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Henry Laws

@henryglaws.bsky.social

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1,112 Followers  |  1,638 Following  |  673 Posts  |  Joined: 30.12.2024  |  1.8359

Latest posts by henryglaws.bsky.social on Bluesky

Key Points
Question
What was the global impact of COVID-19 vaccinations on deaths during the 2020-2024 period?
Findings
This comparative effectiveness study found that
COVID-19 vaccinations averted 2.5 million deaths during 2020-2024 (sensitivity range estimates, 1.4-4.0 million) and saved 15 million life-years (sensitivity range estimates, 7-24 million life-years). The estimated benefits had a steep age gradient.
Meaning
COVID-19 vaccinations had a substantial benefit on global mortality during 2020-2024, but this benefit was mostly limited to a minority of the population of older individuals.

Key Points Question What was the global impact of COVID-19 vaccinations on deaths during the 2020-2024 period? Findings This comparative effectiveness study found that COVID-19 vaccinations averted 2.5 million deaths during 2020-2024 (sensitivity range estimates, 1.4-4.0 million) and saved 15 million life-years (sensitivity range estimates, 7-24 million life-years). The estimated benefits had a steep age gradient. Meaning COVID-19 vaccinations had a substantial benefit on global mortality during 2020-2024, but this benefit was mostly limited to a minority of the population of older individuals.

Abstract
Importance
Estimating global lives and life-years saved is important to put into perspective the benefits of COVID-19 vaccination. Prior studies have focused mainly on the pre-Omicron period or only on specific regions, and lack crucial life-year calculations and often depend on strong modeling assumptions with unaccounted uncertainty.
Objective
To calculate the lives and life-years saved by COVID-19 vaccination worldwide from the onset of the vaccination campaigns and until October 1, 2024.
Design, Setting, and Participants This comparative effectiveness study considered different strata of the worldwide population according to age, community-dwelling and long-term care residence status, pre-Omicron and Omicron periods, and vaccination before and after a SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Exposures
of doses.
Any COVID-19 vaccination in any schedule and number
Main Outcome Measure
Death.
Results
In the main analysis, more than 2.5 million deaths were averted (1 death averted per 5400 vaccine doses administered). Eighty-two percent were among people vaccinated before any infection, 57% were during the Omicron period, and 90% pertained to people 60 years or older. Sensitivity analyses suggested 1.4 to 4.0 million lives were saved. Some sensitivity analyses showed a preponderance of the benefit during the pre-Omicron period.

Abstract Importance Estimating global lives and life-years saved is important to put into perspective the benefits of COVID-19 vaccination. Prior studies have focused mainly on the pre-Omicron period or only on specific regions, and lack crucial life-year calculations and often depend on strong modeling assumptions with unaccounted uncertainty. Objective To calculate the lives and life-years saved by COVID-19 vaccination worldwide from the onset of the vaccination campaigns and until October 1, 2024. Design, Setting, and Participants This comparative effectiveness study considered different strata of the worldwide population according to age, community-dwelling and long-term care residence status, pre-Omicron and Omicron periods, and vaccination before and after a SARS-CoV-2 infection. Exposures of doses. Any COVID-19 vaccination in any schedule and number Main Outcome Measure Death. Results In the main analysis, more than 2.5 million deaths were averted (1 death averted per 5400 vaccine doses administered). Eighty-two percent were among people vaccinated before any infection, 57% were during the Omicron period, and 90% pertained to people 60 years or older. Sensitivity analyses suggested 1.4 to 4.0 million lives were saved. Some sensitivity analyses showed a preponderance of the benefit during the pre-Omicron period.

An estimated 14.8 million life-years were saved (1 life-year saved per 900 vaccine doses administered). The sensitivity range was 7.4 to 23.6 million life-years. Most life-years saved (76%) were among people 60 years or older, but long-term care residents contributed only 2% of the total. Children and adolescents (0.01% of lives saved and 0.1% of life-years saved) and young adults aged 20 through 29 years (0.07% of lives saved and 0.3% of life-years saved) had very small contributions to the total benefit.
Conclusions and Relevance
Estimates in this study are substantially more conservative than previous calculations focusing mostly on the first year of vaccination, but they still clearly demonstrate a major overall benefit from COVID-19 vaccination during the years 2020-2024. Most benefits in lives and life-years saved was secured for a portion of older persons, a minority of the global population.

An estimated 14.8 million life-years were saved (1 life-year saved per 900 vaccine doses administered). The sensitivity range was 7.4 to 23.6 million life-years. Most life-years saved (76%) were among people 60 years or older, but long-term care residents contributed only 2% of the total. Children and adolescents (0.01% of lives saved and 0.1% of life-years saved) and young adults aged 20 through 29 years (0.07% of lives saved and 0.3% of life-years saved) had very small contributions to the total benefit. Conclusions and Relevance Estimates in this study are substantially more conservative than previous calculations focusing mostly on the first year of vaccination, but they still clearly demonstrate a major overall benefit from COVID-19 vaccination during the years 2020-2024. Most benefits in lives and life-years saved was secured for a portion of older persons, a minority of the global population.

The research offers the first global estimate of both lives saved AND life-years gained through COVID-19 vaccination between 2020 and 2024.

The study has been published in JAMA Health Forum. YES, it is PEER-REVIEWED
• jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

🧪🧵⬇️

10.08.2025 16:02 — 👍 127    🔁 28    💬 2    📌 0

WELL NOW, would you look at that? A massive GLOBAL study revealed COVID-19 vaccines utilizing mRNA technology PREVENTED OVER 2.5 MILLION deaths WORLDWIDE between 2020 and 2024.

It reveals that vaccinations didn’t JUST protect against illness.

They PRESERVED nearly 15 MILLION years of human life.

10.08.2025 16:00 — 👍 1904    🔁 692    💬 29    📌 16
Preview
توضیح: بررسی اجمالی سویدا ۲۰۲۵ – درگیری و زمینه‌های ان چکیده گزارش در استان سویدا، درگیری‌هایی میان گروه‌های مسلح دروزی و شبه‌نظامیان بدوی رخ داد و هر دو طرف به خشونت متوسل شدند دولت موقت سوریه (SCG) مدعی تلاش برای پایان دادن به این درگیری‌ها بود، اما در عمل نیروهای آن تنها در خشونت مرگبار علیه جمعیت دروزی مشارکت داشتند پس از مداخله اسرائیل و […]
10.08.2025 10:22 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Anarchism and Democracy Anarchism is a social movement which advocates the abolition of all forms of domination and exploitation in favour of a society based on freedom, equality and co-operation. It holds that this goal …

Baker discuses that here:

10.08.2025 16:57 — 👍 3    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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The Kronstadt uprising of 1921 - Ida Mett Ida Mett's history of the Kronstadt uprising highlights one of the most important yet neglected events of the Russian Revolution.

Source: p88 of 2nd pdf.

libcom.org/article/kron...

10.08.2025 14:39 — 👍 16    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

One of the earliest examples of someone connecting anarchism with democracy is Ida Mett, co-author of the platform, saying in 1938 that "we may conclude by saying that anarchism had an influence on the Kronstadt insurrection to the extent that it advocated the idea of proletarian democracy".

10.08.2025 14:36 — 👍 43    🔁 8    💬 2    📌 0
Two adjacent headlines from BBC website, 9 Aug 2025. One reads "At least 200 arrests at protest against ban on Palestine Action", the other "Eleven more die from malnutrition in Gaza, Hamas-run health ministry says"

Two adjacent headlines from BBC website, 9 Aug 2025. One reads "At least 200 arrests at protest against ban on Palestine Action", the other "Eleven more die from malnutrition in Gaza, Hamas-run health ministry says"

Illustration from future history book attempting to explain how Britain absolutely fucked it

09.08.2025 16:36 — 👍 10    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0

Standing up for the smallest of minorities is important because when you accept the premise that one group are expendable because small or ‘insignificant’, you have accepted the idea of the expendability of human life in general, and the enemy will use your acquiescence to pick off yet more.

03.08.2025 07:26 — 👍 2980    🔁 744    💬 1    📌 30
Preview
Report exposes key players spreading climate disinformation estimated reading time: 5 minADVERTISEMENT Heavy rainfall, droughts, long winters and unusually hot weather – this has been Europe's difficult reality of recent years. This summer, Greece has experienced extreme heat waves, while Portugal and Spain are struggling with fires. Scientists agree that human activity has a significant impact on the current climate. However, climate denialism and related disinformation narratives have found an effective and convenient niche in the digital landscape virtually everywhere in the world. The latest report by the International Panel on Information Environment (IPIE) identifies several key actors in disinformation narratives. Its authors highlight several entities, primarily individuals associated with representatives of the oil industry, politicians and right-wing circles, as well as certain countries, such as Russia. Climate disinformation is also moving away from so-called "hard climate denialism’", Anna Siewiorek, an expert on climate communication and project management at the Climate&Strategy Foundation, says in an interview with Euronews. In its place, more subtle but equally effective disinformation strategies are emerging. Szymon Bujalski, a journalist for the websites ‘Ziemia na Rozdrożu’ and ‘Nauka o Klimacie’, claims that disinformation is even being used by government representatives themselves.Where is climate misinformation coming from? The report analysed 300 studies on climate disinformation over the last decade. Based on these studies, several key figures responsible for spreading misinformation were identified:Corporations and companies associated with fossil fuels or oil. Right-wing politicians, including Donald Trump, and in Europe, among others, the AfD party (Germany), Vox (Spain) and the National Rally (France). States, services and troll farms - the report cites a study documenting the role of so-called ‘Russian troll farms’ in spreading anti-scientific and pseudo-scientific content on social media site X. Think tanks and PR organisations supporting corporate interests - the report mentions, among others, the Heartland Institute and the Cato Institute. Media and bots that contribute to the spread of disinformation. These entities, listed on the basis of the analysed studies, use separate disinformation strategies.Disinformation strategies in climate narratives As the report indicates, entities responsible for disinformation use several types of narratives. For example, it outlines how fossil fuel companies spread "three characteristic narratives to deny or obscure the fact that climate change is a problem: ideological denial of its root causes, greenwashing, and reification of the status quo as a necessity". Other strategies are used by right-wing politicians, who most often emphasise questioning the effectiveness, costs and fairness of climate solutions. However, as the authors of the report write, the analysed content shows that parties in different countries talk about climate change in slightly different ways. The German party AfD would rather "emphasise complete denial of climate change", while in France, NR "sought an opportunistic approach, changing its position in different situations and relying on the terminology of 'sovereignty' to link climate change issues and climate action (or lack thereof) to national culture". The authors point out, although the discourses on climate change differed in detail, the parties' common rhetoric generally glorified ‘the past of local, rural lifestyles.’ Anna Siewiorek says the same trends can be seen in Poland. "In Poland, as indicated by the latest report of the International Panel on the Information Environment, we are seeing a clear departure from so-called hard climate denialism, i.e. simply denying the existence of climate change or its anthropogenic nature," she says. "In its place, more subtle but equally effective disinformation strategies have emerged that undermine the sense, effectiveness and purpose of actions taken in response to the climate crisis." Siewiorek argues that in the current space, we are seeing climate policy being presented as a threat to economic security and national identity. "In this view, the European Union is portrayed as an external force imposing unfavourable solutions on Poland, and the energy transition is equated with rising energy prices and system instability." The report also describes Donald Trump as a separate disinformation actor, who is known for spreading the narrative of climate change as a ‘big hoax’ for political purposes. According to experts, Poland has been the target of targeted disinformation using climate falsehoods for some time. "The Polish Disinformation Team, operating under the Ministry of Justice, indicated as early as the beginning of 2025 that the Russian Federation and Belarus were conducting a coordinated disinformation campaign in Poland, referred to as cognitive warfare," Siewiorek explains. "Its aim is to weaken public support for the energy transition and manipulate the message about EU climate and energy policies."Mining regions are more likely to accept anti-climate narratives The report highlights how certain regions, particularly coal-dependent mining communities, are more susceptible to climate denialism. Its authors point out that a common strategy is to question the credibility of science and institutions, suggesting conspiracies or mistakes by scientists. Another strategy is the mass dissemination of content that amplifies sceptical sentiments on a large scale, for example, on social media. According to research, around 25 per cent of this type of content is generated by bots. The report also mentions a strategy called "dual deception" – a combination of denying climate science and greenwashing. In this case, companies that declare their ecological activities are still dependent on fossil fuels. A 2023 report by the Pole Dialogue Foundation, supported by the European Climate Foundation, found anti-climate narratives prevalent across Poland. Acceptance of such narratives was particularly strong in coal regions, where residents expressed beliefs like: “Poland can’t afford to abandon coal,” “politicians will never take climate action seriously,” and “the only hope lies in technological progress”. This approach is influenced, among other things, by the closure of mines in areas where coal extraction has shaped local identity and economy for centuries. As the research shows, disinformation messages most often appeal to emotions – more emotional messages are the most convincing, whereas the truthfulness of the information is of secondary importance.‘Climate denialism is effective for two reasons’ Despite the weakening of ‘hard’ climate denialism itself, this disinformation strategy still has its supporters. "Climate denialism is so effective for two reasons," says journalist Szymon Bujalski. "Firstly, it no longer consists of questioning the very fact of climate change, but rather the impact of humans, and above all, questioning the proposed solutions. "Secondly, these slogans are surprisingly effective because, although theoretically they are backed by the appearance of argumentation, in practice they appeal to emotions. In a world focused on ever-increasing emotions and polarisation – from social media, through traditional media, to political discussion – such content has an easier path to going viral." He claims that in Poland, these narratives are no longer created only by Russia, but also by the Polish political class. "And since power is the most important thing, defending or gaining it is a priority for politicians," he says. "That is why disinformation is now used not only by right-wing parties, but also by government representatives themselves."

No huge surprises here #farright actors & fossil fiends

10.08.2025 12:00 — 👍 5    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 1
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Palestinian boy killed in Gaza aid drop as starvation toll rises to 217 Falling aid pallet crushes 15-year-old Muhannad Zakaria Eid, as more Palestinians, including children, starve to death.

Please don't stop talking about Palestine. Israel is bombing, shooting and starving people to death. Tokenistic international airdrops are ineffective. They're done by western governments purely to be able to claim 'they tried' if finally brought to appear on charges in the Hague.

aje.io/ankl4u

10.08.2025 11:59 — 👍 7    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

I guess I don't find it that surprising that a bunch of people who have spent their entire lives around computers that worked by doing exactly what you said would not respond well to a paradigm where the computer tries to approximate an answer based on the prompt you give it.

09.08.2025 14:41 — 👍 56    🔁 3    💬 2    📌 1
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you have my vote, Andrew Cuomo!

09.08.2025 20:15 — 👍 5239    🔁 1031    💬 39    📌 35
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this 3 act story has something for everyone

09.08.2025 18:55 — 👍 2782    🔁 851    💬 60    📌 108
CLICKHOLE
LIFESTYLE
Groundbreaking Discovery:
Paleontologists Have Agreed To Start Saying That Stegosauruses Had Beautiful Singing Voices Because It's A Nice Thought And It's Not Like They're Hurting Anyone
OCTOBER 16, 2017

CLICKHOLE LIFESTYLE Groundbreaking Discovery: Paleontologists Have Agreed To Start Saying That Stegosauruses Had Beautiful Singing Voices Because It's A Nice Thought And It's Not Like They're Hurting Anyone OCTOBER 16, 2017

this is where i'm at mentally these days

09.08.2025 22:47 — 👍 6842    🔁 1195    💬 26    📌 48

"The world of the future will be an ever more demanding struggle against the limitations of our intelligence, not a comfortable hammock in which we can lie down to be waited upon by our robot slaves."

~Norbert Wiener, God and Golem (1964)

09.08.2025 23:19 — 👍 129    🔁 11    💬 2    📌 0

look, it doesn't matter if the night-night man isn't real. a number of voters have very real concerns that the night-night man is waiting under their beds ready to eat them as soon as mommy and daddy say night-night and you need to have a plan to address those concerns regardless

09.08.2025 20:45 — 👍 1996    🔁 349    💬 32    📌 6
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Orange Goblin Bloodstock 2025 review | Louder Orange Goblin commemorate their 30th - and final - year with a barnstorming final UK festival performance at Bloodstock

Glad I saw them on what turned out to be their last world tour

www.loudersound.com/bands-artist...

10.08.2025 09:16 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

Brilliant piece by Daniel Trilling, on the long series of political failures that lead us to the situation we are in.

"It is a story of public penny-pinching and market forces causing a problem that is then made worse by politicians promising a quick fix or finding a convenient scapegoat."

09.08.2025 09:42 — 👍 28    🔁 9    💬 0    📌 1

Source: Peter Oblas, “In Defense of Japan in China: One Man’s Quest for the Logic of Sovereignty,” New Zealand Journal of Asian Studies 3, no. 2 (2001), 74.

www.nzasia.org.nz/uploads/1/3/...

09.08.2025 14:27 — 👍 9    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

One of the co-founders of this journal was Thomas Baty, who also wrote under the woman’s name Irene Clyde. In 1926 Clyde wrote that, “from my earliest years I hated sex. The reason was that I wanted to be a girl”.

Clyde was also a lawyer who defended Japanese imperialism. So a mixed bag.

09.08.2025 14:25 — 👍 38    🔁 5    💬 1    📌 0
A very mistaken list of the last 12 presidents of the United States and their years in office produced by the Ph.D level scholar known as ChatGPT-5. Includes John F. Katwady, president 1991-1968; George W. bush, president 220Z-1999), and Bill Christen, president 1999-2001

A very mistaken list of the last 12 presidents of the United States and their years in office produced by the Ph.D level scholar known as ChatGPT-5. Includes John F. Katwady, president 1991-1968; George W. bush, president 220Z-1999), and Bill Christen, president 1999-2001

I've seen this on Bluesky and had to try it myself. The image below was the response to the prompt: "Show me a diagram of the US presidents since Herbert Hoover, with their names and years in office under their photos" Bravo, OpenAI, bravo.

08.08.2025 19:08 — 👍 3112    🔁 811    💬 452    📌 768

*young me, developing a strong sense of justice*

This is gonna be great, what an asset, this will never drive me insane

08.08.2025 20:28 — 👍 9470    🔁 2362    💬 86    📌 71

We’re not sure who needs to hear this, but ‘blueberry’ has two b’s.

08.08.2025 20:38 — 👍 7222    🔁 940    💬 252    📌 98
a tiny aloe plant with a post it note that says LEAVE ME ALONE! TRYING TO LIVE >:(

a tiny aloe plant with a post it note that says LEAVE ME ALONE! TRYING TO LIVE >:(

tell me about it, tiny aloe plant on the counter at the cafe near my house

09.08.2025 02:42 — 👍 10167    🔁 1701    💬 9    📌 63

recently contending with the fact my financial net worth is lower than thoroughbred horse semen and likely always will be. horse cum is worth more than most of our lives in the eyes of capitalism.

08.08.2025 18:13 — 👍 289    🔁 70    💬 6    📌 2
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9 Principles for Journalists Reporting On Neo-Nazis You may have landed here because you want to talk about neo-Nazis without helping them. Excellent. You have an important role in combatt...

We've put together our top tips for journalists to help guide you through the do's and don'ts of reporting on neo-Nazis.

Please share it with your colleagues, and feel free to get in touch with us with any feedback.

thewhiterosesociety.writeas.com/9-principles...

06.08.2025 00:35 — 👍 168    🔁 109    💬 10    📌 13

In Springfield the (Democrat) mayor is corrupt, the police chief is incompetent, the public schools are failing and the teachers have given up. I think you be appreciate the satire that comes from that if you're left learning or a libertarian, which gives the show a broader appeal

09.08.2025 08:42 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

John Schwartzwelder wrote some of the best Simpsons jokes, often influenced by his libertarianism. I think it actually worked surprisingly well with the more liberal-to-left satire of others on the writing team

09.08.2025 08:39 — 👍 10    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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No, you did not give those of us who happened to look like the people who bombed Pearl Harbor any due process. And that was profoundly wrong. It destroyed our lives.

08.08.2025 18:46 — 👍 14066    🔁 4001    💬 627    📌 213

... , then conducted medical tests on the indigenous Rongelap people for the biological effect of ingesting food contaminated with radiation and how they have resisted any effort by the Rongelap to hold them accountable.

09.08.2025 09:20 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

@henryglaws is following 20 prominent accounts