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John Kubale

@johnkubale.bsky.social

Infectious disease epidemiologist and research assistant professor at the University of Michigan @icpsr.bsky.social. Cat dad, data nerd, and Cincinnati sports fan. he/him

2,658 Followers  |  1,148 Following  |  334 Posts  |  Joined: 24.07.2023
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Posts by John Kubale (@johnkubale.bsky.social)

"I think responses [that ask only for the Administration to 'explain itself'] are pathetic. This isn’t a mystery that needs to be solved. This is not the case of the missing casus belli."

28.02.2026 20:03 β€” πŸ‘ 574    πŸ” 126    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 8

The floor plan for the planned ICE concentration camp in Social Circle, Georgia:

22.02.2026 19:15 β€” πŸ‘ 4217    πŸ” 2332    πŸ’¬ 210    πŸ“Œ 247

There's three votes for anything on the supreme court. If trump said "I'm the god-king of arrakis" he'd get three votes and a lengthy opinion about the long history and tradition of english common law with regards to the spice melange

20.02.2026 15:41 β€” πŸ‘ 5479    πŸ” 951    πŸ’¬ 93    πŸ“Œ 39

Just a reminder that the UC system was not a party in this litigation. Faculty, staff and the @aaup.org fought on their own. UCLA, and the entire UC system, should be ashamed of themselves, and their leaders should be reminded of their submissives every day.

14.02.2026 15:12 β€” πŸ‘ 454    πŸ” 160    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 8

There is no reforming this. There is only abolition, and then trials.

13.02.2026 22:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1340    πŸ” 258    πŸ’¬ 35    πŸ“Œ 7

Well holy fucking shit. Ring cancelled their partnership with Flock. Keep pressure on them to stop volunteering their feeds to state, local, and federal agencies, though, because that part's still going.

13.02.2026 00:42 β€” πŸ‘ 7899    πŸ” 2833    πŸ’¬ 63    πŸ“Œ 46

This is the key point - it's not about Moderna's flu vaccine, it's about sending a signal to the rest of the industry that vaccine development isn't viable in the US. It's all part of the larger anti-vaccine agenda.

12.02.2026 21:55 β€” πŸ‘ 907    πŸ” 383    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 11

Congratulations! Happy to see you receive such well deserved recognition.

12.02.2026 18:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Moderna says FDA refuses its application for new mRNA flu vaccine The U.S. Food and Drug Administration is refusing to consider Moderna’s application for a new flu vaccine made with mRNA technology.

It is absolutely outrageous that Moderna’s flu vaccine was met with a β€œrefusal-to-file” even after their approved their protocol with FDA and carried out the trial as agreed. This vaccine works better in older adults than the current flu vaccines.

apnews.com/article/mode...

11.02.2026 00:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1441    πŸ” 694    πŸ’¬ 34    πŸ“Œ 58
Big ol’ binder of notes with laptop in front for scale

Big ol’ binder of notes with laptop in front for scale

Big ol’ binder of notes with laptop in front for scale

Big ol’ binder of notes with laptop in front for scale

Here is said phonebook of notes with laptop for scale.

09.02.2026 18:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Sigh

There are so many gullible reporters (aka stenographers) who have no expertise in the longstanding antics of the anti-vaccine lobby

Such reporters haven’t learned about Wakefield & the kooky unsubstantiated trope that vaccine *combinations* cause autism

Such reporters need a different beat

04.02.2026 12:07 β€” πŸ‘ 112    πŸ” 28    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 3
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Join The 51st The 51st is a worker-led nonprofit news source for D.C. Our reporting is rooted in our conviction that local journalism is meant to make people’s lives better β€” no paywalls, ever. But that's only…

6/ The Post has lost over 375,000 subscribers in just over a year. If 10% of those readers subscribed to The 51st instead, we could hire 10 reporters and five editors, dramatically scaling our coverage of the city at this critical time. 51st.news/signup

04.02.2026 19:21 β€” πŸ‘ 584    πŸ” 360    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 35

again we do not really do a good job of explaining how wealthy people like Jeff Bezos are

his net worth is $253.2 billion.
so he could take one million dollars, and just light it on fire
and then do it again tomorrow
and again the day after that
and then do it every day for 693 years and 8 months

04.02.2026 17:41 β€” πŸ‘ 5882    πŸ” 2102    πŸ’¬ 187    πŸ“Œ 186

Don't agree with Cato Inst on much. But:

Very glad they have quantified what has been obvious for years.

04.02.2026 02:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1349    πŸ” 467    πŸ’¬ 35    πŸ“Œ 12

This woman has shown more courage than the nominal leaders of the Democratic Party.

03.02.2026 22:38 β€” πŸ‘ 7758    πŸ” 1802    πŸ’¬ 68    πŸ“Œ 17
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What's new in the world of Generalized Additive Models YouTube video by Bottom of the Heap

🚨 GAMs have moved onβ€”so it’s time for an update.

On March 3, 2026 (17:00–19:00 CET) I’ll be livestreaming an updated introduction to Generalized Additive Models in R

πŸ“Ί YouTube livestream link: youtube.com/live/A9U8e1K...

#RStats #mgcv #GAMs #gratia #statistics πŸ§ͺ

03.02.2026 12:57 β€” πŸ‘ 106    πŸ” 46    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

how*

02.02.2026 20:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Jesus. No matter bad I think ICE and CBP are, reality keeps showing me theyβ€˜re worse. Truly evil stuff.

02.02.2026 20:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Some troubling signs regarding plans for the 2026 census test from the fantastic @datageekb.bsky.social #episky #statssky #databs

02.02.2026 18:47 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This sounds like Hal Morgenstern? I still have my phone book size notes from the class I took with him after he came to Michigan.

02.02.2026 17:57 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

We extremely know how to do this. Governor Walz instituted an eviction moratorium in 2020 which withstood repeated legal challenges in state and federal court. Ctrl+C, Ctrl+V, write some new predicate findings, and we're good to go.

02.02.2026 02:09 β€” πŸ‘ 401    πŸ” 102    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

SHUT IT THE FUCK DOWN THEN!!!!

30.01.2026 19:48 β€” πŸ‘ 3238    πŸ” 612    πŸ’¬ 59    πŸ“Œ 16
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Support Independent Journalism | GF

Georgia Fort's is chilling, and it's being overshadowed by the equally chilling arrest of Don Lemon.

A GoFundMe is being set up for Fort. In the meantime, you can support her work directly – without paying massive fundraising platform fees – through her website:

www.georgiafort.com/support

30.01.2026 16:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2029    πŸ” 1231    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 33

I guess we're just arresting journalists now.

30.01.2026 13:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1247    πŸ” 398    πŸ’¬ 18    πŸ“Œ 8

require warrants in SOME cases? The Fourth Amendment requires warrants IN ALL CASES! why is it asking too much for Democrats to stand by the U.S. Constitution

29.01.2026 21:54 β€” πŸ‘ 288    πŸ” 59    πŸ’¬ 21    πŸ“Œ 5

The only acceptable number of children for any government to kidnap and traffic and cage is zero, every year

29.01.2026 22:05 β€” πŸ‘ 315    πŸ” 98    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 3

I dunno, it seems like, in a situation where there are two parties and one party has explicitly abandoned the basic founding principles of the country and the other party is furiously polling whether it's worth supporting those principles, you've basically already lost the principles.

29.01.2026 20:32 β€” πŸ‘ 382    πŸ” 73    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 3
29.01.2026 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 293    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œThey're acting under the stay as though they have a license to use the building, to use money, to treat the building any way they want,” says George Foote, counsel for former USIP leadership and staff. β€œA stay is not permission for the loser of a case to hijack the property of the winning party.”

29.01.2026 15:20 β€” πŸ‘ 406    πŸ” 151    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 1

The only Democratic statements I want to hear about the Trump gestapo are like this, from the awesome Philly DA Larry Krasner. No less truth, no less fire.

29.01.2026 14:51 β€” πŸ‘ 808    πŸ” 211    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 2