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POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP

@pol4casting.bsky.social

Political Scientists, #APSA #MPSA #SPSA Meetings, #Electoral #Forecasts, #Theories & #Practices #Election #Vote #Forecast #Polls #Econometrics #Models

11 Followers  |  8 Following  |  3 Posts  |  Joined: 09.09.2025  |  1.378

Latest posts by pol4casting.bsky.social on Bluesky

How group appeals shape candidate support: The role of group membership, identity strength, and deservingness perceptions | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core How group appeals shape candidate support: The role of group membership, identity strength, and deservingness perceptions

Really excited that after several years of working on it, revising, and getting lots of rejections, our paper (w/ Rune Stubager & Mads Thau) on citizens’ responses to group appeals is *finally* out @ejprjournal.bsky.social

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

A 🧡 on our findings...

06.10.2025 09:47 β€” πŸ‘ 62    πŸ” 19    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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See you September 3-6 2026 at @apsa.bsky.social meeting in Boston , MA !

14.09.2025 16:21 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Great @pol4casting.bsky.social business meeting at @apsa.bsky.social !

14.09.2025 16:17 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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@veronique-jerome.bsky.social Such a wonderful @apsa.bsky panel with @marystegmaier.bsky.social ( Chair) @bjerome-t.bsky.social @debraleiter.bsky.social Mike Lewis-Beck Thomas Gruca @peterenns.bsky.social Raymond Duch @nuraphd.bsky.social

13.09.2025 21:47 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Don’t forget our @pol4casting.bsky.social business meeting today at 12:00 PM PDT in Marriott Vancouver Pinnacle Downtown dundarave
All @apsa.bsky.social members are welcome ! Feel free to attend and become a @pol4casting.bsky.social member!

13.09.2025 17:10 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Such a wonderful @apsa.bsky panel with @marystegmaier.bsky.social ( Chair) @bjerome-t.bsky.social @debraleiter.bsky.social Mike Lewis-Beck Thomas Gruca @peterenns.bsky.social Raymond Duch @nuraphd.bsky.social

13.09.2025 13:00 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Great panel @apsa.bsky.social in Vancouver

13.09.2025 12:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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It was a pleasure to chair and to be the discussant of the papers of such a wonderful @apsa.bsky.social panel! Thanks you all @hannahrajski.bsky.social @marystegmaier.bsky.social @bjerome-t.bsky.social

13.09.2025 12:29 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Political scientists and forecasters join us in Vancouver
Friday September 12
8:00 -9:30 AM : Forecasting the US 2026 midterm elections
10:00-11:30 AM : US Presidential forecasts
12:00-01:30 PM : US Presidential election forecasts :a postmortem
4:00-5:30 PM Forecasting the 2025 German elections

12.09.2025 08:34 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Political forecasters and scientists join us 11-14 September in Vancouver for the Annual @apsa.bsky.social Meeting!

09.09.2025 10:25 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Congrats Jay DeSart !

09.09.2025 09:45 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2

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