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Alexander Arifianto

@alexarifianto.bsky.social

Senior Fellow/Coordinator of Indonesia Programme, Institute of Defence & Strategic Studies, RSIS, Nanyang Technological University. All views my own/Repost # endorsement

162 Followers  |  193 Following  |  54 Posts  |  Joined: 23.11.2024  |  1.9563

Latest posts by alexarifianto.bsky.social on Bluesky

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9DASHLINE — Despite Trump’s red carpet visit, Washington holds a weak hand in Southeast Asia Written by Dr. Hunter Marston. With the Trump administration fixated on bilateral trade deals with individual countries, rather than the large multilateral trade deals that have shaped the region’s ec...

“Despite the apparent bonhomie and smoothness of the president’s trip overall, regional leaders remain anxious about the negative impact US tariffs are having on their countries’ economic growth prospects.” My latest @9dashline.com: www.9dashline.com/article/desp...

06.11.2025 19:52 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

MTG finally sees the light 😁

06.11.2025 00:28 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Teknologi baru makin cepat masuk ke dunia kerja. Tapi sebenarnya siapa yang diuntungkan?

Studi yang dipublikasikan dalam Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies (BIES) menemukan: pekerjaan yang bersifat rutin memiliki standar deviasi upah yang menurun.

15.09.2025 07:14 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0

One way to sum it up: given the meeting, could have been worse, but Trump got nothing and Putin got a huge win. And given that most people looking at this set of facts would understand that going in, Trump should never have held the meeting at all.

15.08.2025 23:50 — 👍 145    🔁 26    💬 5    📌 1

No, he’s not giving Putin Alaska, but he is giving Putin a huge gift: the legitimacy of touching down on US soil at the invitation of a US president. A reward for the full-scale invasion of a sovereign, democratic country that the United States and its European allies support.

08.08.2025 22:40 — 👍 2058    🔁 590    💬 104    📌 37
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Political Islam in Indonesia during Prabowo Subianto’s Presidency Executive Summary Political Islam in Indonesia underwent a major shift at the beginning of Prabowo Subianto’s presidency. During the 2010s, it was characterised by fierce competition between multiple ...

7/n ....that is, whether it should moderate its ideology or keep its conservative religious outlook. As always, I welcome your comments and feedbacks on this new publication. Happy reading! END.

rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publica...

07.08.2025 23:08 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

6/n Lastly, PKS decided to join Prabowo’s cabinet because the party is running out of financial resources after being in opposition for much of the past decade. It also faces an internal ideological struggle between its politicians and cadres...

07.08.2025 23:07 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

5/n Given that Muhammadiyah’s social enterprises are subjected to supervision by state regulatory authorities, the organisation’s leaders feel they need to be included in the Prabowo cabinet in order to ensure that these enterprises do not encounter undue regulatory hurdles.

07.08.2025 23:06 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

4/n ... Muhammadiyah and PKS have realised that they needed to be part of the Prabowo administration to protect their institutional interests...and to gain access to state resources in order to retain their influence as a religious organisation and a political party.

07.08.2025 23:05 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

3/n ...represented by Nahdlatul Ulama (NU), Muhammadiyah, and the Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) – all have become members of Prabowo’s large political coalition. The report finds that while NU has a long history of aligning itself with whichever president is in power...

07.08.2025 23:04 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

2/n "During the 2010s, Islamic politics was characterised by fierce competition between multiple Islamic parties and groups, and by ideological and political polarisation. However, by 2025, these had given way to a new period where major Islamic organisations and parties....

07.08.2025 23:03 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Political Islam in Indonesia during Prabowo Subianto’s Presidency Executive Summary Political Islam in Indonesia underwent a major shift at the beginning of Prabowo Subianto’s presidency. During the 2010s, it was characterised by fierce competition between multiple ...

1/n I am pleased to announce my latest publication, a RSIS Policy Report titled: "Political Islam in Indonesia during Prabowo Subianto’s Presidency." I summarize the report's main findings in the following thread:

rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publica...

07.08.2025 23:01 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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The Indo-Pacific Chooses Options, Not Sides - War on the Rocks The 2025 Shangri-La Dialogue marked a subtle but telling shift in Indo-Pacific geopolitics. While the annual security forum retained its usual stagecraft

Behind the spotlight on U.S.-Chinese competition, states in the Indo-Pacific are quietly redrawing the rules on their own terms. warontherocks.com/20...

31.07.2025 14:00 — 👍 5    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

I’m not a New Yorker or a socialist and I don’t know if Mamdani would be a good mayor. But I lived in Vienna for 4 months last year; it has been governed by socialists for a century, and it is routinely and deservedly judged one of the most liveable cities in the world. Just sayin’….

25.06.2025 22:09 — 👍 194    🔁 38    💬 1    📌 3
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Former DOGE engineer says federal waste and fraud were 'relatively nonexistent' NPR's Juana Summers talks with Sahil Lavingia, who worked for the Department of Government Efficiency as a software engineer assigned to the Department of Veterans Affairs, about his experience.

“I personally was pretty surprised, actually, at how efficient the government was,” Sahil Lavingia told NPR's Juana Summers.

25.06.2025 22:22 — 👍 7388    🔁 2864    💬 229    📌 350

Trump still owes the American people answers on why he chose military action. Congress needs to exercise its Constitutional responsibilities and get answers on what immediate threats drove air strikes. Trump has a legal obligation to seek Congressional approval for war. He’s not a king.

22.06.2025 12:48 — 👍 739    🔁 110    💬 45    📌 5
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The Insiders’ Game How elites shape the use of force in American foreign policy

Someone should write a book about that: press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...

17.06.2025 18:21 — 👍 39    🔁 4    💬 4    📌 0

THIS! "Bukti ilmiah telah jelas menunjukkan bahwa harga rendah tidak berarti kualitas rendah." Memang. Jadi, kalau malas antri untuk dapat obat gratis di puskesmas, bisa juga minta obat generik di apotek (termasuk kalau dokter meresepkan paten, karena dapat insentif). Murah, bermutu, lazim.

28.05.2025 13:58 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
Message and screenshot of the www.usip.org homepage, featuring a photo of the USIP headquarters building.

Message and screenshot of the www.usip.org homepage, featuring a photo of the USIP headquarters building.

👋 Hello, we're the United States Institute of Peace (USIP)! We are very happy to join @bsky.app, and thrilled to announce that our website, www.usip.org, is back online! We look forward connecting here and bringing you useful content, resources and opportunities for peacebuilders around the world.

13.06.2025 19:26 — 👍 1238    🔁 290    💬 42    📌 19
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How To Watch CNN’s Special Live Presentation of George Clooney’s “Good Night, and Good Luck” on Saturday, June 7 at 7pm ET cnnpressroom.blogs.cnn.com/2025/06/02/h...

04.06.2025 23:31 — 👍 3    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0
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Welp, cover photo got cut off.

04.06.2025 20:21 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Saturation Point In her new book, Associate Professor of Political Science Sarah Bush explores the increasingly crowded landscape of international NGOs.

A nice feature from @sas.upenn.edu dives into my forthcoming book with @jenniferhadden.bsky.social -- "Crowded Out: The Competitive Landscape of Contemporary International NGOs" omnia.sas.upenn.edu/story/satura...

02.06.2025 20:08 — 👍 10    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 0

Geopolitical Suicide as grand strategy.

03.06.2025 15:13 — 👍 51    🔁 17    💬 0    📌 1
ABSTRACT
China's re-emergence as a military power has generated renewed debates about its security building practices regionally and globally. At the same time, it is increasingly perceived as a challenger to the Western-led international order. Intervening in this debate, we develop a first-cut analysis of Chinese conceptions of regional security orders by analysing China's Defence White Papers (DWP) from 2010 to 2019. We conceive of regional security orders as sets of geographically bounded institutions and practices that seeks to engender predictable patterns of military and security relations. Here, we suggest that China's conception of regional security order hinges on two main features: (1) adherence to the doctrine of active-defence, (2) preference for non-military measures such as military diplomacy and economic statecraft to resolve disputes We employ a mixed-methods research study of China's four DWs between 2010 and 2019 to examine China's security partnerships, military exercises, and defence diplomacy in the Indo-Pacific.

ABSTRACT China's re-emergence as a military power has generated renewed debates about its security building practices regionally and globally. At the same time, it is increasingly perceived as a challenger to the Western-led international order. Intervening in this debate, we develop a first-cut analysis of Chinese conceptions of regional security orders by analysing China's Defence White Papers (DWP) from 2010 to 2019. We conceive of regional security orders as sets of geographically bounded institutions and practices that seeks to engender predictable patterns of military and security relations. Here, we suggest that China's conception of regional security order hinges on two main features: (1) adherence to the doctrine of active-defence, (2) preference for non-military measures such as military diplomacy and economic statecraft to resolve disputes We employ a mixed-methods research study of China's four DWs between 2010 and 2019 to examine China's security partnerships, military exercises, and defence diplomacy in the Indo-Pacific.

🚨New online: paper by Seow and Loh argues that China's conception of regional security order hinges more on active-defence notions and non-military measures than many might think. #openaccess ⬇️
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... #openaccess #AcademicPublishing #InternationalRelations

04.06.2025 06:53 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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A great pleasure to speak about my book, British Grand Strategy in the Age of American Hegemony, at Sciences Po in Paris earlier this week. Thanks to Professor Thierry Balzacq for the kind invitation. And yes - someone is eating a baguette. Very on brand!

30.05.2025 06:38 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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Belgium’s future queen caught up in Harvard foreign student ban Princess Elisabeth has completed first year of master’s degree but Trump administration’s crackdown may jeopardise studies

www.theguardian.com/world/2025/m...

25.05.2025 23:15 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Belgium’s future queen caught up in Harvard foreign student ban Princess Elisabeth has completed first year of master’s degree but Trump administration’s crackdown may jeopardise studies

www.theguardian.com/world/2025/m...

25.05.2025 23:15 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Along with everything else, Trump has threatened to put 50 percent tariffs on the EU, which would basically shut down trans-Atlantic trade. Many people have noted that (a) the EU has very low tariffs on US goods (b) much of the EU surplus in goods is offset by a deficit in services. But ...

25.05.2025 13:44 — 👍 974    🔁 240    💬 31    📌 15

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