Individuals are more likely to support the same operation described by a "senior government official" than when it is described by a "David S. Cohen" from the CIA because the former signals success to the public, and the public infers success from the former. 4/4
09.01.2026 01:02 โ
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I also find in my experiments that unattributable communication can boost support for drone strikes by 5 percentage points compared to attributable communication. Note that both types of communication concern the same operation. 3/4
09.01.2026 01:02 โ
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The paper includes both text analysis and survey experiments. I first show that unattributable communication (type of quasi-secrecy) about drone strikes is as prevalent as attributable communication. Think of all the quotes by "senior government officials speaking on the condition of anonymity." 2/4
09.01.2026 01:02 โ
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New paper online โ ๏ธ: "Unnamed but Reassuring: Quasi-Secrecy and Public Support for Foreign Policy" by yours truly at @isq-jrnl.bsky.social. Open access available at: doi.org/10.1093/isq/.... I find that democratic governments leak classified info through unnamed sources to boost war support. 1/4
09.01.2026 01:02 โ
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VIP APSA & Presenter Interest Form: Spring 2026
Please use this form to submit your project (paper or research design) for potential inclusion in the Spring 2026 sessions of the Violence, Instability, and Peace (VIP) Workshop and to share your inte...
Our CfP for spring 2026 is out, & the deadline to submit abstracts has been extended to Dec. 10th. forms.gle/Xz8vrW77sdoK...
We welcome submissions on a variety of topics in peace & conflict----if in doubt, apply!
Workshops are on Feb. 4th, March 4th, & April 8th, at 8am PST/11am EST/4pm GMT.
05.12.2025 18:24 โ
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๐งตIR scholars, let's start a thread of what we know that's relevant for a US attack on Iran. Won't change any minds, but might help us teach this crisis and learn new angles. Please add (incl. your own work!), forgive/correct omissions. Nobody can cover everything and it's great to find new work. 1/?
18.06.2025 11:38 โ
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"If you saw all this in any other country โ soldiers sent to crush dissent, union leaders arrested, opposition politicians threatened โ it would be clear that autocracy had arrived."
10.06.2025 00:52 โ
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Tim Naftali's tweet on the termination of the HAC members without cause.
Unhappy to confirm that the entire Historical Advisory Committee at the State Department received termination notices this afternoon (myself included). The HAC, set up by Congress, oversees the office that produces the FRUS series. history.state.gov/about/hac/in... 1/
30.04.2025 21:29 โ
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