Kurtis M.'s Avatar

Kurtis M.

@stormorknot.bsky.social

Meteorologist | Catastrophe Modeler | Skywarn Spotter | Data wrangler | Inquisitive | Views are my own He/him 🏠Boston

930 Followers  |  1,301 Following  |  296 Posts  |  Joined: 11.11.2024  |  1.9722

Latest posts by stormorknot.bsky.social on Bluesky

map showing the 6-10 day temperature outlook for November 26 through November 30. Below average temperatures are expected across a large area of the central US with above average temperatures in the west, across Florida, Alaska, and Hawaii.

map showing the 6-10 day temperature outlook for November 26 through November 30. Below average temperatures are expected across a large area of the central US with above average temperatures in the west, across Florida, Alaska, and Hawaii.

La NiΓ±a, the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), and the potential for a rare November Sudden Stratospheric Warming event (you're likely to have heard of this referred to as the "polar vortex") may combine to drive winter-like conditions across much of the U.S. late November into early December.

22.11.2025 14:00 β€” πŸ‘ 132    πŸ” 33    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 3
Preview
A Climate β€˜Shock’ Is Eroding Some Home Values. New Data Shows How Much. (Gift Article) Changes in the insurance market have started to affect home prices in the most disaster-prone areas, new research finds, pushing some homeowners’ finances to the breaking point.

β€œglobal reinsurance companies have had what the researchers call a β€˜climate epiphany’ and have roughly doubled the rates.” www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

22.11.2025 14:23 β€” πŸ‘ 50    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2

BREAKING: Marjorie Taylor Greene says she's resigning from Congress β€” effective January 5, 2026.

22.11.2025 01:11 β€” πŸ‘ 7229    πŸ” 1320    πŸ’¬ 643    πŸ“Œ 1074

Before the midterms of 1866, President Andrew Johnson called his congressional opponents traitors and said they should be hanged.

Voters were so profoundly moved by his words... that they gave his opponents a supermajority in Congress, and the nation got the Fourteenth Amendment.

20.11.2025 15:33 β€” πŸ‘ 32496    πŸ” 10542    πŸ’¬ 606    πŸ“Œ 667
Record-breaking winds confirmed for Hurricane Melissa | NCAR & UCAR News

252 mph! news.ucar.edu/133047/recor...

#WxSky

19.11.2025 21:57 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

They voted 427 to 1 to release the files!!! Talk about bipartisanship we never see.

PS #ReleaseTheFiles

18.11.2025 20:00 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
DeepMind releases a new weather forecasting model for more accurate predictions WeatherNext 2 can generate information around eight times faster than the previous version.
17.11.2025 18:15 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The number of women who want to leave the US quadrupled over last decade, poll says A record number of American women and girls aged 15 to 44 say they want to permanently leave the country, according to a new Gallup survey.

A record number of American women and girls aged 15 to 44 say they want to permanently leave the country, according to a new Gallup survey.

17.11.2025 00:00 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 5

This is so so disturbing. Trump is now pardoning January 6th rioters for unrelated crimes, just to reward them for their violence to keep him in power.

The Republican Party is in the full time business of endorsing and incentivizing political violence. So scary.

15.11.2025 19:19 β€” πŸ‘ 5299    πŸ” 1894    πŸ’¬ 197    πŸ“Œ 80
Map showing rain totals for the last 7 days and showing red in Santa Barbara County, Yellow in Ventura County, Green in LA County

Map showing rain totals for the last 7 days and showing red in Santa Barbara County, Yellow in Ventura County, Green in LA County

Current storm totals (!). Santa Barbara has some locations with more than 10 inches so far. 11/16/25 0650am #rain #CAwx #SantaBarbara #LosAngeles #VenturaCounty

16.11.2025 14:57 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

That #LARain is really coming down this morning. Flash Flood Warnings for all of Los Angeles, with one "Considerable" west of town. Various reports of flooded roads, rocks & trees down.

15.11.2025 16:43 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Aurora color guide! What creates the different shades?

Different atoms getting "excited" at different altitudes

The bright reds are a sign of a particularly intense event

12.11.2025 03:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1179    πŸ” 451    πŸ’¬ 33    πŸ“Œ 28
Post image

Folks β€” what COLOR aurora are you seeing? Send us your reports and please share! This is useful data. Date and times are super valuable too!

A lot of y’all are seeing red auroras. You’re seeing the top of the aurora.

12.11.2025 04:14 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 1
Post image

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ πŸ“° NEW | Analysis: #China’s #CO2 #emissions have now been flat or falling for 18 months

www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chinas-co2-emissions-have-now-been-flat-or-falling-for-18-months/

@laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social w/ @carbonbrief.org

11.11.2025 02:27 β€” πŸ‘ 65    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 7

Reuters: U.S. SUPREME COURT REJECTS CASE THAT THREATENED ITS LANDMARK 2015 RULING RECOGNIZING A CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT TO SAME-SEX MARRIAGE

10.11.2025 14:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2427    πŸ” 431    πŸ’¬ 79    πŸ“Œ 75
Post image

November 9/10: Rather exceptional snowfall forecast here in the greater Chicago metro region, including northwest Indiana. Very dangerous driving conditions given snowfall rates could be 3+ inches per hour (plus 30 mph winds). Locations just miles apart could see dramatically different snow totals.

10.11.2025 01:17 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It seems foreign news organizations are unfortunately obeying in advance. I expected this day to come and not surprised BBC is one. I’m glad I moved on to more reliable news sources years ago.

09.11.2025 18:43 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

Appropriately strong wording from @NWSChicago AFD regarding the potential for multiple intense bands of lake effect snow tonight into Monday morning.

Extremely heavy snow with zero visibility, high winds, and lightning possible in the strongest bands.

09.11.2025 15:43 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2

Cruelty really is the point. Who else would go to court begging for permission to starve their own citizens? Meanwhile, they send $40 billion to Argentina, buying two private jets for ICE β€œBarbie,” and Trump has already burned through $1 trillion in less than two months.

08.11.2025 00:54 β€” πŸ‘ 4569    πŸ” 1359    πŸ’¬ 95    πŸ“Œ 38
Post image

Shirley you can’t be serious!
I regret to say, I am.
Model support for another Caribbean system is growing in the 10 day range.
Something to watch as water temps are still plenty hot to support a storm.
Pictured is the Euro chance of tropical development which is near 70%. Hopefully it’s weak.

07.11.2025 20:19 β€” πŸ‘ 171    πŸ” 35    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1
Post image

Weakest October Job Market in 22 years 🚨🚨🚨

06.11.2025 16:47 β€” πŸ‘ 46    πŸ” 18    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 4
Post image

This has to be unheard of. With an extraordinary peak flash rate of 699 flashes per minute just prior to landfall in Jamaica, Melissa probably set the record for the most prolific inner-core lightning outbreak ever recorded in an Atlantic hurricane.

06.11.2025 17:40 β€” πŸ‘ 54    πŸ” 19    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Jury acquits D.C. 'sandwich guy' charged with chucking a sub at a federal agent Sean Dunn faced single misdemeanor offense after federal grand jurors refused to indict him on the felony charge sought by prosecutors.

BREAKING: JUSTICE DEPARTMENT EATS A LOSS IN 'SANDWICH GUY' CASE AS JURORS FIND DEFENDANT NOT GUILTY www.nbcnews.com/politics/jus...

06.11.2025 19:27 β€” πŸ‘ 23124    πŸ” 5407    πŸ’¬ 1017    πŸ“Œ 1449

BREAKING: PROP 50 HAS PASSED IN CALIFORNIA

05.11.2025 04:01 β€” πŸ‘ 22974    πŸ” 3200    πŸ’¬ 494    πŸ“Œ 270
Preview
Google’s new weather model impressed during its first hurricane season Meanwhile, the US Global Forecasting System continues to get worse.
04.11.2025 22:51 β€” πŸ‘ 65    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3
Post image

BREAKING: MAMDANI HAS WON according to Decision Desk

05.11.2025 02:15 β€” πŸ‘ 19693    πŸ” 2810    πŸ’¬ 489    πŸ“Œ 296
Post image

🚨Climate warning from UN ahead of #COP30: Overshooting Paris targets risks catastrophic damage.

⚑Guterres urges world leaders to β€œchange course now”.

⏳Every delay brings us closer to tipping points: melting ice, dying reefs, Amazon savannahs.

#ClimateChange

www.theguardian.com/environment/...

04.11.2025 09:50 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 3
Video thumbnail

πŸ“½οΈ WATCH: The U.S. government doesn’t track how often immigration agents detain citizens. So ProPublica did.

We found more than 170 incidents since the start of Trump’s second term. Americans have been kicked, dragged and held for days without access to lawyers.

➑️ Full story: propub.li/3LjuAVS

03.11.2025 02:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1715    πŸ” 956    πŸ’¬ 31    πŸ“Œ 48

#CLIMATERISK JOBS
Moody’s RMS has opened up hiring for a bunch of entry level roles in London, NYC and Edinburgh.
These are positions across our model development, customer success (my org), and data science teams. If you are a grad or soon to be grad looking for work this could be for you!

30.10.2025 21:43 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

From the Aon October 31, 2025 Review of Global Catastrophe Activity comes this rainfall image for Melissa:

31.10.2025 16:15 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

@stormorknot is following 19 prominent accounts