Sam (ABeardedPanda)

It's kinda funny how the "real" situation room is a bunch of curtains up in Mar A Lago and the one in the White House is the kiddie table where they leave JD Vance and Tulsi Gabbard

Baron Harkonnen spent years planning every moment of the invasion of Arrakis to guarantee just the right balance of deniability and threat, when he could've just gone for it on a whim because of Twitter memes and prediction market bets.

the honest opinion of basically everyone in the broader US aligned alliance system on this is "I mean of course I wish he hadn't done it, these people are obviously fucking insane so figure it out dems, but come on, you want me to shed tears over the *Iranian* regime??? bffr"

How many times do we think this has happened?

sorry but the cuck chair was destroyed by TLAMs this morning at 0812

They’re calling it the cleanest on OPSEC anyone has ever been

Unlike the 12 Day War in which Iran used a certain segment of its missile force to retaliate in distinguishable waves, this is complete chaos. Many missiles across many fronts, potentially with units acting without centralized authority.

Making Tulsi Gabbard into less of a security risk by regime changing all the countries she's on the payroll of

i'm still thinking about how DOGE set up a starlink terminal inside the WH complex and were plugging unsecured commercial devices into every server they could get access to

> @jimlaporta.bsky.social

they're not legislators, they're twitch streamers in their 70s

You know, one of these days, I would like to be wrong.

Operation Midnight Hammer was on June 22nd.

crazy how different of a world it is than the one I grew up in, like, the ‘03 Blue Dogs are so gone, now we’re primarily mad at someone like Newsom for nodding with the justification before condemning the action and the only elected guy fully behind it is the one with literal brain damage

I feel like "You. Do. Not. Get. A. Mulligan." needs to be stressed because it simultaneously raises the risk floor but also the risk ceiling for the PRC. Once you're willing to upend a status quo that isn't even that bad for you, you're going to be willing to go very far in pursuit of victory

Not CENTCOM using two previously undisclosed Tomahawk mods in their opening strikes. A TLAM with new RAM coating (supposedly) and forward-swept wings TLAM (regular Tomahawks don't have forward-swept wings).

Yea this is my fear, lots of people looking askance at Cuba, but choosing to actually use force against Greenland or Canada is probably the “bridge too far”.

The problem is that yes, coercive force to reunify is incredibly irrational but if they make that choice, the decisions that follow can be fully rational from their perspective while also being incredibly escalatory

I mean the elephant in the room here is that blockades are very explicitly an act of war and the PRC would be delusional if they thought the ROC wouldn't respond kinetically and much of the world would not respond politically

people tell you video games don't teach you anything but I recognized that flag on the left because of Empire Divided lmfao

If it was me I’d shoot the rough beast slouching towards Bethlehem. Simply not interested in seeing where that goes.

the level of people currently scrambling to blame democrats for trump's attack on iran is off the fucking charts

it sucks actually that right now there are just two going concerns in foreign policy, "america is the Great Satan and everything we do is Wrong" vs "america is King Rapist fuck you"

🐴👞🐴👞🐴👞

you want to here an unpopular take? the iranian regime sucks. the venezuelan regime sucks. THE TRUMP REGIME SUCKS. as liberals we need to dig out heads out of the paper bag and remember what our principles really are

I'm not sure that purging the entire Chinese military leadership is necessarily the best preparation for an invasion of Taiwan

Also, between the USA's schizophrenic government, Russia bogged down in Ukraine as Assad and Khameni get merced, and China purging its military there are no reliable great power allies so unless you're on real good terms with France, YOLO.

This is basically my view at this point