Eduardo Cenci

🚨New publication alert!🚨

Jails are a prominent piece of the US carceral state, yet we often lump them in with prisons and (falsely) assume that they follow similar trends for mass incarceration.

In this piece, we unpack what we lose when we conflate jails and prisons and trace jails' unique role.

Very happy to share that my work with Tanguy Bernard and Ouambi Yameogo on contracting and quality upgrading is now forthcoming at JDE!

#EconSky #EconPapers

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Our paper “Inferring fine-grained migration patterns across the United States” is now out in @natcomms.nature.com! We released a new, highly granular migration dataset. 1/9

Global Labor Mobility between Shrinking and Growing Labor Forces (Winter 2026) - Falling fertility and improved mortality create a powerful and inexorable demographic arithmetic of ageing in the coming decades around the world, with three patterns. The richest coun...

The native workforces of today's wealthiest countries are rapidly disappearing due to fertility that is low and very unlikely to rise—ever, and certainly not in time to make a difference.

The brilliant Lant Pritchett spells out the implications for migration policy:

www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

Many thanks to @voxdev.bsky.social for featuring our research on internal migration in Indonesia, where we show that emigration raises wages and improves job opportunities for workers who stay behind in origin areas: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

1. Less skilled labor is abundant. 2. Skilled emigration is a brain drain. 3. Development substitutes for migration. 4. Migration substitutes for failing development, but doesn't cause development.

The International Monetary Fund asked me to review the literature on migration economics to draw lessons for low-income countries.

In a new @iza.org paper, I argue that policy for the 21st century must discard four outdated ideas.

www.iza.org/publications...

🧵 thread—>

I (vibe)coded a game to teach my Prin of Microeconomics students the difference between one-shot and repeated games and how cooperation in repeated games can work.

Try it and let me know if anything is broken :-)

dashing-travesseiro-939e66.netlify.app

Next: Balatro-style game theory roguelite?

yay!

Love reference in the subtitle!

Mandou bem! Parabens!

Why bundled agricultural programmes may succeed where others fail A bundled farm programme in western Kenya boosted yields and profits for smallholders by jointly tackling credit, information, and risk constraints.

🆕 Why bundled agricultural programmes may succeed where others fail

Today on VoxDev, @joshdeutschmann.bsky.social (University of Chicago), Maya Duru (OES), Kim Siegal (Mathematica) & @econemilia.bsky.social (Macquarie University) outline research on Kenya: voxdev.org/topic/agricu...

Over 86% of 10,000 simulations show that a bundled agricultural programme in Kenya had a positive societal net benefit.

Read the full article w/ @joshdeutschmann.bsky.social, Maya Duru, Kim Siegal & @econemilia.bsky.social to learn more:

#autopromoçãodeslavada "O uso dos economistas na sociedade: Hayek no Brasil", em coautoria com o prof. Eduardo Angeli, sobre as visitas do Hayek ao Brasil

Por favor, divulguem para quem possa se interessar
repositorio.ipea.gov.br/bitstream/11...

The deadline to apply to the 14th Edition of the Summer School in Development Economics is approaching soon!

Apply by April 15, 2025.

Please, share within your network.