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Jonathan Judge

@bachlaw.bsky.social

Lawyer, former Wisconsinite, (coefficient) shrinkage enthusiast. Baseball Prospectus stats, PECOTA. Likes: Brewers, Packers, statistical parameters.

2,626 Followers  |  262 Following  |  2,944 Posts  |  Joined: 01.07.2023
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Posts by Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw.bsky.social)

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NEW: Four federal judges have formed a firewall against ICE in West Virginia β€” and say they’ll punish state and federal officials of they continue detaining people in ways they have ruled illegal and unconstitutional.

www.politico.com/news/2026/03...

01.03.2026 12:44 β€” πŸ‘ 7781    πŸ” 2324    πŸ’¬ 115    πŸ“Œ 115

Congratulations! Also, I cannot believe you did not thank the Academy.

01.03.2026 00:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

With alt text. I’ve…never seen a court talk like this before?

28.02.2026 14:06 β€” πŸ‘ 2108    πŸ” 612    πŸ’¬ 31    πŸ“Œ 21

I love this story, especially the part where the scout who fought to draft him met Woodruff at Applebees the same day he was drafted to put the team’s $10k on the muscle.

27.02.2026 02:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Milwaukee banks on Brandon Woodruff, comeback master, to lead a Brewers-style rotation

www.nytimes.com/athletic/707...

27.02.2026 01:59 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you for doing your part to combat Voter Fraud.

26.02.2026 13:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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2026 Season Preview: Milwaukee Brewers | Baseball Prospectus Look, get mad if you need to, but the Brewers can't outperform expectations unless we set some.

I wrote up our season preview for the Brewers. I used the team that regularly frustrates our projections to talk about/theorize how/why I think they do, and what we can learn from it. Putting what we can learn from it into practice in a way that enhances projections is not straightfoward, though

25.02.2026 17:25 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Does the paper even allow comments anymore?

23.02.2026 21:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Went ahead and put some @bachlaw.bsky.social thoughts into an article. www.jsonline.com/story/sports...

23.02.2026 20:45 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Well that is waiving some red meat around. I’m sure it will be well received!

23.02.2026 21:23 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Shocked that I am so explicit that I merit multiple bleeps. Is this a family-friendly program?

23.02.2026 15:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Why does one major projection system have a low opinion of the Brewers? (02.23.2026) The Baseball Prospectus PECOTA rankings believe the Brewers will finish around .500 and well behind the Cubs. Even though the Brewers won 97 games last year and bring back a ton of the same players. S...

Chatted about Pat Murphy's extension and Trevor Megill with Todd Rosiak, then a meaty chat with @bachlaw.bsky.social about PECOTA once again considering the Brewers a meh team. Does PECOTA just hate powder blue tops with gray pants? audioboom.com/posts/886458...

23.02.2026 12:39 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

Pretty typical actually. Drag their asses around the first half, open up a four point lead early in the second that sticks, go on a big run late, voila.

23.02.2026 02:27 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Brewers rotation completely washed, I am verklempt

23.02.2026 02:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Ladder those painkillers

23.02.2026 02:20 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Quite stressful tbqh

22.02.2026 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Survivors bias

Survivors bias

USA hockey rn

22.02.2026 15:07 β€” πŸ‘ 390    πŸ” 74    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 4
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Wall Street’s Latest Bet Is on β€˜HALO’ Companies With AI Immunity Deere and McDonald’s have become darlings to investors worried about broad AI disruption.

Investors are flocking to factory owners, fast-food restaurants and commodity companies with seemingly strong odds of surviving the AI revolution intact.

22.02.2026 13:38 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 3

Can we please knock this shit off? Obviously the β€œhope they won’t see me” approach has not been working.

22.02.2026 15:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Finally, a visualization of Brewers projections

22.02.2026 03:13 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Justifiably so.

22.02.2026 00:05 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Leo's body language is akin to the parish priest who knows the man beats his wife but has to deal with him anyway because he funds the carnival.

21.02.2026 22:31 β€” πŸ‘ 244    πŸ” 27    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 1

Judge Ho, still campaigning for Alito's seat, adds that, just to be clear, he thinks placing the 10 Commandments in public school classrooms is totally constitutional.

20.02.2026 21:50 β€” πŸ‘ 166    πŸ” 53    πŸ’¬ 19    πŸ“Œ 4

Gotta have at least one β€œjersey guy” and he seems to have been a fine choice

21.02.2026 17:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Quite difficult to work your way up to average even though by definition there are plenty of average-ish teams. Long way up from the bottom.

21.02.2026 16:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Why the Christian Yelich-Pat Murphy relationship is central to the Brewers’ success (Gift Article) The bond Murphy and Yelich have built over nearly 10 years together makes the Brewers run.

www.nytimes.com/athletic/705...

21.02.2026 14:58 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 4

But this means the other team can see him also. Forfeiting defensive advantages left and right

21.02.2026 14:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Is it really Brewers baseball without our Caleb at third?

21.02.2026 14:23 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Pritzker’s invoice to White House:

(via @nbcnews.com) @govpritzker.illinois.gov

20.02.2026 21:33 β€” πŸ‘ 20339    πŸ” 5812    πŸ’¬ 630    πŸ“Œ 585

Not sure how much of that story is still true if it ever really was. And the teams are already getting like $200M in revenue sharing. Allegedly.

21.02.2026 00:03 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0