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Phenomenal World

@phenomenalworld.bsky.social

Publication of Jain Family Institute. Political economy and critical social sciences. Disponível em PT / disponible en ES. phenomenalworld.org phenomenalworld.org/pt-br phenomenalworld.org/es

2,682 Followers  |  1,895 Following  |  1,687 Posts  |  Joined: 03.07.2023  |  2.1064

Latest posts by phenomenalworld.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Presupuesto en disputa | Clara Brenck & Lucca Rodrigues El gobierno de Lula da Silva se la jugó por la aprobación del llamado Régimen Fiscal Sostenible, pero a dos años de su adopción, las disputas en torno al presupuesto público muestran que la naturaleza...

Nueva pieza de @phenomenalworld.bsky.social que hace una radiografía sobre los ganadores y perdedores del nuevo régimen fiscal de Brasil.

Discusiones parecidas a las del gobierno de Petro sobre disciplina fiscal y la definición del presupuesto público.

www.phenomenalworld.org/es/analisis/...

01.08.2025 20:04 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Lula’s Budget Dispute | Clara Zanon Brenck & Lucca Rodrigues The winners and losers in Brazil’s new tax regime

"Two years after the adoption of the RFS, disputes over the public budget already show that the progressive fiscal agenda that brought Lula back to power has shot itself in the foot."

NEW: Clara Zanon Brenck + Lucca Rodrigues on Brazil's new tax regime

02.08.2025 14:28 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Um país ingovernável | Entrevista com Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira Conjuntura política e econômica do terceiro governo Lula

Recomendo leitura de entrevista histórica com o mestre dos economistas keynesianos no Brasil, Prof. Bresser Pereira, sobre a conjuntura econômica e politica do Brasil
www.phenomenalworld.org/pt-br/entrev...

29.07.2025 14:50 — 👍 13    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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Military Unification? | Dimitri Zurstrassen A critical juncture for a common European defense policy

"Around 55 percent of arms imports by European states between 2019–2023 came from the US, up from 35 percent between 2014–2018."

NEW @dzurstrassen.bsky.social reviews the persistent obstacles of European defense policy, from the EU's founding to the SAFE program.

31.07.2025 20:38 — 👍 6    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
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BRICS in 2025 | The Polycrisis Nations meet in Brasilia for the 2025 BRICS Summit. China's rise and US chaos shape the opportunities and challenges for the group.

This is brilliant analysis nb 'Western legitimacy lies buried under the rubble in Gaza' www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/bri...

26.07.2025 00:00 — 👍 16    🔁 17    💬 5    📌 2
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After Seville | Daniela Gabor COP30 in Belém

I've written the final instalment of Dispatches from Seville:

For COP30 in Belem, Brazil's leadership of the Baku to Belem Roadmap to USD 1.3 trillion renews the ’investible climate’ agenda in Seville

www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/aft...

25.07.2025 10:41 — 👍 18    🔁 13    💬 1    📌 0
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Fentanilo, aguacates y aranceles | Itzel De Haro Transformaciones en la economía de las drogas

Fentanilo, aguacates y aranceles

Itzel De Haro

www.phenomenalworld.org/es/analisis/...

19.07.2025 15:07 — 👍 14    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
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Beyond Neoliberalism? | Kate Mackenzie and Tim Sahay In search of programs, strategies, and coalitions for a new world order

May's Beyond Neoliberalism conference rounded out a decade of rethinking economics. @katemac.bsky.social @70sbachchan.bsky.social note how 2015 kicked things off w/ big shifts in China, EU, and the US, including in @rooseveltinstitute.org Rewriting the Rules.
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/bey...

24.07.2025 14:43 — 👍 23    🔁 8    💬 1    📌 0
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China is building 74% of all current solar and wind projects, report says Beijing is dominating construction of renewable energy sources, according to Global Energy Monitor

In an effort to win this contest, China is building hegemony by exporting not just its green products but also in a structural shift exporting its technology, engineering, supply chains, and financing.
phenomenalworld.org/analysis/bri...
www.ft.com/content/e517...

09.07.2025 13:33 — 👍 689    🔁 214    💬 18    📌 45
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Experiments in American Unions | Andrew Yamakawa Elrod An interview with Ben Fong

In a new interview from @phenomenalworld.bsky.social , Andrew Yamakawa Elrod sits down with the CWD’s Ben Fong to discuss the state of the NLRB and how workers can organize beyond its current confines.
www.phenomenalworld.org/interviews/b...

24.07.2025 16:04 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Three new pieces on the future of the global auto industry and its workers:

- Paolo Gerbaudo on BYD's globalization
- CUT Bahia head Alfredo Santos interviewed on BYD's operations in Camaçari, Brazil
- Jeffrey Hermanson interviewed on labor organizing in Mexico's manufacturing centers.

25.04.2025 22:23 — 👍 9    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 0
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Fentanyl, Avocados, and Tariffs Transformations in the drug economy

"In the case of China, the tariff war breaks with years of cooperation in the fight against fentanyl. A return to cooperation would be necessary to limit the flow of drug precursors from China to Mexico."

NEW, Itzel De Haro on the fentanyl trade today

18.07.2025 18:33 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Monetizing Primacy | Karthik Sankaran Trumponomics, dollar diplomacy, and multipolarity

This is really excellent from @rajakorman.bsky.social

www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/mon...

12.07.2025 09:38 — 👍 13    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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BRICS in 2025 | The Polycrisis Nations meet in Brasilia for the 2025 BRICS Summit. China's rise and US chaos shape the opportunities and challenges for the group.

"The postwar geopolitical order rested on three pillars: American hegemony, the fossil-fuel energy system, and an open, multilateral trading order. America has now attacked each pillar at the foundation of its hydrocarbon global order."
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/bri...

14.07.2025 15:46 — 👍 14    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
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The Canal Zone | Camilo López and Danilo Rivera Panama’s transit-oriented development model remains subjugated to imperial interests

"A growing sect of Panamanians online have expressed support for handing back control of the canal to the US, a sentiment that undoubtedly stems from the rigid economic inequality produced by the transitista model."

Camilo Lopez + Danilo Rivera's February piece on Panama

14.07.2025 15:02 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Common Characteristics | Xiaoyang Tang As Sino-African economic cooperation reached global attention at the beginning of the twenty-first century, Xiaoyang Tang was among the first to do field work in the region. In an interview with PW's ...

"Huawei, Alibaba, Tencent, even BYD—all of them are privately-owned companies, but when they invest overseas they are certainly representing China's image and contributing to China's policy."

NEW: PW's Maria Sikorski interviews Xiaoyang Tang

11.07.2025 16:29 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

If there’s one thing to remember about global geopolitics rn, it’s this:

“China’s dramatic surge of investment into the “new three”—EVs, batteries, and solar—is expected to crush oil demand by 5 million barrels a day by 2030.”

www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/bri... via @70sbachchan.bsky.social

10.07.2025 17:49 — 👍 7    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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Entrepreneurial State boomerang

www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/rea...

10.07.2025 20:04 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 1
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Rearming Europe | Phenomenal World The main justification for the EU’s recent dramatic reorientation toward defense is the proliferation of threats to European security emerging from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. But rather than defens...

"The Draghi report was overwhelmingly influenced by corporate interests, with 65 percent of written input coming from businesses and only 5 percent from civil society."

NEW Nick Smith on the EU's rearmament

10.07.2025 19:23 — 👍 7    🔁 6    💬 2    📌 0
08.07.2025 16:52 — 👍 5    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Monetizing Primacy | Karthik Sankaran Trumponomics, dollar diplomacy, and multipolarity

Required reading from @rajakorman.bsky.social

www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/mon... Monetizing Primacy | Karthik Sankaran

06.07.2025 03:21 — 👍 16    🔁 6    💬 3    📌 0

Really interesting piece, worth reading.

My one caveat is that for all the ups and downs since 1945 the global market centrality of US the dollar and Treasuries are as much a bet on stability of US politics as macroeconomic factors.

If markets view US politics as unstable then a lot comes unstuck.

06.07.2025 16:15 — 👍 80    🔁 17    💬 6    📌 1

"won’t happen in a hurry, but the Trump Administration’s attempts to monetize and thereby perpetuate American primacy could bring forth the macroeconomic responses that make other currencies emerge as plausible alternatives to the dollar. "

06.07.2025 18:44 — 👍 43    🔁 5    💬 2    📌 0
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“The postwar order rested on three pillars: American hegemony, the fossil-fuel energy system, and an open, multilateral trading order. America has now attacked each pillar at the foundation of its hydrocarbon global order.” —
New: @katemac.bsky.social & I
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/bri...

05.07.2025 21:18 — 👍 499    🔁 135    💬 10    📌 22

I threw everything in here—the dollar, bonds, the future of the defense umbrella, the insistence on centrality, stablecoin, why centrality is not always strength, the evolution of US & global (r,g ) dynamics, and a shoutout to Steven Solomon. But no dad jokes alas.

05.07.2025 18:36 — 👍 144    🔁 39    💬 5    📌 8
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BRICS in 2025 | The Polycrisis Nations meet in Brasilia for the 2025 BRICS Summit. China's rise and US chaos shape the opportunities and challenges for the group.

“Oil-rich BRICS members face a challenge to their growth models from those shifting green. This implicit contest over the group's dominant energy mix will decide the fate of most of the world’s peoples.”

NEW by @katemac.bsky.social & @70sbachchan.bsky.social

www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/bri...

05.07.2025 16:59 — 👍 4    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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Monetizing Primacy | Karthik Sankaran Trumponomics, dollar diplomacy, and multipolarity

“The months since April 2 have clarified the multiple contradictory desires of the Trump administration vis-a-vis its position in the global economic hierarchy.”

@rajakorman.bsky.social on Trumponomics, dollar diplomacy, and multipolarity

www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/mon...

05.07.2025 16:24 — 👍 35    🔁 17    💬 1    📌 4
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Who’s Afraid of a Fair Debt Architecture? | Iolanda Fresnillo The fourth Financing for Development Conference officially kicked off in Seville this Monday, as world leaders gathered with broad smiles to congratulate one another for the good work already achieved...

Great piece by @ifresnillo.bsky.social from @eurodadnews.bsky.social on #FfD4 debt outcome 👇

www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/who...

04.07.2025 17:11 — 👍 5    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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The Welfare State and Its Discontents | Daniela Gabor A dispatch from Financing for Development in Seville

"A document that examines in detail the foreign and domestic, public and private resources that could finance development does not consider, not even once, the most important institution of public money creation: the central bank."

NEW by @danielagabor.bsky.social, third dispatch from FfD4.

03.07.2025 14:27 — 👍 15    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0
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Who’s Afraid of a Fair Debt Architecture? | Iolanda Fresnillo The fourth Financing for Development Conference officially kicked off in Seville this Monday, as world leaders gathered with broad smiles to congratulate one another for the good work already achieved...

"Instead of a commitment to redress the imbalances of a creditor-dominated system, the outcome is a weak mandate that some want to limit further to an annual discussion in New York."

NEW @ifresnillo.bsky.social on the FfD4 outcome document, Compromiso de Sevilla

02.07.2025 14:29 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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