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Tony Stark

@tonystark.bsky.social

Author of the novel, EX SUPRA. Buy it here: https://www.amazon.com/Ex-Supra-Tony-Stark/dp/B0B6L9TD6J/ref=nodl_?dplnkId=f9e567ed-9cbb-4a51-9ebe-37646193cff5 Sequel: Duality, coming soon. Substack: Breaking Beijing. Podcast: Second Breakfast (ChinaTalk)

7,505 Followers  |  184 Following  |  3,027 Posts  |  Joined: 01.07.2023
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Posts by Tony Stark (@tonystark.bsky.social)

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Russia is providing Iran intelligence to target U.S. forces, officials say The targeting information has included the locations of American warships and aircraft in the Middle East, the officials said.

You can see why Russia sees an opportunity to settle scores. "Russia is providing Iran with targeting information to attack American forces in the Middle East, the first indication that another major U.S. adversary is participating β€” even indirectly" www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

06.03.2026 12:21 β€” πŸ‘ 121    πŸ” 53    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 13

This actually isn’t surprising in the slightest from an American POV. The only people trying to actually learn from this war are like Mike kofman, Rob Lee, 4 rando freelancers, and 7 people on here

06.03.2026 01:26 β€” πŸ‘ 749    πŸ” 114    πŸ’¬ 31    πŸ“Œ 4

Back when divisions had SHORAD Battalions, most AR/CAV Battalion Commanders would make the mistake of looking at his ADA platoon and seeing 5 Bradleys instead of 5 MANPAD defense platforms during a CTC rotation, with terrible yet foreseeable results. Defenses need defending, too.

06.03.2026 02:20 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œWhat Guam Defense System doing?”

06.03.2026 02:14 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Actually iirc we talked about this specific problem on the CUAS episode last fall too.

06.03.2026 01:59 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I said yesterday that torpedo strike would keep Beijing up and this should keep INDOPACOM wide awake (it already does, now just more evidence)

06.03.2026 01:57 β€” πŸ‘ 52    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

If only there was a war that highlighted this for the last few years

06.03.2026 01:56 β€” πŸ‘ 68    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

Almost like you need defenses for the exquisite systems themselves.

06.03.2026 01:56 β€” πŸ‘ 189    πŸ” 18    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 0
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Probably first major US loss of the conflict when it comes to ballistic missile defense. One of TPY-2 radars belonging to the THAAD battery deployed to Muwaffaq Salti Airbase in Jordan seems to have been struck. The full radar set goes over $200M.

06.03.2026 01:38 β€” πŸ‘ 541    πŸ” 161    πŸ’¬ 16    πŸ“Œ 35

lol

05.03.2026 18:36 β€” πŸ‘ 49    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0
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ICO writes to Meta over 'concerning' AI smart glasses report Videos, including of glasses-wearers using the toilet or having sex, are sometimes reviewed by a Kenya-based subcontractor.

Last year when I was checking into a hotel, the desk person was wearing Meta glasses. I kindly asked them to take them off. They were annoyed. I said, β€œI do not consent to you looking at my credit card and ID with Meta glasses on.” My instincts were correct: www.bbc.com/news/article...

05.03.2026 15:27 β€” πŸ‘ 5702    πŸ” 2281    πŸ’¬ 88    πŸ“Œ 172

…do I want to air bnb or is it big haunted

05.03.2026 03:44 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

My entire career is Mad Libs. There’s no part of my life that doesn’t sound fake.

05.03.2026 03:39 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Once again, you are the Forrest Gump of GWOT

05.03.2026 03:24 β€” πŸ‘ 35    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We are doing THE PITT commentary this week and our guest is going to suffer it.

05.03.2026 02:34 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The US every time someone comes up with a new tactic that doesn’t match their idea of combat:

05.03.2026 02:32 β€” πŸ‘ 78    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

The problem with Americans and doctrine isn’t that we don’t read it. It’s that we’ve become so self assured we’re convinced nobody else can think of and employ a good idea.

05.03.2026 02:29 β€” πŸ‘ 73    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Like we literally remade this thing and renamed it LUCAS and we’re like β€œhuh we had no idea.”

05.03.2026 02:26 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œWe had no idea the drone we cloned because we thought it would be cheap and good and confounding for the enemy would also be cheap and confounding for us.”

Even tho we have years of data from Ukraine that says just that.

05.03.2026 02:25 β€” πŸ‘ 95    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

And the threat color chart

04.03.2026 23:02 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

whether this idiot war is legal under US domestic law/Art I (and for that matter international law via the UN Charter) is a very different discussion than whether an act was a LOAC violation given a state of hostilities practically exists between the US and Iran

04.03.2026 22:35 β€” πŸ‘ 185    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

It’s just everyone being panicked and dumb.

04.03.2026 22:43 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Broadly speaking they’re right that we have to focus on winning but the obvious exception is the guy with the evil skull tattoo that gives Fetterman vibes.

04.03.2026 22:42 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

It is 100% Biden backlash. They are fighting the last war which is old people losing bc old and them getting beat over the head by Biden people for speaking out. They’re missing the bigger picture.

04.03.2026 22:41 β€” πŸ‘ 53    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I would just quit after this.

04.03.2026 19:51 β€” πŸ‘ 529    πŸ” 67    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 9

Sure. Just that "LLMs are not good for my thing" is a totally valid position for someone to hold, but "LLMs are not good for any thing, and the whole buzz around them is fake" is not really sustainable anymore

04.03.2026 19:26 β€” πŸ‘ 52    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/tony...

04.03.2026 19:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Being aware of a cape and watching us use it live when you consume a bunch of propaganda are two very different things

04.03.2026 19:30 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

I don’t generally care for the memeification of war (tho it’s here to stay) and I hate the after-the-fact justification for this conflict as fighting Beijing’s partners but the above video will keep the PLAN up at night.

04.03.2026 19:24 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

We now go live to Beijing for a reaction.

04.03.2026 19:22 β€” πŸ‘ 37    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0