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Tobias Harris

@tobiasharris.bsky.social

Japanese politics analyst; author of The Iconoclast: Shinzō Abe and the New Japan; Chicago-born Cubs fan now living in DC; marathoner; RHP + IF ⚾ Substack: Observingjapan.substack.com. Business: www.japanforesight.com

6,485 Followers  |  752 Following  |  6,295 Posts  |  Joined: 27.03.2023  |  2.1607

Latest posts by tobiasharris.bsky.social on Bluesky

Post image 10.12.2025 16:41 — 👍 9    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Hell yes.

10.12.2025 16:38 — 👍 6    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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fry from futurama is eating a bunch of money . ALT: fry from futurama is eating a bunch of money .
10.12.2025 02:50 — 👍 7    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

For non-Japanese readers, this is literally "postwar politics and onsens," i.e. hot springs resorts as a setting for postwar politics.

10.12.2025 02:50 — 👍 7    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Amazon.co.jp: 戦後政治と温泉 箱根、伊豆に出現した濃密な政治空間 eBook : 原武史: 本 Amazon.co.jp: 戦後政治と温泉 箱根、伊豆に出現した濃密な政治空間 eBook : 原武史: 本

The perfect book does not exi...

www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B0CRKLC33...

10.12.2025 02:49 — 👍 12    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 1

Oh man, would have loved to be at that show.

10.12.2025 02:39 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Serious (rhetorical) question, has he ever seen how children use up pencils during the course of a school year's worth of homework?

10.12.2025 02:20 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 3    📌 0
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One hurdle cleared? | Japan Daily Briefing Takaichi may have solved the budget but electoral reform bill still faces significant challenges

The Takaichi government may have the votes to pass its supplemental budget, but the electoral reform bill is still held up, potentially exacerbating tensions between LDP and Ishin. Meanwhile, new concerns that more Chinese military activity could be yet to come. open.substack.com/pub/observin...

10.12.2025 02:10 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

I'm about 40 pages into Suga's memoirs and so far it's mostly a continuation of his first book, i.e. the work of politics is making bureaucrats do things for the people.

09.12.2025 22:53 — 👍 9    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I think the most likely explanation is that something got garbled or misconstrued by an author relying exclusively on secondary sources.

09.12.2025 21:35 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

(No, bad, stop, you have enough on your plate.)

09.12.2025 20:30 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

There's probably an interesting book to be written, maybe called something like Japan in the geopolitical imagination, that looks at the thread from Meiji era visitors to Haushofer to Kennan in 1948 to Kahn and Brzezinski in the '70s.

09.12.2025 19:57 — 👍 8    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Diet takes up the supplemental budget | Japan Daily Briefing Takaichi defends her budget, while the ruling parties are still looking for a way to pass their electoral reform bill

In today’s Japan Daily Briefing, the Diet began discussing the supplemental budget, the LDP has failed to convince opposition to begin debate on the LDP-Ishin electoral reform bill, and Tokyo reacts to China’s claims that Japan was to blame for the aerial encounter. open.substack.com/pub/observin...

08.12.2025 23:51 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 1

But when it talks of "filling the vacuum" that doesn't sound like something abstract.

09.12.2025 02:12 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I know of the Black Ocean society and the Black Dragon society, the latter of which was banned by the Occupation. But I've never heard of an organization that shared the name with the country and can't find any record that such an organization existed.

09.12.2025 02:11 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

This is Herwig's "The Demon of Geopolitics" by the way.

09.12.2025 02:01 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I can't parse this at all.

09.12.2025 01:55 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

And the incredible irony given this administration killed *the department we used to feed people* is just…wow.

09.12.2025 01:52 — 👍 108    🔁 12    💬 3    📌 1
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Seeing a leader of the United States adopt this line is revolting. While the US remains imperfect, it is also the global leader in FDI as well as the world’s leading destination for inbound investment. China would love to have an economy like America’s.

09.12.2025 01:52 — 👍 286    🔁 49    💬 33    📌 45
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I'm reading a biography of Haushofer and this...doesn't make any sense to me. Is he suggesting there was a secret society called the Dai Nippon Teikoku?

09.12.2025 01:53 — 👍 14    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 1

Also, if you are interested in subscribing, for the next week I'm offering annual subscriptions for 25% off.

observingjapan.substack.com/winterspecial

08.12.2025 23:52 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
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Diet takes up the supplemental budget | Japan Daily Briefing Takaichi defends her budget, while the ruling parties are still looking for a way to pass their electoral reform bill

In today’s Japan Daily Briefing, the Diet began discussing the supplemental budget, the LDP has failed to convince opposition to begin debate on the LDP-Ishin electoral reform bill, and Tokyo reacts to China’s claims that Japan was to blame for the aerial encounter. open.substack.com/pub/observin...

08.12.2025 23:51 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 1
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Kishi wearing a Cardinals hat. From Nov. 1958 issue of Time.

08.12.2025 16:33 — 👍 6    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The problem with these jerks is *not* noise.

08.12.2025 14:39 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Radar locked | Japan Daily Briefing Japan protests risky encounter between Japanese and Chinese aircraft, while deepening defense ties with Australia

This edition of Japan Daily Briefing looks at some things to watch this week, as well as the "radar lock" incident, a defense ministerial with Australia, and efforts by opposition parties to coordinate their candidates for the next general election.

open.substack.com/pub/observin...

08.12.2025 02:16 — 👍 6    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1

Interesting poll numbers in the Mainichi piece Tobias links to. It does look like Takaichi has solidified some of her support by "standing up to China."

Still, the questions of whether and how this resolves and the economic ramifications linger.

08.12.2025 03:51 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 2    📌 0

Cthulhu Fhtagn.

08.12.2025 04:08 — 👍 8    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Missed this meeting from last week.

08.12.2025 02:53 — 👍 7    🔁 0    💬 4    📌 0
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Radar locked | Japan Daily Briefing Japan protests risky encounter between Japanese and Chinese aircraft, while deepening defense ties with Australia

This edition of Japan Daily Briefing looks at some things to watch this week, as well as the "radar lock" incident, a defense ministerial with Australia, and efforts by opposition parties to coordinate their candidates for the next general election.

open.substack.com/pub/observin...

08.12.2025 02:16 — 👍 6    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1

I didn't grow up in a place with spider crickets and I don't think I'll ever get used to them.

08.12.2025 00:42 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

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