Also, if you launch a war of choice, don't be surprised if people focus on the costs of that choice.
04.03.2026 14:39 — 👍 16 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0@tobiasharris.bsky.social
Japanese politics analyst; author of The Iconoclast: Shinzō Abe and the New Japan; Chicago-born Cubs fan now living in DC; marathoner; RHP + IF ⚾ Substack: Observingjapan.substack.com. Business: www.japanforesight.com
Also, if you launch a war of choice, don't be surprised if people focus on the costs of that choice.
04.03.2026 14:39 — 👍 16 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0I will admit that I've used Claude to vibe code a tool that generates cells for my spreadsheet automatically. Took a lot of iterating but it should make the whole process easier.
04.03.2026 14:37 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
I've updated my polling tracker through today, 3.4.25.
The Takaichi government's support:
APPROVE 65.4%
DISAPPROVE 24.8%
Adjusted for pollster bias
APPROVE 67.3%
DISAPPROVE 20.3%
observingjapan.substack.com/p/tracking-t...
Has anyone ever explained to him the origins of the phrase ever since the Mystic Warrior Chang story first went viral or does everyone around him just let him keep believing that?
04.03.2026 00:35 — 👍 34 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0Omg, he used the phrase!!!
04.03.2026 00:34 — 👍 58 🔁 7 💬 3 📌 0Oh that's glorious
03.03.2026 19:15 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Tokyo wonders what impact the war in the Middle East will have on Japan, the LDP prepares its review of national security policy, the ruling parties push ahead with budgetary deliberations, and a new poll shows growing opposition to Japan’s foreign population.
open.substack.com/pub/observin...
Clearly too early to tell but I don't see how it makes it easier for her.
02.03.2026 23:19 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Tokyo wonders what impact the war in the Middle East will have on Japan, the LDP prepares its review of national security policy, the ruling parties push ahead with budgetary deliberations, and a new poll shows growing opposition to Japan’s foreign population.
open.substack.com/pub/observin...
If all seas are connected are you ever not in the Pacific?
02.03.2026 17:22 — 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0I'd say that the pivot to Asia was the friends we made along the way, but what friend making?
02.03.2026 16:48 — 👍 77 🔁 11 💬 3 📌 0The rush to make these sweeping conclusions now strikes me as folly.
02.03.2026 03:31 — 👍 10 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0Nikkei is citing her views on the implications for East Asia: www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZ...
02.03.2026 03:13 — 👍 9 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0That aspect of his biography is so wild.
02.03.2026 02:54 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Doctoral dissertation from UCLA on the use of force! escholarship.org/content/qt18...
02.03.2026 02:25 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Every travel guide from the period I've read mentions the same things: dust from construction, "kamikaze cabs" and terrible traffic, and something about geishas (always taking care to note that they're not prostitutes).
01.03.2026 21:30 — 👍 17 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 0Souvenirs: kimono, camera, car
01.03.2026 21:25 — 👍 33 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0
Kind of a nutty line from a 1958 Japan travel guide:
"Japan is now mass-producing very good small cars (Nissan Motor Company, Toyota Motor Company, etc.) suitable for the country's narrow roads and you may wish to buy one and ultimately bring it home as a second car."
War is the continuation of posting by other means.
01.03.2026 01:47 — 👍 12 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 0At the risk of falling back on cliche, there is something 1984 about it. (The use of "peace" really heightens the effect.)
28.02.2026 18:40 — 👍 8 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Another day, another leap from the veranda.
28.02.2026 16:18 — 👍 8 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Same energy
28.02.2026 14:20 — 👍 43 🔁 4 💬 3 📌 0Oh ffs -- just a firehose of pure bs.
28.02.2026 14:14 — 👍 38 🔁 7 💬 2 📌 0
Very much ancillary at this point, but once again a reminder to Tokyo that it can have its alliance or it can have its commitment to some semblance of a rules-based order but harder and harder to have both.
www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZ...
As part of this book project I've been reading about ordinary life from 1946-1960 and it's remarkable how *quickly* the change happened.
28.02.2026 12:35 — 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0I watched it so much as a kid that the wheel of fish scene has always been embedded in my head. The best thing about that sequence is the faces and the body language though.
28.02.2026 12:14 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Watching UHF for the first time in ages and while there is so much that's funny about it Kevin McCarthy steals every scene he's in.
28.02.2026 02:24 — 👍 9 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 1