I was afraid that might happen! Maybe I should have reworked the sentence to use βwhomβ instead! π
08.10.2024 15:39 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Huge thanks to my coauthors: Marc Choisy at OUCRU in Vietnam, Pham Quang Thai at NIHE in Vietnam, and @maciekboni.bsky.social at Temple U.
4/4
08.10.2024 15:21 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Violin plots showing estimated annual mortality among age-based influenza vaccine allocations at four low supply levels. Pairs of violins show mortality when primarily vaccinating children 10-19 or vaccinating adults 60+. Vaccinating children shows lower minimum mortality values but higher variances.
We found that prioritizing school-age children (10-19) for vaccination led to the greatest reductions in population mortality compared to other age groups. This was most pronounced under the lowest vaccine supplies. Elderly adults are an important second priority.
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08.10.2024 15:19 β π 6 π 4 π¬ 1 π 0
Our study used a model emulating irregular, non-annual influenza transmission seen in Vietnam. We prioritized single age groups for vaccination, then applied ~74,000 age-based vaccine allocations among 9 vaccine supplies, ranging from 10% coverage (newly established program) to 90% coverage.
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08.10.2024 15:16 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Influenza vaccine allocation in tropical settings under constrained resources
Abstract. Influenza virus seasonality, synchronicity, and vaccine supply differ substantially between temperate and tropical settings, and optimal vaccinat
New paper on #influenza #vaccination in tropical areas! Published in PNAS Nexus. #episky
doi.org/10.1093/pnas...
Without strong flu seasonality in much of the tropics, timing annual vaccination campaigns is challenging. It becomes more important to ask WHO to vaccinate instead of WHEN.
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08.10.2024 15:13 β π 17 π 5 π¬ 4 π 0
Hi @epidemiology.bsky.social we have just wrapped up the 4th year of COVID transmission in the US: Mar 1 2023 to Feb 29 2024. CDC recorded 67.5K deaths during this period. Death counts for previous years were 539K (year 1, almost all pre-vax), 443K (year 2, 3 variant waves), & 137K (year 3) 1/
13.03.2024 20:01 β π 4 π 1 π¬ 2 π 0
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