26,904 in Loudon County have already voted today. The number in Chesterfield County is 23,714.

I don't like making predictions, or saying things like "blowout"...but...

Will they have access to all counties for Election Day voting?

State Navigate VA Election Day Vote Tracker (pre-poll close)

Chaz and his State Navigate team will be doing great work on Election Day and Night

He will be tracking turnout in Virginia

I’ll also post periodically about turnout

Personally won’t go too overboard with the analysis

We will find out results starting at 7

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Ended up being 20k :)

What do you expect from a Tennessee goober.

Remember, it isn't interference when they do it.

I'm sorry, but your list is a little short. Nikolas Cruz at Parkland was a Trump supporter. The El Paso shooter was a Trump supporter. The shooter in Highland Park was a Trump supporter. I'm sure we can continue.

to me, he's as exciting as watching paint dry.

The messaging is really done at the candidate level, and then voters pick the candidate that suits them. As far as infrastructure, that is totally at the state/local level, not national.

But being a progressive isn't what a DNC chair does. I think the DNC chair race is useless. If the states don't pick up the pace, Democrats are doomed.