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Tony Stark

@tonystark.bsky.social

Author of the novel, EX SUPRA. Buy it here: https://www.amazon.com/Ex-Supra-Tony-Stark/dp/B0B6L9TD6J/ref=nodl_?dplnkId=f9e567ed-9cbb-4a51-9ebe-37646193cff5 Sequel: Duality, coming soon. Substack: Breaking Beijing. Podcast: Second Breakfast (ChinaTalk)

7,392 Followers  |  183 Following  |  2,975 Posts  |  Joined: 01.07.2023
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Posts by Tony Stark (@tonystark.bsky.social)

My entire IG feed rn is just different versions of the β€œgooooood morning night city yesterday’s body count rounded out to a solid and sturdy 30” cutscene narrative.

02.03.2026 02:45 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It's not like Iran is conveniently located adjacent to two pretty good examples of everything not being fine after killing bad people.

02.03.2026 02:18 β€” πŸ‘ 424    πŸ” 44    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 0

The Iranians and VZ aren’t the PLA and if this makes the admin think they’re the same there’s gonna be a lot of bad shit that happens.

02.03.2026 02:10 β€” πŸ‘ 67    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

These are all getting added to the WWIII β€œlook how arrogant they were” highlight reel.

02.03.2026 02:10 β€” πŸ‘ 111    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

Are we forgetting that Russia has been firing all its actually existing munitions (including some fairly bespoke ones) at Ukraine to the point that they were buying stuff from Iran to keep up the tempo?

01.03.2026 23:26 β€” πŸ‘ 447    πŸ” 67    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 1

what 30 years of COIN and bloodlust does to a mfer

bsky.app/profile/tony...

01.03.2026 19:25 β€” πŸ‘ 99    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

lmfao, even aside from the iranian bloodlust frank is just a dipshit

fun fact, the 18 NDS was (notionally) supposed to do what the 22 and 26 ones did with moving towards China (and RussiaπŸ™ƒ) as the primary threats while demoting Iran/DPRK, and frank the JS/J5 *flipped his shit* on demoting Iran

01.03.2026 19:08 β€” πŸ‘ 84    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

yeah look man I'm not sure how much benefit of the doubt you can extend like come on

01.03.2026 19:11 β€” πŸ‘ 494    πŸ” 61    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 1

One way you can tell someone doesn’t have a strategy is when they rely on statements about β€œnumber of targets struck,” β€œnumber of ships sunk,” β€œbody count,” etc.

Sinking the entire Iranian Navy is unlikely to impact the decisions of a group of people who think the U.S. objective is regime change.

01.03.2026 17:56 β€” πŸ‘ 118    πŸ” 28    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 1

Their head of natsec policy served as Deputy Assistant to the President and Coordinator for Technology and National Security at the NSC for Biden. That is exactly what’s happening. He knows the game.

01.03.2026 17:50 β€” πŸ‘ 67    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Reading this, again, you get the sense that someone at Anthropic knows how the intel community misleads by using definitions of words that are different than everyone else believes. And the people at OpenAI simply don't know or don't care about that.

01.03.2026 17:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1352    πŸ” 318    πŸ’¬ 23    πŸ“Œ 12

Taking that statement with a grain of salt, there was a Marine Corps article once that argued in pursuit of manuever warfare you had to be careful not to too paralyze an enemy (specifically by knocking out C2), because then you don’t have a Chain of Command to give the surrender order

01.03.2026 17:39 β€” πŸ‘ 50    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

Isn’t that why we didn’t drop the bomb in Tokyo?

01.03.2026 17:40 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

When John Bolton says β€œyou might not have thought your strikes on Iran through”

01.03.2026 17:39 β€” πŸ‘ 39    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Technically Samaritan became Northern Lights

01.03.2026 16:45 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

They wanted to build Temu Northern Lights after all.

01.03.2026 16:43 β€” πŸ‘ 79    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Anthropics team was relieved to hear that the government would be willing to remove those words, but one big problem remained:
On Friday afternoon, Anthropic learned that the Pentagon still wanted to use the company's AI to analyze bulk data collected from Americans. That could include information such as the questions you ask your favorite chatbot, your Google search history, your GPS-tracked movements, and your credit-card transactions, all of which could be cross-referenced with other details about your life. Anthropics leadership told Hegseth's team that was a bridge too far, and the deal fell apart. Soon after, Hegseth

Anthropics team was relieved to hear that the government would be willing to remove those words, but one big problem remained: On Friday afternoon, Anthropic learned that the Pentagon still wanted to use the company's AI to analyze bulk data collected from Americans. That could include information such as the questions you ask your favorite chatbot, your Google search history, your GPS-tracked movements, and your credit-card transactions, all of which could be cross-referenced with other details about your life. Anthropics leadership told Hegseth's team that was a bridge too far, and the deal fell apart. Soon after, Hegseth

And I was told this was propaganda.

01.03.2026 16:41 β€” πŸ‘ 501    πŸ” 154    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 20

Hooo boy. There we go. It was about domestic surveillance after all.

01.03.2026 16:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1432    πŸ” 440    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 11

Hooo boy. There we go.

01.03.2026 16:40 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Sorry no Thunder Run to Tehran for you.

01.03.2026 16:16 β€” πŸ‘ 50    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It’s wild that CENTCOM has been begging for war for decades, to the extent that some of their leadership actively tried to disrupt force development efforts for the Pacific, and this is the best they got.

01.03.2026 16:16 β€” πŸ‘ 282    πŸ” 30    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

I don’t even really think this is fair. Iraq was heavily debated publicly, and there was a plan. It was a stupid and delusional plan based on unrealistic assumptions, but it was known publicly and voted on by Congress.

There was no public debate or Congressional authorization in this instance.

01.03.2026 15:00 β€” πŸ‘ 2286    πŸ” 390    πŸ’¬ 45    πŸ“Œ 13

β€œWe signed this deal with DoD that we said was a master stroke of negotiation but turns out it’s literally just an affirmation of existing policies”

01.03.2026 04:26 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Lolllllll that was fast.

01.03.2026 04:24 β€” πŸ‘ 86    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

I spoke w/ former senior CIA official w/ extensive Iran/Hezbollah experience about this. He argued that, once sleeper QF or Hez (IJO) operatives in US saw the writing on the wall, they’d opt to lay low instead of committing terror attacks. Likened it to Soviet deep-cover spies at end of Cold War.

01.03.2026 00:37 β€” πŸ‘ 245    πŸ” 44    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 2

Followers, I’m assigning you a new mission 🫑

01.03.2026 00:33 β€” πŸ‘ 145    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Oh hey the Strategy Cheese testifies to Congress this week about the new National Defense Strategy. You should make it known to your representatives how upset you are with him specifically.

01.03.2026 00:32 β€” πŸ‘ 107    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

Sorry INDOPACOM, no IADS for you. You don’t have a missile problem, right?

01.03.2026 00:26 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

How many PAC-3s do we think we burned/will burn for this when the production line already has years of back orders

01.03.2026 00:24 β€” πŸ‘ 39    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

That fight will happen, just everything before hand will be ugly and stupid.

01.03.2026 00:16 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0