Krzysztof Krakowski

Midterms The question we face in the US today is whether a party in office which is supported by 40 percent of survey respondents can win an election.

"Midterms" by Adam Przeworski open.substack.com/pub/adamprze...

Fascinating new paper by and @elena-amaya.bsky.social and Robert Braun on the role of folklore in shaping far-right support in Weimar Germany: journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10....

Wish I were there 🙂

Congrats! It’s one of the best research ideas I’ve seen for a while

Russia, Venezuela, Iran, China, the Sahel region, the United States ...

Want to know why state agents carry out brutal repression — or participate in illegal coups?

Our new book "Making a Career in Dictatorship" provides answers — it just got published by @academic.oup.com:

tinyurl.com/ystwm3tf

Exciting project joint with @cubel.bsky.social and Mariele Macaluso.

A new publication at www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

We find that religious markers (esp. beards) can reduce perceived trustworthiness in Turkey.

(That's why you often see me clean shaven ;-)

Shame on someone else who didn’t recognise the potential of this result 🙂

Insuring peace: Index-based livestock insurance, droughts, and conflict* Abstract. We provide quasi-experimental evidence of how an innovative market-based solution using remote-sensing technology can mitigate drought-induced co

Recently accepted by #QJE: “Insuring peace: Index-based livestock insurance, droughts, and conflict,” by Gehring (@kaigehring.bsky.social) and Schaudt (@paulschaudt.bskz.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

Nohavica

Nerdy note: Safety here doesn’t depend on trends but on levels. So technically *improving* security doesn’t equal that a place is secure, but that it’s *more* secure or safer.

Using surnames, we show that colonial-era hierarchies continue to shape access to Colombia’s best schools and elite social networks, limiting intergenerational mobility through both education and marriage.

Read today's article to learn more:

An experimental study on institutions and social norms of tax payment Abstract. The production of public goods, which are fundamental to well-functioning societies, requires the payment of taxes, but taxpayers have clear ince

New OA In ESR

How do institutions and social norms affect tax payment?
@lucaspasin.bsky.social #Aaszekely @squazzoni.bsky.social find that in low-quality institutions contexts, social norms can trigger vicious cycles of evasion, even when evasion is socially disapproved
doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcaf057

1/ 🎙️ New episode of Policy Implications!

I talk with @plvezina.bsky.social about Ukrainian refugees in Poland who aren’t just workers, but entrepreneurs creating new businesses and even boosting Polish firm creation.

This season is supported by @econ4ua.bsky.social and Kozminski University 💛💙

🚨Free book alert (for 2 weeks)!

In her new CUP Element, @caglayanbaser.bsky.social shows that rebel groups with♀️combatants are seen as more gender-equal, democratic and morally legitimate, even when they perpetrate violence. This increases public support for government sponsorship of rebel groups!

Does School Debating Reduce Vulnerability to Misinformation? A Field Experiment in Poland | The Journal of Politics The idea that debating enhances political knowledge and critical thinking has been entertained by scholars of democracy for a long time. Given recent concern about a crisis of misinformation, we explo...

Awesome work! Just connecting to this related piece: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

How could they give it to her in the first place…

can't wait to dig into the data with @tommasopavone.bsky.social. This is probably one of the largest survey experiments ever run in Slovakia, a country you will not find analysed in the big journals very often

Happy to see my article with @joostvanspanje.bsky.social on the short-term political consequences of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy announcement published in @psrm.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

There is growing interest in HPE about social conflict in the run-up to the French Revolution.

In a new article at Data & Corpus, I describe the Jean Nicolas Database, a database of 8,516 rebellions in France (1661-1789)

👉Article: doi.org/10.46298/dc....
👉Database: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...

🧵1/6

🚨NEW WORKING PAPER🚨 Why are many Latino immigrants *not* naturalizing, learning English, and participating in American politics? We provide new theory and evidence across 3 surveys and an instrumental variables approach to show how migration motives shape immigrant integration. tinyurl.com/3expvu8e

I wanted to go to library recently as well. But I realized that all new books I wanted to read are only available online via our library… so still waiting for the first visit in KCL library 🙂

Can Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) extract features of urban neighborhoods from street-view images?

New with Paige Bollen (OSU) and @joehigton.bsky.social (NYU): Sometimes, but the models better recover national assessments that local ones, even w/additional prompting (which can make things worse!)

Carl is a fantastic researcher & knowing him well as a colleague, he will be an amazing mentor. Plus those look like very good postdoc positions. Please apply.

I want to read it 🙂

Congrats! 🥳

We got a new paper out on Ukrainian #refugee entrepreneurs in Poland, with Cevat Giray Aksoy and Piotr Lewandowski. Check it out here: cevatgirayaksoy.com/wp-content/u... and see below for a THREAD!!! 👇 #EconTwitter

Difficult to grasp how the crisis of UK universites - largely caused by bad policy and bad management - is not treated as a massive national problem that requires government involvement to help solve the issue. Product of a discourse in which parties don‘t want to be seen as appealing to graduates?

New data release from the Deportation Data Project:

Every ICE arrest, detainer request, and book-in to detention nationwide between September 1, 2023 and October 15, 2025.

deportationdata.org/news/2025-12...

Logo featuring the text "IO" in white on a dark blue background with the hashtag "#OpenAccess" below in white.

#OpenAccess from @iojournal.bsky.social -

Population Displacement and State Building: The Legacies of Pashtun Resettlement in Afghanistan - https://cup.org/4rgO1il

- David B. Carter, @austinlw.bsky.social & Luwei Ying

#FirstView