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@almanactrader.bsky.social

369 Followers  |  15 Following  |  69 Posts  |  Joined: 21.11.2024  |  1.5678

Latest posts by almanactrader.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Post by @jeffhirsch · 2 images 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 2 · November’s 1st 5 Days Bullish Cluster: 1st Trading Day DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ Up 10 of Last 13 · From data in the 2026 Stock Trader’s Almanac on page 90, the first trading day of…

November’s 1st 5 Days Bullish Cluster: Day DJIA S&P & NASDAQ Up 10 of 13. 1st Day avg gain last 25 years: DJIA +0.20%, S&P + 0.22%, NAZ +0.32%. 1st 5 days Nov all bullish days for S&P 500, up 60% or more of the time for the last 21 years. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

31.10.2025 15:46 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 1 image 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 1 · November Best Month of the Year for DJIA & S&P 500 · Being a bullish month, November has twelve bullish days based upon S&P 500, with a string of six in a row starting on its first…

November Best Month of the Year for DJIA & S&P 500. November has twelve bullish days based upon S&P 500, with a string of six in a row starting on its first trading day. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

30.10.2025 17:27 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 4 images 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 0 · November Begins Best 3-Month Span! · November begins the “Best Six Months” for the DJIA and S&P 500, and the “Best Eight Months” for NASDAQ. Small caps come into favor during Novem…

November Begins Best 3-Month Span!
November maintains its status among the top performing months as fourth-quarter cash inflows from institutions have historically driven November to lead the best consecutive three-month span November-January. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

29.10.2025 13:10 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Insight Session: Real Santa Claus Rally: Stocks & Crypto Year-End Seasonality on Thursday October 30, 2025 at 4:00 PM EDT. Register here: register.gotowebinar.com/register/788...

28.10.2025 16:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 1 image 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 2 · Small Caps Shake Off Octoberphobia and Close at a New All-Time High · Building on the positive momentum of August and September market gains, October also got off to a solid start.…

Small caps shake off Octoberphobia and close at a new all-time high. Russell 2000 up 2.4% thus far in October. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

14.10.2025 22:54 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
S&P 7100 By Yearend! Your Roadmap to a Monster Q4 Rally
YouTube video by Stock Trader's Almanac S&P 7100 By Yearend! Your Roadmap to a Monster Q4 Rally

S&P 7100 By Yearend! Your Roadmap to a Monster Q4 Rally - FREE Webinar Replay - New Stock Picks via @YouTube $SPY $QQQ $DIA $IWM youtu.be/harejuE7XUc?...

02.10.2025 18:14 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 1 image 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 2 · Typical October Performance: Choppy Recent Years but Stronger in Post-Election Years · October has historically opened softly with mixed performance on its first trading day. On th…

October has been choppy last 21 years, but in post-election years since 1950 it has been stronger with market gains persisting until around the 15th or 16th trading day. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

26.09.2025 13:28 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The new Almanac’s here!

Come get one at the Future Proof Festival on Huntington Beach CA Sunday-Wednesday.
I’ll be at the Wiley booth.

futureproofhq.com/festival/reg...

05.09.2025 22:52 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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NASDAQ Hot Julys & Later Buys. Every NASDAQ “Hot July” since 1971, except 1980 was followed by a retreat that averaged 5.8% from July’s close to a subsequent low in the second half of the year. Expecting pullback over next 2-3 months.

01.08.2025 18:10 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 2 images 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 1 · How Low Volatility Streaks End Matter! · Of 175 past S&P 500 low volatility streaks (closing with less than +/- 1%) since 1950, 108 ended with the S&P 500 declining 1% or more. Thi…

How Low Volatility Streaks End Matter!
Difference in S&P 500 performance is eye-popping when separating past S&P 500 low volatility streaks (closing w/<+/- 1%) since 1950. Streaks that ended w/ a gain were bullish, those that ended w/ a loss were bearish. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

22.07.2025 17:57 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 2 images 💬 0  🔁 1  ❤️ 2 · Low Volatility Streaks Have Preceded Tepid S&P 500 Performance · Click here to view giant table in a new window… As of today’s close, S&P 500 has gone 18 trading days without a da…

S&P 500 low volatility streak extends to 18 trading days w/o 1% move. S&P 500 has retreated when past streaks ended. Past streaks that lasted between 26 to 30 trading days, or longer than 40 trading days, were noticeably weaker. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

21.07.2025 23:39 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Market’s Summer Retreat has started around mid-July. Since 1990, DJIA, S&P 500, and NASDAQ all negative from mid-July through the end of September. Full table here: www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

16.07.2025 19:26 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 1 image 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 1 · Summer Rally Room to Run But Running Out of Gas · NASDAQ’s Midyear Rally officially ended today up 3.3%, exceeding its typical average gain of 2.5% since 1985. However, the recent…

Summer Rally Room to Run But Running Out of Gas $DIA $SPY $QQQ $IWM NASDAQ Best 8 Months Seasonal MACD Sell Signal imminent. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

14.07.2025 21:44 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 4 images 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 0 · Bullish Before July 4th, Bearish After · Trading the three days ahead of the July 4th Independence Day holiday has historically been stronger than the days after the holiday. Tradi…

Bullish Before July 4th, Bearish After $DIA $SPY $QQQ $IWM www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

30.06.2025 21:13 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 1 image 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 0 · Most Bullish Day of Year! 1st Day July S&P 500 Up 14 Straight · July’s first trading day is the third best performing first trading day of all twelve months with DJIA gaining a cum…

Most Bullish Day of Year!
1st Day July S&P 500 Up 14 Straight, up 90.5% of the time since 2004, avg gain +0.44%. DJIA & NASDAQ are nearly as strong, up 81.0% and 85.7% respectively. Most consistently bullish day of the year! www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

30.06.2025 19:45 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Anthony Scaramucci Unfiltered: Crypto, Trump, Geopolitics & Wall Street | WealthWise Exclusive
YouTube video by CrossCheck Media Anthony Scaramucci Unfiltered: Crypto, Trump, Geopolitics & Wall Street | WealthWise Exclusive

Pleasure having Anthony @Scaramucci on my WealthWise podcast last Friday for a timely, candid, unfiltered discussion on #Bitcoin #Crypto, #Trump, Geopolitics & Wall Street youtu.be/d_8EkO3fKx0

16.06.2025 16:32 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 1 image 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 0 · Small Caps Rocking Typical Post-Election June · In post-election years since 1950, early June strength has been notably stronger for NASDAQ and Russell 2000 while DJIA and S&P 500…

Small Caps Rocking Typical Post-Election June.
Early strength notably stronger for NASDAQ & R2K. $DIA $SPY have typically struggled. June 2025 3.8% $IWM & 2.5% $QQQ sets up a typical brisk, mid-month drop followed by a month-end rally led by tech & small caps. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

10.06.2025 19:56 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Mastering Market Momentum: Alex Spiroglou Unveils the MACD-V on WealthWise
YouTube video by CrossCheck Media Mastering Market Momentum: Alex Spiroglou Unveils the MACD-V on WealthWise

Mastering Market Momentum: @AlexSpiroglou Unveils the MACD-V on WealthWise. Great to catch up and go deep on technicals with my mate Alex technician extraordinaire from across the pond His SMART Trader System is killer. #MACD-V is not my father's MACD! www.youtube.com/watch?v=Afr3...

03.06.2025 20:37 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Hope you can join my: Don’t Sell in May! Reposition Your Portfolio with These ETFs presentation @MoneyShow May 2025 Virtual Expo, May 21–22. I’ll be joined by many others including @StovallCFRA & @EricBalchunas It’s Free! Use this link www.moneyshow.com/expert/ed8d4...

16.05.2025 18:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 1 image 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 1 · Typical Post-Election Year May · Post-election year May historical performance is impressive when compared to the recent 21-year trend. Early strength has lasted until around the s…

Typical Post-Election Year May performance impressive vs recent trend. Strength 1st 6 days avg gains >1%. Weakness 6th-9th days. Briskly higher through month-end. If this keeps tracking, we’ll likely push thru 200DMAs mid-month. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

09.05.2025 19:04 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 1 image 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 2 · Thrust and Verify · Technicals are flashing green. Stocks should be higher a year from now, but we are not out of the woods yet. The V-Bottom/Zweig Breadth Thrust Scenario has a fe…

Thrust & Verify. Technicals flashing green. Stocks likely higher a year from now, but not out of woods. V-Bottom/Zweig Thrust/VIX Spike Scenario has a few hurdles. Until we clear 5500, declining 50DMA, April 2-3 Tariff and Election gaps market likely choppy thru summer www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

29.04.2025 17:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 2 images 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 3 · May 2025 Almanac: Best Russell 2000 month in Post-Election Years · May has been a tricky month over the years, a well-deserved reputation following the May 6, 2010 “flash crash”. I…

May 2025 Almanac: Best Russell 2000 month in post-election years, up 10 of 11 with average gain of 3.6%. 2nd best NASDAQ month, up 10 of last 13 average gain 3.0%. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

29.04.2025 13:20 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 1 image 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 0 · Bear Market Rally? Near-Term Bounce? · Uncertainty still hangs over the market, economy & global trade. But based upon the retreat in CBOE Volatility index (VIX) from around 60 bac…

Bear Market Rally? Near-Term Bounce? Uncertainty still hangs over the market. But based on $VIX retreat from 60 to 30, our waterfall decline research, and Republican post-election year seasonal trend, a short-term bottom could be in. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

22.04.2025 17:20 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 2 images 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 1 · Bounce Fails After 2-Day 10% Rout Wait for Fatter Pitch · Good news. Six months from now this tariff tantrum should be behind us. But the history of these crashes is not the kind o…

Bounce Fails After 2-Day 10% Rout Wait for Fatter Pitch. In 6 mo this tariff tantrum should be behind us. But this history is not company we like to keep. All previous occurred during bears, recessions &/or war. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

08.04.2025 20:51 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 1 image 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 0 · Post-Election Year Woes Persist · There’s no way to sugarcoat it, unless the market can get back into the green for the year in April, our more bullish base case scenario for 8-12%…

Post-Election Year Woes Persist. 2025 tracking weak post-election performance on p28, Stock Trader’s Almanac 2025. Unless market rebounds in April in store for tough sledding through Q3. Increased odds of flat to negative year. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

02.04.2025 20:03 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Post by @jeffhirsch · 1 image 💬 0  🔁 0  ❤️ 1 · Down Q1 Can Lead to More Trouble · This is no April Fool’s joke. Adding to our concerns that the market in 2025 continues to track less bullish post-election year scenarios is the…

Down Q1 Can Lead to More Trouble. Q2 & Q3 weak overall Q3 esp in post-elect. If bear usually near low, if not more trouble. Weak Rep post-elect p28 of 2025 Almanac 1953, 1957, 1969, 1973, 1981, Carter 1977 & 2022 standout. Bear turns in 1980, 1982, 2003, 2009 & 2020. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...

01.04.2025 19:44 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Navigating Investment Pitfalls: Barry Ritholtz Shares Insights on 'How Not To Invest'
YouTube video by CrossCheck Media Navigating Investment Pitfalls: Barry Ritholtz Shares Insights on 'How Not To Invest'

The Three Most Important Words “I Don’t Know”
Check out my latest podcast conversation. Navigating Investment Pitfalls: Barry @Ritholtz Shares Insights from his new book How Not To Invest... youtu.be/pvcrDDWRwJI via @YouTube

31.03.2025 19:25 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Taxes Schmaxes – April Strong Open to Close.
Deadline Impact Fades.
1st half April no longer outperforms. Bullish all month long recent 21 years and post-election since 1950 w/some minor blips along the way jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7791111...

26.03.2025 20:07 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Navigating the Future of Cryptocurrency: Insights from Adrian Zduńczyk, Founder of THE ₿IRB NEST®
YouTube video by CrossCheck Media Navigating the Future of Cryptocurrency: Insights from Adrian Zduńczyk, Founder of THE ₿IRB NEST®

youtu.be/1QJMqzyUqeQ?...

25.03.2025 19:37 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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April is the second-best month for DJIA (+1.8%) and S&P 500 (+1.5%) since 1950 and fourth best for NASDAQ (+1.3%) since 1971. Post-election year April performance is just as good. NASDAQ’s 3 April post-election year declines were in 1973, 1993 and 2005. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7790171...

25.03.2025 19:36 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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