From a decision science standpoint, one of the best ways to get to the bottom of any situation is to have 8-12 randos show up and talk it through. It really works well the vast majority of the time.
07.10.2025 21:20 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0@bachlaw.bsky.social
Lawyer, former Wisconsinite, (coefficient) shrinkage enthusiast. Baseball Prospectus stats, PECOTA. Likes: Brewers, Packers, statistical parameters.
From a decision science standpoint, one of the best ways to get to the bottom of any situation is to have 8-12 randos show up and talk it through. It really works well the vast majority of the time.
07.10.2025 21:20 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Ah yes, to hear the evidence that was kept out, and to ask the judge if they thought you reached the right verdict, and to be told by the judge that if you thought it through and followed the instructions, then it was the right verdict.
07.10.2025 21:12 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Hope you found it instructive. It is a great process that on balance works very well.
07.10.2025 21:10 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0In a meeting today, my friend and colleague Aidan mentioned the lack of Ricks in baseball today. It reminded me about how weβre in a bit of a Jefficit, too. Peak Jeff was 1993. (via @stathead.com): stathead.com/tiny/clLaU
07.10.2025 18:06 β π 6 π 1 π¬ 0 π 1This is a fantastic and well-executed idea.
"The biggest threat to an MLB pitcherβs career is not a career-ending injuryβitβs ineffectiveness."
On the Trajekt stuff, @jrodrigues39.bsky.social had a great piece in August about how Trajekt teams have bigger OPS jumps on the first time through the order, and their home OPS on the third turn has the most significant jump www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...
07.10.2025 13:24 β π 1 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0The Brewersβ Game 2 pitching plan was so detailed it included Quinn Priester warming up as a decoy. Aside from a first inning blip, it went beautifully.
But to win by launching homers? Who could have planned for that?
On the unpredictability of October: www.mlb.com/news/brewers...
In case you wanted the video
07.10.2025 04:03 β π 67 π 13 π¬ 6 π 4This Photo of Chourio's HR π₯π₯π₯
07.10.2025 04:11 β π 116 π 24 π¬ 2 π 5That is 100% what I said and we are here. Man.
07.10.2025 01:44 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Woof City, population Mike Estabrook
07.10.2025 01:40 β π 88 π 25 π¬ 4 π 6Me too tbh. It looked catchable here. π
07.10.2025 01:33 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Probably right.
06.10.2025 00:43 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Yeah he can just do the Contreras run to first as needed, leaving the LF question
06.10.2025 00:23 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0How Sharpie maker Newell Brands onshored the manufacturing of the markers to a 37-year-old factory in Tennessee, while enhancing quality and without raising prices.
05.10.2025 16:38 β π 34 π 7 π¬ 8 π 2Well those admittedly are two days old so they donβt account for the game 1 result.
05.10.2025 15:38 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0These Mariners odds (and other somewhat elevated ones, including ours) are absolutely wild to me but it always depends what you are conditioning on.
05.10.2025 15:31 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0Well it creates a de facto Manfred Man, so in that case, quite often
05.10.2025 03:53 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0If MLB can make money off it, absolutely βusedβ
05.10.2025 01:59 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0The worst
05.10.2025 00:43 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Judge IMMERGUT, a Trump appointee to the bench, ruled that Trump's call-up was based on false claims about unrest in Portland and that Trump's own statements were "simply untethered to the facts." storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
04.10.2025 23:50 β π 2996 π 789 π¬ 64 π 100www.nytimes.com/athletic/669... In NLDS Game 1 rout, Brewers show how they became baseballβs best team
05.10.2025 00:09 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Even in a music conservatory, the students sung βKill the Wabbitβ during the Wagner chapter.
04.10.2025 21:48 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Out-homering the other team 3-0 and losing 9-3 is something else. Talk about dispiriting.
04.10.2025 21:17 β π 5 π 0 π¬ 1 π 1my wife is a Cal fan and apparently this week theyβre putting a β59β on their football helmets to honor the 59 Nobel laureates tied to Cal in order to flex on Duke
this is maybe my favorite dunk anyone has ever done on Duke
I figure Ashby needs to finish this one out
04.10.2025 20:30 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I suspect it is because he is not Paul Skenes
04.10.2025 19:49 β π 16 π 0 π¬ 3 π 0This Cubs-Brewers game has vividly demonstrated the importance of hitting home runs in the postseason.
04.10.2025 19:05 β π 20 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0As Skip Caray often said during the middle of ugly Braves losses in the β80s, βYou have my permission to go walk the dog now, if you promise to patronize our sponsors.β
04.10.2025 19:03 β π 41 π 10 π¬ 1 π 0Now Cubs can bring Boyd back to start Game 2. Chess, not checkers.
04.10.2025 18:34 β π 72 π 8 π¬ 4 π 2