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Rao

@statpeekers.bsky.social

Peeking into the beautiful game through the analytical lens Dashboard + Analytics ➔ Indian Super League | I-League Football Analysis Hobbyist

76 Followers  |  122 Following  |  151 Posts  |  Joined: 10.09.2024
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Posts by Rao (@statpeekers.bsky.social)

OFC desperately need points. Overall, they are better placed than their opponents today.

HFC's recent form (2W, 2D, 1L) should worry OFC

Pre-match win probabilities:
OFC: 71%
HFC: 14%
Draw: 16%

PS: There is a 1% rounding off error overall

#OFCHFC #ISL11 #ISL #IndianFootball

14.02.2025 09:46 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

JFC slipped in their SF spot pursuit against BFC (3-0 L). They will look to take all 3 pts today.

NEUFC also lost their match against MCFC (0-2). They need to find some form to secure a play-off spot.

Pre-match win probabilities:
JFC: 31%
NEUFC: 48%
Draw: 21%

#JFCNEU #ISL11 #ISL #IndianFootball

13.02.2025 10:11 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Mumbai City got a very important win against NorthEast United last time. But they face a tougher opponent in FC Goa today
FCG will look for all 3 points to strengthen their SF spot

Pre-match win probabilities:
MCFC: 30%
FCG: 43%
Draw: 27%

#MCFCFCG #ISL11 #ISL #IndianFootball

12.02.2025 13:17 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Matchweek 22*

Lol, apologies

12.02.2025 13:12 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Match Week 21 predictions

A very close MW with a lot at stake for multiple clubs

#ISL11 #ISL #IndianFootball

12.02.2025 13:04 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 3

Shield race is just mathematical now

If-there-was-relegation-battle
- Mohammedan SC 98% likely to finish bottom of the table.

#ISL11 #ISL #IndianFootball

(3/3)

12.02.2025 10:04 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

- BFC solidified their play-off chances (now 79%) by undercutting chances of JFC catching up to MB
- KBFC still outside contenders for play-offs (12% chance)

(2/3)

12.02.2025 10:04 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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League stage predictions after MW 21

Play-off race is on 🔥
- MCFC, with a very important win over NEUFC, up their chances to 87%
- OFC, PFC canceled each other with a 1-1 draw, denting both their play-off chances

🧵

12.02.2025 10:04 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I am not sure. Afaik, they are missing players through injury. Haven't followed them this season much though

07.02.2025 15:55 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Dempo with a massive win against Inter Kashi. Move up 2 places to 7th

07.02.2025 15:28 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Match Week 13 predictions

#ILeague #IndianFootball

06.02.2025 07:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
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Data Highlights: Mohun Bagan SG vs Punjab FC (3-0)

#ISL11 #ISL #MBSGPFC #IndianFootball

05.02.2025 17:45 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

PFC, in their last 6 matches have not been up to the mark (1W, 2D, 3L)
Meanwhile, MB are unbeaten in their last 6, scoring 10, conceding 1
PFC will have to dig deep to find a win today

Win probabilities:
Mohun Bagan - 63%
Punjab FC - 15%
Draw - 22%

#MBSGPFC #ISL11 #ISL #IndianFootball

05.02.2025 12:42 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Match Week 21 predictions

#ISL11 #ISL #IndianFootball

05.02.2025 07:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1

My model says 17% for Kerala Blasters to make it to the playoffs. As you know, in Indian football, this is very positive 😀
bsky.app/profile/stat...

04.02.2025 14:27 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Haha, yes. Outside chance but yes

04.02.2025 14:25 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Bengaluru FC have absolutely lost the plot in the last 6 matches

04.02.2025 14:00 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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League stage predictions after MW 20

- MB all but certain to win the shield
- JFC's win against FCG locks them in an intense battle for 2nd
- BFC went from title contenders to having just a 47% chance of play-off qualification
- PFC, KB outside contenders for play-offs

#ISL11 #ISL #IndianFootball

04.02.2025 07:00 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
Preview
I-League 24/25: Mid-season Review Note: This article takes the data until match week 11 (mid-season)

Sunday read: I-League 24/25 mid-season review

At least 4 title-contenders, 3 relegation battles
Dempo SC managing their comeback season calmly
Aizawl's Lalrinzuala creating a storm

Read more: https://statpeekers.medium.com/i-league-24-25-mid-season-review-6e2bc48500cd

#ILeague #IndianFootball

02.02.2025 06:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Matchweek 20 predictions:

Although there are only 4 matches, they will affect the SF and play-off spots considerably

#ISL11 #ISL #IndianFootball

01.02.2025 11:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Coming next: These all will also be implemented for team-wise, compare 2 teams (and players)

#ISL #ISL11 #IndianFootball

01.02.2025 10:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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3. Performance metrics (passing). Added a basic set of stats in a pizza chart in order to see the respective numbers and also percentile-wise where does the player stand (see length of each slice)

You can also gauge the position / role of the player based on these charts

(3/4)

01.02.2025 10:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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2. Shot-maps. In-addition to overall and non-penalty shot maps, the following have been added to the dashboard:
i. Home & away (overall and non-penalty)
ii. In- & out of box (overall and non-penalty)

ofc, out-of-box non-penalty is redundant, lol

(2/4)

01.02.2025 10:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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ISL Dashboard update: More shot-maps, optimised filters, performance metrics (passing)

All updates for Player-wise section on the Analytics page

1. Selection for specific graph(s) added. This will help you select exactly what you want seek and also optimise loading times post-selection

🧵 (1/4)

01.02.2025 10:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

- Real Kashmir have a 47% chance of moving up to #5 in the table
- CB have an 89% chance of retaining the top place
- Aizawl has a 15% chance of 3 pts and moving further away from the relegation spot

(2/2)

31.01.2025 13:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Matchweek 12 Predictions

- In the fight for #3, model weighs slightly in favour of GKFC
- Namdhari have a 21% chance to drop 3 pts. If that happens, and GKFC win, the latter can climb to 2nd

#ILeague #IndianFootball

(1/2)

31.01.2025 13:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Data Highlights: Aizawl FC vs Shillong Lajong FC (1-3)

#ILeague #AFCSLFC #IndianFootball

31.01.2025 11:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Data Highlights: Churchill Brothers FC vs Real Kashmir FC (3-1)

#ILeague #CBRKFC #IndianFootball

31.01.2025 10:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Data Highlights: Dempo SC vs Delhi FC (1-0)

#ILeague #DEMDFC #IndianFootball

30.01.2025 07:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Data Highlights: Gokulam Kerala FC vs SC Bengaluru (2-0)

#ILeague #GKFCSCB #IndianFootball

30.01.2025 07:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0