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Paul Kiernan

@pkwsj.bsky.social

Writing about the U.S. economy for The Wall Street Journal. Currently based in Washington. Previously CDMX, São Paulo, Rio. Tips to paul.kiernan@wsj.com or Signal/WhatsApp +1-202-808-4258 https://www.wsj.com/news/author/paul-kiernan

3,028 Followers  |  668 Following  |  550 Posts  |  Joined: 26.10.2024  |  2.0768

Latest posts by pkwsj.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Just ask Argentina how these moves pan out.

01.08.2025 18:31 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1

This jobs report, holy moly:

Revisions for May and June were larger than normal. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment
for May was revised down by 125,000, from +144,000 to +19,000, and the change for June was revised
down by 133,000, from +147,000 to +14,000.

01.08.2025 12:32 — 👍 7    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 0
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In a Country Trump Says Nobody’s Heard Of, Tariffs Bring Chaos President Trump promised Africa that trade would replace aid, but in one of the world’s poorest countries his administration is slashing both.

President Trump promised Africa that trade would replace aid. But in one of the world’s poorest countries, his administration is slashing both.

www.wsj.com/world/africa...

01.08.2025 11:57 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Major Corporations Reported Bigger Donations to Trump's Inauguration Than His Committee Disclosed General Motors, Amazon and Microsoft all disclosed donations far larger than what the committee previously reported to the FEC.

A NOTUS review of federal documents found that General Motors, Amazon and Microsoft all disclosed donations far larger than what Trump’s inauguration committee previously reported to the FEC.
via @davelevinthal.com
www.notus.org/donald-trump...

31.07.2025 18:15 — 👍 9    🔁 7    💬 2    📌 1
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Business Meeting - Committee on Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs

From Senate committee debate on bill to ban stock trading by officeholders.

"This is self-flagellation." - Ron Johnson (R., Wisc.)

"In the audience, how many of you don't want to make money? Anybody want to be poor? I don't." - Rick Scott (R. Fla.)

www.hsgac.senate.gov/hearings/bus...

31.07.2025 18:02 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 1
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The Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Is Out. Here's What to Know. The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the personal-consumption expenditures price index, for June is out. Here's what to know: In the 12 months through June, the PCE index rose by 2.6%. T...

Inflation as measured by the Fed’s preferred price index rose to 2.6% in June from 2.4% in May. Core inflation (ex. food and energy) was slightly higher than expected at 2.8%.

www.wsj.com/livecoverage...

31.07.2025 13:21 — 👍 2    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0
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Senate Declines to Block Weapons for Israel as Gaza Hunger Worries Grow The votes took on new prominence following an international outcry over images of malnourished babies and children in the Palestinian enclave.

Bernie Sanders led the effort Wednesday to block the sale of weapons to the Israeli military over its conduct in the war against Hamas. On the Senate floor, held up a stack of papers that he said contained the names of children in Gaza who have died during the war.

www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

31.07.2025 12:15 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Treasury Sanctions Alexandre de Moraes WASHINGTON — Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) is sanctioning Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice Alexandre de Moraes (de Moraes), who has used his position to authorize arbitrary pre-trial detentions and suppress freedom of expression.  “Alexandre de Moraes has taken it upon himself to be judge and jury in an unlawful witch hunt against U.S. and Brazilian citizens and companies,” said Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent.  “De Moraes is responsible for an oppressive campaign of censorship, arbitrary detentions that violate human rights, and politicized prosecutions—including against former President Jair Bolsonaro.  Today’s action makes clear that Treasury will continue to hold accountable those who threaten U.S. interests and the freedoms of our citizens.”  Today’s action is being taken pursuant to Executive Order (E.O.) 13818, which builds upon and implements the Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act and targets perpetrators of serious human rights abuse around the world.  Today’s action follows the U.S. Department of State’s revocation of de Moraes’s visa and those of his immediate family members on July 18, 2025, for their complicity in aiding and abetting de Moraes’ unlawful censorship campaign against U.S. persons on U.S. soil.DE MORAES’ ABUSIVE JUDICIAL OVERREACHDe Moraes was appointed to the STF in 2017.  Since that time, de Moraes has become one of Brazil’s most powerful individuals, wielding immense authority through his oversight of expansive STF investigations.  De Moraes has investigated, prosecuted, and suppressed those who have engaged in speech that is protected under the U.S. Constitution, repeatedly subjecting victims to long preventive detentions without bringing charges.  Through his actions as an STF justice, de Moraes has undermined Brazilians’ and Americans’ rights to freedom of expression.  In one notable instance, de Moraes arbitrarily detained a journalist for over a year in retaliation for exercising freedom of expression.De Moraes has targeted opposition politicians, including former President Jair Bolsonaro; journalists; newspapers; U.S. social media platforms; and other U.S. and international companies.  U.S.-based journalists and U.S. citizens have not been spared from de Moraes’ extraterritorial overreach.  De Moraes has imposed preventive detention on and issued a series of preventive arrest warrants against journalists and social media users, some of whom are based in the United States.  He has also directly issued orders to U.S. social media companies to block or remove hundreds of accounts, often those of his critics and other critics of the Brazilian government, including U.S. persons.  De Moraes has frozen assets and revoked passports of his critics; banned accounts from social media; and directed Brazil’s federal police to raid his critics’ homes, seize their belongings, and ensure their preventive detention. De Moraes is being sanctioned pursuant to E.O. 13818 for being a foreign person who is responsible for or complicit in, or has directly or indirectly engaged in, serious human rights abuse.GLOBAL MAGNITSKYBuilding upon the Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act, E.O. 13818 was issued on December 20, 2017, in recognition that the prevalence of human rights abuse and corruption that have their source, in whole or in substantial part, outside the United States, had reached such scope and gravity as to threaten the stability of international political and economic systems. Human rights abuse and corruption undermine the values that form an essential foundation of stable, secure, and functioning societies; have devastating impacts on individuals; weaken democratic institutions; degrade the rule of law; perpetuate violent conflicts; facilitate the activities of dangerous persons; and undermine economic markets.  The United States seeks to impose tangible and significant consequences on those who commit serious human rights abuses or engage in corruption, as well as to protect the financial system of the United States from abuse by these same persons.SANCTIONS IMPLICATIONSAs a result of today’s action, all property and interests in property of the designated or blocked person described above that are in the United States or in the possession or control of U.S. persons are blocked and must be reported to OFAC.  In addition, any entities that are owned, directly or indirectly, individually or in the aggregate, 50 percent or more by one or more blocked persons are also blocked. Unless authorized by a general or specific license issued by OFAC, or exempt, OFAC’s regulations generally prohibit all transactions by U.S. persons or within (or transiting) the United States that involve any property or interests in property of blocked persons. Violations of U.S. sanctions may result in the imposition of civil or criminal penalties on U.S. and foreign persons.  OFAC may impose civil penalties for sanctions violations on a strict liability basis.  OFAC’s Economic Sanctions Enforcement Guidelines provide more information regarding OFAC’s enforcement of U.S. economic sanctions. In addition, financial institutions and other persons may risk exposure to sanctions for engaging in certain transactions or activities involving designated or otherwise blocked persons.  The prohibitions include the making of any contribution or provision of funds, goods, or services by, to, or for the benefit of any designated or blocked person, or the receipt of any contribution or provision of funds, goods, or services from any such person. The power and integrity of OFAC sanctions derive not only from OFAC’s ability to designate and add persons to the Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons List (SDN List), but also from its willingness to remove persons from the SDN List consistent with the law.  The ultimate goal of sanctions is not to punish, but to bring about a positive change in behavior.  For information concerning the process for seeking removal from an OFAC list, including the SDN List, or to submit a request, please refer to OFAC’s guidance on Filing a Petition for Removal from an OFAC List.Click here for more information on the person designated today.###

home.treasury.gov/news/press-r...

30.07.2025 16:42 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Brazil Puts Former President Bolsonaro on Trial for Allegedly Plotting Coup ​The ruling by the country’s supreme court deals a blow to one of President Trump’s closest allies in Latin America.

Treasury sanctions Brazilian Supreme Court justice Alexandre de Moraes for "unlawful witch hunt" of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

Bolsonaro is on trial for allegedly plotting a coup and plotting the assassination of his successor, Lula. Background below:

www.wsj.com/world/americ...

30.07.2025 16:38 — 👍 6    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 1
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U.S. Economy Grew at 3.0% Rate in Second Quarter The Commerce Department said U.S. gross domestic product rose at a seasonally and inflation adjusted 3.0% annual rate in the second quarter.

Underlying demand in the economy is cooling.

Final sales to private domestic purchases, which track business and consumer spending but strip out volatile data on government, inventories and international trade, rose 1.2% in Q2 - the smallest increase in 10 quarters.

www.wsj.com/economy/us-g...

30.07.2025 12:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Famine Is Unfolding in Gaza, U.N.-Backed Group Says A U.N.-backed group’s finding is the most dire assessment of the enclave’s deepening hunger crisis since the war began.

Gaza is experiencing famine conditions, a group of global food-insecurity experts said, the most dire assessment of ithe enclave’s hunger crisis since the war began.

Netanyahu on Monday: “There is no policy of starvation in Gaza, and there is no starvation in Gaza.”

www.wsj.com/world/middle...

30.07.2025 12:31 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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A World of Misery, From 200 Miles Up

On one of the most unbelievable satellite images I've ever seen, showing hundreds of Palestinians surrounding aid trucks north of Rafah.
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/29/w...

30.07.2025 01:12 — 👍 1310    🔁 572    💬 34    📌 39
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Fed Governors Could Break Ranks as Trump Intensifies Powell Pressure Possible dissents by Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman would mark the first time in three decades that more than one Fed governor dissented at a policy meeting.

Possible dissents this week by Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman would mark the first time in three decades that more than one Federal Reserve governor dissented at a policy meeting

www.wsj.com/economy/cent...

30.07.2025 01:40 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump Administration Aims to Roll Back Bedrock Climate Tool The EPA is seeking to rescind a landmark scientific finding on greenhouse-gas emissions that the government has used to regulate emissions from power plants, aircraft and cars.

“CO2 is necessary for human, animal and plant life, and advances public health,” the EPA said in proposing to rescind one of the government’s tools used to regulate greenhouse gas emissions. www.wsj.com/science/envi...

30.07.2025 01:00 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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AI Is Wrecking an Already Fragile Job Market for College Graduates Companies have long leaned on entry-level workers to do grunt work that doubles as on-the-job training. Now ChatGPT and other bots can do many of those chores.

AI is breaking what had been an unwritten covenant between companies and new graduates: Young employees are willing to work hard for lower pay. Employers provide training and experience to give them a foothold in the job market, seeding the workforce of tomorrow.

www.wsj.com/lifestyle/ca...

29.07.2025 14:16 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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CEOs Are Shrinking Their Workforces—and They Couldn’t Be Prouder Bosses aren’t just unapologetic about staff cuts. Many are touting shrinking head counts as accomplishments in the AI era.

In a memo to staff on Thursday, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said the layoffs had weighed on him as the company reorients its business to AI. “This is the enigma of success in an industry that has no franchise value,” he wrote.

www.wsj.com/lifestyle/ca...

28.07.2025 14:02 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Exclusive | Voters Welcome Immigration Curbs but Say Tactics Go Too Far, WSJ Poll Finds Most Americans support President Trump’s crackdown but dislike sending immigrants to prisons in other countries.

Most Americans support President Trump’s immigration crackdown but they say his approach goes too far, according to a new WSJ poll

www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

28.07.2025 13:20 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Jesus Chavez, a communications strategist who worked for SilverLining at the time, emailed the team a clear directive: “There will be no mention of the study taking place in Alameda.”

28.07.2025 12:48 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Russ Vought bills CFPB $5M for his security detail The expense comes as the consumer-protection agency's budget is slashed nearly in half.

Spokeswomen Rachel Cauley did not respond to questions regarding why CFPB was footing the bill for Russ Vought’s security or whether the bureau’s share represented the entirety of that security expense.

www.govexec.com/management/2...

27.07.2025 14:19 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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The Hottest Business Strategy This Summer Is Buying Crypto Small companies are raising billions of dollars to buy bitcoin and other, more obscure cryptocurrencies. What could possibly go wrong?

Companies are raising tens of billions of dollars, not to invest in their businesses or hire employees, but to purchase bitcoin and more obscure cryptocurrencies. What could go wrong?

www.wsj.com/finance/curr...

26.07.2025 14:50 — 👍 51    🔁 21    💬 4    📌 1
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Exclusive | Resilient Trump Lifted by Improved View of the Economy, WSJ Poll Finds President’s job rating holds steady despite dim views of his tax-and-spending law, tariff policies and the government’s handling of the Jeffrey Epstein investigation

At 46%, Trump’s job approval rating is stronger than the 40% he drew at this point in his first term, a new WSJ survey found.

The share of respondents saying the economy was excellent or good jumped 11 points from April to 47%, the best rating since 2021.

www.wsj.com/politics/ele...

25.07.2025 01:35 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 4

Other European states, including Spain, Ireland and Norway, recognized a Palestinian state last year, but the French decision is of a different order. France is home to the largest Jewish and Muslim populations in western Europe, and is the only nuclear power in the European Union.

25.07.2025 01:17 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Why Does Renovating the Fed Cost $2.5 Billion? Asbestos, Height Limits, Lead The yearslong project to overhaul the U.S. central bank’s headquarters in Washington, D.C., has run into multiple hurdles, including higher-than-expected groundwater at the site.

The federal Commission of Fine Arts in 2020 recommended that the Fed use more marble to better match the original buildings. The Fed had initially proposed using more glass in an effort to represent the Fed’s transparency. It amended the design to incorporate more marble.
www.wsj.com/economy/cent...

24.07.2025 23:39 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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White House tightens its grip on Jeffrey Epstein messaging Trump and his aides are staying silent to deflect criticism over his refusal to release Epstein investigation files, a senior official says.

President Trump and his aides have settled on silence as a strategy to stamp out criticism of his refusal to release files detailing the federal government's investigation of Jeffrey Epstein, a senior administration official and Republicans familiar with the White House's thinking say.

24.07.2025 12:16 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 2    📌 2
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Across the Gaza Strip, families are facing a worsening struggle to find food and child hunger is spreading quickly

www.wsj.com/world/middle...

23.07.2025 20:09 — 👍 0    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

“It’s no longer well-regarded to go on vacation to the United States, it’s now something to be frowned upon,” Danish lawmaker Rasmus Jarlov said, adding that his own household has stopped buying Heinz ketchup.

23.07.2025 14:29 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Opinion | Why American Jews No Longer Understand One Another

Why American Jews No Longer Understand One Another www.nytimes.com/2025/07/20/o...

23.07.2025 01:05 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Millions Stolen, Death Threats: Should Banks Do More to Fight ‘Pig Butchering’? Scams that trick people into transferring funds fall outside most current fraud protections. Some victims want banks to take responsibility.

Fraud was defined by lawmakers as an unauthorized transfer. Pig-butchering scams often slip through the cracks because victims are tricked by scammers into authorizing fraudulent transactions themselves.

www.wsj.com/finance/regu...

20.07.2025 02:14 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Exclusive | Obamacare Insurers Seek Double-Digit Premium Hikes Next Year Some enrollees could be hit with increases of more than 20% because of federal changes and higher health expenses.

The companies say the big increases are needed because of higher healthcare costs and changing federal policy, including cuts to subsidies that help consumers pay for plans.

www.wsj.com/health/healt...

18.07.2025 12:54 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Exclusive | Jeffrey Epstein’s Friends Sent Him Bawdy Letters for a 50th Birthday Album. One Was From Donald Trump. The leather-bound book was compiled by Ghislaine Maxwell. The president says the letter ‘is a fake thing.’

“May every day be another wonderful secret,” Trump wrote to Epstein in a birthday letter.

www.wsj.com/politics/tru...

17.07.2025 23:56 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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