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Staid Winnow

@staidwinnow.bsky.social

Content provider for doom-scrollers and reality enthusiasts. "This is what I observe or expect to happen" isn't the same as "This is what I want to happen." Sentences ending with a '?' are questions.

1,530 Followers  |  278 Following  |  23,103 Posts  |  Joined: 13.09.2023
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Posts by Staid Winnow (@staidwinnow.bsky.social)

Nice to meet someone who rejects all polling because polling generally polls only 1,500 or so.

Well, there goes another branch of mathematics.

Victim to feelings.

09.03.2026 03:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Okay Boomer.

09.03.2026 03:26 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

"We have always been at war with Eastasia."

09.03.2026 02:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Never enjoyed reading a scifi novel more.

09.03.2026 02:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Winning is controlling every lever of government and doing whatever they want with impunity.

09.03.2026 02:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

RFK Jr. swims in sewage. So he might actually say this is good for Oklahomans.

09.03.2026 01:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

People are naive if they are flummoxed at cults not being logical, or immediately adapting what they recently opposed.

This is why the Epstein files will not hurt the fΓΌhrer and may in fact make pedophilia the norm.

"Did you know Jesus's mother was only 13 when she gave birth? That turned out ok"

09.03.2026 01:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It is what got us out of the Great Depression.

And the relative no-competition period from mid 1940s to late 1960s enriched the Boomers and made them insufferable.

09.03.2026 01:52 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

23% as of now.

$112!

09.03.2026 01:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

23% now.

$112.

09.03.2026 01:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The good news fwiw is that, now that it’s here for reals, people don’t like it. MN backfired and that wasn’t a given. My greatest fear was that Americans would be fine with a full blown autocracy. MN proved otherwise. The real struggle is just starting but people are waking up.

08.03.2026 23:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

"Papers please" became a reality with protestors wearing passports around their necks.

Good and Pretti are basically forgotten.

Fascism is continuing unabated.

Denialism is rampant if we can't even acknowledge we are under a fascist regime.

The Gestapo is funded, the concentration camps built!!

09.03.2026 01:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Why do you say MN backfired?

They disappeared several people.
Teargassed or pepper-sprayed dozens of protests.
Arrested protestors.
Murdered two people on camera and no investigations are allowed.
Shut off funds for fraud.

Claimed ICE was leaving but they're still there.

1/2

09.03.2026 01:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I suspect that he'll soon be a target. Israel's intelligence sources in Iran have been pretty accurate. It takes some deep knowledge to kill off a large portion of the top leadership even when they know that the attacks are imminent.

08.03.2026 22:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Since I typed, it is up 19%.

$109.

08.03.2026 22:26 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Just a hunch, but they experienced the backstabbing firsthand in his last term.

08.03.2026 22:25 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Commodities - Live Quote Price Trading Data Trading Economics provides data for several commodities including live bid/ask quotes, last trading prices, forecasts, charts with historical time series and news. This table was last updated on Sunda...

Crude oil is up 16% today.

Just FYI.

08.03.2026 22:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

US attacks Iran. Iran attacks those that aid the US.

Qatar aids the US.

A diplomatic solution requires the aggressor to be amenable. The US is not.

08.03.2026 21:58 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

No idea why people cling to the idea that *only* 27-30% of us are really with him. Imagine what that means for Harris who got fewer votes.

This is a deeply divided nation. About half of us love the fascist or don't mind that he is one.

08.03.2026 21:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes. I thought that was clear when I said 49.6% of us who voted.

That is a sample size of 140 million.

When you see polls showing him at 41%, they use a sample size of around 1,500. (Which is still statistically sound within the MoE, but not comparable to 140 million.)

About half is accurate.

08.03.2026 21:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

You are fucking NBC News. You know goddamn well that he cannot abolish a department that was set up according to a statute.
Stop gargling his balls and pretending he is allowed to do the crazy illegal shit he is claiming he will do.
This is illegal. THAT is the newsworthy part of it. Report that.

04.02.2025 21:48 β€” πŸ‘ 240    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 0

The problem is that if he shutters the DOE, there is no remedy available under the Constitution.
So, it is moot whether he can abolish it or not.
(HE CANNOT)

No one can run it outside of the executive branch.

08.03.2026 20:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This sounds tone deaf.

08.03.2026 20:35 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

But they'll never ask TACO 45 to explain why so many in the Epstein files accuse him of sexual assault.

08.03.2026 19:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

49.6% is what he got.

A massive sample size. Better than any poll that has about 1,500 (still statistically sufficient for a +/- 4%, but not as accurate as a sample size of 140 million).

And comparing apples to apples, Harris had less. Biden, barely 53%.

No, Trump has *about half the nation*.

08.03.2026 19:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I suspect nearly half the nation is with him.

Even now.

08.03.2026 19:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

It won't.

But it'll make fighting invaders and running the country impossible for the mullahs.

TACO 45 is desperate for an internal rebellion that they can fund. That way, no ground troops.

To be sure, it won't be easy, after all, we tried that first with Saddam.

But this asshole is different.

08.03.2026 19:01 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Joe the Plumber

Joe the Plumber

Ken Bone

Ken Bone

The undecideds are Trump voters pretending to be undecided because they crave the attention they get from the mainstream media.

Remember these undecided assholes?

08.03.2026 18:57 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

They can bomb the bloodline of the economy. Refineries, factories, oil fields...

No ground troops needed for that.

They have plenty of bombs and air superiority.

Unlike Bush who didn't want Iraq in perpetual ruin, TACO 45 doesn't care. Doesn't care to occupy either, which would be devastating.

08.03.2026 18:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

What is disheartening to me is that it is around half the population or slightly more, and I have to carp frequently about that number.

The nation is far more wretched than a mere 30%. About half of us either love that he is a fascist or don’t mind that he is one.

49.6% of those pf us who voted.

08.03.2026 17:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0