A hot spell looks increasingly likely in the UK next weekend & early the following week
Here’s the box and whiskers from ECMWF for London
High 20s / low 30s Celsius most likely
But there’s a lot of spread (large boxes = uncertainty), from low 20s to mid 30s
June record temp is 35.6C, set in 1976
137% - the highest positive anomaly for any season on record (records back to 1910).
23.05.2025 15:55 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Spring 2025 so far: 132% of its average sunshine
Summer 1976 (sunniest summer on record): 133% of its average sunshine
UK average maximum temperature so far this spring is slightly above the average for the whole season
Remarkable given that the first six weeks of spring is normally much cooler than the rest of spring
Ready to go with today’s Weather Studio Live with the legendary @alexdeakin.bsky.social
Watch here from 12:15 www.youtube.com/live/yI1IxQF...
The UK’s winter weather still at a crossroads end of the upcoming week.
The cold-ish southeasterly either turns into a very mild southwesterly or a very cold easterly.
Factors such as the MJO (increase in Pacific tropical rain) and polar vortex likely to influence but to an uncertain extent
January 2025: Whilst the UK's mean temperature was 0.9C below average, Europe was 2.51C warmer than the 1991-2020 average.
This partly explains why the upcoming easterly winds aren't as cold as you might expect in February
After a changeable start to the week, the weather will begin to settle down as high pressure arrives.
Here's Aidan with the week ahead 👇
youtu.be/ipmC5dgmjE4?...
View from the ‘other side’
Hanging out with @aidanmcgivern.bsky.social
Just as we went live on YouTube to chat though the latest in #StormÉowyn
Watch here ⬇️
www.youtube.com/live/q_q27qj...
Altnaharra in northwest Scotland is currently almost 30 degrees warmer than it was 48 hours ago (via weatherobs.com)
13.01.2025 08:48 — 👍 23 🔁 12 💬 1 📌 0
Winds currently light calm in the east as the low centre tracks southeastwards.
For parts of eastern England the worst is yet to come from #StormDarragh
Whilst wind gusts have exceeded 90mph, here are the *sustained* winds up to 8am Saturday from @roostweather.bsky.social
In west Wales, Storm Force 10 (>55mph) and, in Aberdaron, Violent Storm Force 11 (>64mph).
Not far off Hurricane Force.
⚠️⚠️🔴 Red weather warning issued 🔴⚠️⚠️
Strong and damaging winds across parts of Wales and southwest England
Saturday 0300 – 1100
Latest info 👉 bit.ly/WxWarning
Stay #WeatherAware ⚠️
Weather Studio Live klaxon 🚨
Mr @aidanmcgivern.bsky.social and I going live on YouTube at 12:15 pm
Join us for the latest on #StormBert and all the weather warnings ⚠️
… Oh and a quiz 😃
www.youtube.com/live/SiUOoh-...
It’s so much fun to use!
21.11.2024 19:02 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Finally, here's the 48-hour temperature through the weekend for one location (near Hull), which starts at near freezing on Saturday and ends up approaching 16C.
21.11.2024 16:53 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The winds will bring much milder air from the Atlantic.
Here are the increases in maximum and minimum temperatures during the next few days.
Saturday's maximum temperatures are likely to be towards the end of the day in many places.
It will be windy all weekend, here are the maximum wind gusts on Saturday and Sunday.
21.11.2024 16:53 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Next, here's the forecast snow depth at 12pm Saturday vs 12pm Sunday.
5-10cm even at lower levels across parts of northern England and Scotland by midday Saturday, 20-40cm over hills, before a rapid thaw later in the day.
Storm Bert will bring multiple hazards to the UK this weekend but also significant contrasts from place to place and from hour to hour.
Here's a thread of graphics that highlight some of those contrasts.
First, a snapshot at 7am on Saturday - wet, windy and mild for some, heavy snow for others:
Everything you need to know about Storm Bert in 11 short minutes ❄️ 🌧️ 💨 📈
21/11/2024 – Disruptive snow, rain & wind – Met Office weather forecast UK
youtu.be/XBaly6H9XRw
1st December for Meteorological / Climatological winter. 21st December for Astronomical winter. November is still autumn by most definitions of the seasons.
20.11.2024 19:21 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Thanks! No immediate plans I’m afraid due to lack of resource 😕 but we are constantly reviewing what we do and it’s great to hear feedback like this
19.11.2024 23:08 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
If you’re looking for a brief summary of this week’s weather… you’ve come to the wrong place 👇🏻
Deep Dive 19/11/2024 – Any more snow on the way? – Met Office weekly weather forecast UK
youtu.be/GxlIIsSUhbM
@alexdeakin.bsky.social @weatheralex.bsky.social @aidanmcgivern.bsky.social One for you @metoffice.bsky.social guys from up over the Tops of Bradford. ❄️
18.11.2024 20:56 — 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Busy day in the studio(s)
Spot of Channel 5 and then the Weather Studio Live with the legendary @aidanmcgivern.bsky.social
These maps show forecast maximum temperatures and how they compare with the November average maximum temperature, by the way
15.11.2024 17:00 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
It turns significantly colder in the north during the next few days but the arrival rain-bearing Atlantic systems delay the arrival of cold air in the south until late Tuesday. As the rain mixes with cold air, the greatest risk of snow is over northern hills - see Met Office warnings.
15.11.2024 16:59 — 👍 17 🔁 3 💬 2 📌 0
Going live at lunchtime today!
Catch @aidanmcgivern.bsky.social and I on YouTube at 12:15pm
Ask us anything*…
⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
*Questions about the weather are most likely to be answered
www.youtube.com/live/nbIT-RK...
