Philipp Lutz

🧠 How inaccurate are public perceptions of immigration?

➡️ @lutzphilipp.bsky.social & M Bitschnau show that many supposed misperceptions are actually guesses, offering a sharper way to study how perceptions shape political attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🚨Job News: Postdoc positions in LSE Government Department 🚨

Apply to work with the brilliant and wonderful Carl Muller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social on his BORDERS ERC project at LSE @lsegovernment.bsky.social

jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

Hardline migration policies are fuelling people smuggling, report finds As leaders try to break smugglers’ business model, research suggests strategy so far has had opposite effect

It's almost like every single reputable expert who has been saying this exact thing for years was right.
Home Office recognised this fact 15 years ago. Successive governments, globally, continue to ignore it, and continue to push harmful "tougher" policies. 1/

www.theguardian.com/world/2025/d...

@pzlotnik.bsky.social @lutzphilipp.bsky.social and Sandra Lavenex did research on this issue and traced the first migration control clauses in preferential trade agreements to the mid-1980s. They then became almost standard in different external agreements of the EU.

@politico.eu reports that the EU considers withdrawing trade benefits if a third country refuses to cooperate on readmission. While the EU seems to be more determined this time, this line of thinking is actually not new at all from a longitudinal perspective.

A certainty‐weighted, belief‐based model of political attitudes: A Bayesian analysis of American public attitudes toward the affordable care act This study proposes a novel, certainty-weighted account of the process by which political beliefs shape political attitudes. Building upon expectancy-value frameworks, this paper introduces belief ce...

How do people form beliefs about complex topics?

Happy to report our Bayesian model of the psychology of Bayesian updating is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social! (w/ Gabriel Li & Krosnick)

If you gloss over the Greek, it's a new model for how to assess the impacts of information on summary judgments.

Towards a Fairer EU Asylum Policy: Lessons from the Dublin system for the EU’s Solidarity Mechanism On 11 November 2025, the European Commission released its first European Annual Asylum and Migration Report as part of the new policy cycle introduced by the EU’s Pact on Migration and Asylum. The Commission examined the asylum, migration and reception situation across the EU and found that four member states are under ‘migratory pressure’, and 14 others either ‘at risk’ or facing a ‘significant migration situation’.

🚨 New policy paper 🚨

What to learn from the Dublin system for solidarity in EU asylum governance? We recommend more transparency, better pressure assessment & prioritizing relocations from more to less pressured states.

@ftrauner.bsky.social & Philipp Stutz (VUB)

www.epc.eu/publication/...

Migrant Electoral Rights (MER) New Data from 165 Countries and Six Decades - Globalcit Sebastian Umpierrez de Reguero, Klaudia Wegschaider and Rainer Bauböck Migrant Electoral Rights (MER) New Data from 165 Countries and Six Decades, Nature, 2025. Read More ...

Want to know more about the MER dataset 🤔

Read Sebastian Umpierrez de Reguero, Klaudia Wegschaider and Rainer Bauböcks explain in their new publication ⚡

MER maps migrant voting and candidacy rights in 165 countries across 60 years 🗳️🌍📊

⚡ tinyurl.com/mtm2rp53

Thrilled to share my new article in Political Psychology: “The psychology of political attitudinal volatility.” In it, I attempt to answer why do some people change their political views more than others? Open access at: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
@ispp-pops.bsky.social

Very happy that my meta-analysis with Nik Stoop, Peter van der Windt and Haoyu Zhai has been published @bjpols.bsky.social ! We re-analyze *118* survey experimental studies on attitudes towards migrants in 53 countries. Huge thanks to all authors for sharing data files. doi.org/10.1017/S000...

🚨 LSE Assistant Professor in Political Science 🚨

We’re hiring a tenure-track assistant professor - any area of empirical political science - to join our wonderful Government Dept @lsegovernment.bsky.social

Any questions, please reach out to me

📣 Please share! 📣

jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

The ‘Danish model’ is the darling of centre-left parties like Labour. The problem is, it doesn’t even work in Denmark | Cas Mudde This week’s local elections are the latest reminder that when social democrats move rightwards, they’re making a mistake, says academic and author Cas Mudde

Cas Mudde spells out what has become largely the consensus among researchers: moving right on immigration will not weaken the far right nor strengthen social democracy. If your reaction is "but in Denmark" please at least familiarize yourself with Danish politics

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Morgen Abend!

FR: Dispense d’intégration: pourquoi les migrant-es sont soumis-es à des normes sociales plus strictes - www.defacto.expert/2025/11/17/d...

EN: Integration Dispensation: Why Immigrants Face Stronger Social Norms - www.defacto.expert/2025/11/17/i...

Integrationsdispensation: warum für Migrant*innen strengere soziale Normen gelten - Stefan Manser-Egli, @lutzphilipp.bsky.social

Eine neue Studie zeigt, dass nur von einigen Menschen Integration erwartet wird, während andere nicht diesen Erwartungen unterliegen.

www.defacto.expert/2025/11/17/i...

@vuamsterdam.bsky.social @speriunige.bsky.social @uni-konstanz.de @unil.bsky.social @ecpr-migration.bsky.social @mpc-eui.bsky.social

Our study on public immigration misperceptions is out! Prior research overstated their prevalence due to flawed measurement. Our new approach separates real misperceptions from uninformed guessing — showing they’re less common than widely assumed and ideologically motivated.
doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

(1/10) 🚨Preprint alert!🚨

In this article, I challenge claims of a generational rise of conservative men. In the media and recent academic publications, the so-called ‘youth gender gap’ has been interpreted as a generational phenomenon.

doi.org/10.31234/osf...

How to lobby Trump with Swiss precision: gifts, gold and gab How the Swiss broke a diplomatic logjam on tariffs by arriving with tributes fit for a king.

"It was tough to beat Apple, but the Swiss did it." said one administration official.

How the Swiss convinced Trump to drop tariffs with gifts of a Rolex desk clock and a 1 kg gold bar.

www.axios.com/2025/11/14/t...

Latest issue | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core American Political Science Review

From our latest issue: The Free Movement of People and the Success of Far-Right Parties: Evidence from Switzerland’s Border Liberalization by ALA ALRABABAH, ANDREAS BEERLI, DOMINIK HANGARTNER, DALSTON WARD www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Ich freue mich sehr auf den Besuch am Luzerner Theaterfestival „Die grosse Menschenschau“ am 19. Dezember – wo ich über europäische Migrationspolitik und was Forschung zu besseren Lösungen beitragen kann referieren darf.

👉 Infos & Tickets: neubad.org/event/die-gr....

New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social

German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law

Integration for whom? The migration bias in social norms Abstract. Integration has become a dominant framework in the governance of immigration, indicating what states and ‘host societies’ expect immigrants to do and how to behave to become accepted members...

basierend auf einem Forschungsartikel der vor kurzem hier publiziert wurde direct.mit.edu/euso/article...

Integrationsdispensation: Warum für Migrant*innen strengere soziale Normen gelten | nccr – on the move Migrant*innen in der Schweiz unterliegen strengeren sozialen Normen – ein Hinweis auf doppelte Standards bei Integration und Zugehörigkeit.

Integrationsdispensation: Warum für Migrant*innen strengere soziale Normen gelten --> neuer Blogbeitrag, jetzt lesen nccr-onthemove.ch/blog/integra... @s-manser-egli.bsky.social

Integration for whom? The migration bias in social norms Abstract. Integration has become a dominant framework in the governance of immigration, indicating what states and ‘host societies’ expect immigrants to do and how to behave to become accepted members...

based on research recently published here direct.mit.edu/euso/article...

Integration Dispensation: Why Immigrants Face Stronger Social Norms | nccr – on the move Migrants in Switzerland face stricter social norms than citizens, exposing a double standard in integration and differing regional views on belonging.

Integration Dispensation: Why Immigrants Face Stronger Social Norms --> read our new blog post
nccr-onthemove.ch/blog/integra... @s-manser-egli.bsky.social

Integration Dispensation: Why Immigrants Face Stronger Social Norms | nccr – on the move Migrants in Switzerland face stricter social norms than citizens, exposing a double standard in integration and differing regional views on belonging.

Hanna runs into Sue. Sue asks: ‘Do you want to stop by for a coffee some time?’ What is the best thing Hanna can do?

Maybe you know the right answer to this question. Maybe you don’t. And maybe you don’t have to know it.

While social norms shape all our... (1/3) 🧵
nccr-onthemove.ch/blog/integra...

🚨 JOB ALERT 🚨

The Hannah-Arendt Institute in Dresden is looking for an Assistant Director. (In German)

❗️Please share widely:

TT position in migration/citizenship/identity at IPW @univie.ac.at: jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Tenure-T...

Deadline: 10 Dec 2025

This is the final 'poll of polls' before the Dutch elections. Three parties at the same level, and two more not much smaller. Given the high percentage of late deciders and voters in doubt, the outcome is still very much uncertain. 🧵