Talarico does not need a +6 ”WAR” score
- Texas was Trump+12 in 2024
- Maybe Trump+10 with the Latino reversion we are seeing
- That’s R+8 on lean
- It’s a D+7 to D+8 year
- That puts it at R+0 to 1
- Talarico has potential positive residual
-Paxton had documented negative residual
04.03.2026 05:55 —
👍 431
🔁 55
💬 17
📌 6
There's been a lot of debate within the Democratic establishment about what rhetoric to use via ICE.
Well, an incumbent doesn't lose by 48 percentage points very often—and her vote on collaborating with ICE was the defining issue here.
04.03.2026 04:49 —
👍 4896
🔁 1468
💬 63
📌 56
CNN put together a montage of the regime's incoherent talking points about Trump's war on Iran
03.03.2026 03:25 —
👍 8359
🔁 3285
💬 316
📌 244
This is such a weird discourse because most of the prominent Dems who have pulled a Fetterman (including Fetterman himself) aren’t particularly religious. Sinema is famously an atheist!
04.03.2026 04:27 —
👍 116
🔁 11
💬 2
📌 0
okey doke forewarned is forearmed thanks
04.03.2026 04:38 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
U r welcome
04.03.2026 04:28 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
Unless you are already 79 years old you are younger than all but one president
04.03.2026 04:17 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
The vote count in NC SD-26 showing Page at 13,077 and Berger at 13,075
Wow. With all precincts reporting—but some provisional and absentee ballots left to count—North Carolina Senate President Phil Berger is losing the GOP primary in NC SD-26 by TWO VOTES.
04.03.2026 04:13 —
👍 164
🔁 30
💬 4
📌 12
Let alone Clinton
04.03.2026 04:14 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
imo Carter gets little blame (or credit) for getting deregulation moving
But he did
Years before Reagan came into office
04.03.2026 04:14 —
👍 4
🔁 0
💬 2
📌 0
This will get recounted and challenged for sure, and the lead could change, but as of right now two voters just decided the direction of the #ncga Senate. #ncpol
04.03.2026 04:02 —
👍 305
🔁 80
💬 13
📌 32
Honestly speed it up, so we can separate the slop mills from the places that slow down and let humans do real reporting and investigations again.
04.03.2026 03:50 —
👍 86
🔁 17
💬 3
📌 1
What we know so far, 9:30pm:
1. Few final results.
2. In NC, 3 Dems who helped GOP trailing.
3. Crenshaw, Al Green in trouble.
4. Dems close to a leg flip in Arkansas.
5. Cornyn & Talarico narrowly ahead.
6. Close Arkansas supreme court, tho redder counties await.
7. Fort Bend County exec ousted.
04.03.2026 02:30 —
👍 946
🔁 218
💬 26
📌 13
Strongest signal yet from Colorado Gov Jared Polis (D) that he'll give clemency to Tina Peters as President Trump has demanded. Polis notes a fmr Dem State Senator recently got probation on charges that drew prison time for Peters, who unrepentantly defied the judge at sentencing
04.03.2026 01:45 —
👍 654
🔁 204
💬 224
📌 213
This is ludicrous. The charge may be the same, but the facts are utterly different. This is the sort of thing you say when you’re looking for an excuse to capitulate without it seeming like capitulation. Nobody familiar with both cases could seriously claim they’re remotely analogous.
04.03.2026 02:23 —
👍 1535
🔁 358
💬 10
📌 14
Roy Cooper has forgotten more theory (good theory) than most brooklynites have ever read
04.03.2026 02:21 —
👍 6
🔁 1
💬 0
📌 0
Best luck figuring it out
04.03.2026 01:49 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
That’s from a John Witte book on law, religion, and human rights in early modern Calvinism
speaking of which who knew that Harold Berman published Law and Revolution II, on the Reformation era? Not me
04.03.2026 01:31 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
Cannot help there because still an elementary student at best there
Did tho discover just yesterday that John Adams wrote a “dissertation on the canon and the feudal law” so maybe he’d have a take
04.03.2026 01:27 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 0
75 minutes
04.03.2026 00:47 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
I just left a classified briefing about the Iran War. Here is what I can share.
04.03.2026 00:42 —
👍 119
🔁 72
💬 13
📌 4
For those who don't know, Tillis LOVES Dogs. He holds a "Bipawtisan" parade every year for dogs during Halloween and even dressed up his dog as Kyrsten Sinema one year for Halloween. He hosted a Mardi Gras dog parade last month. #NCPol #NCSen
03.03.2026 23:41 —
👍 635
🔁 109
💬 18
📌 4
*May I
04.03.2026 00:39 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
The cancellation of the State Department meeting with Metrinko is disheartening
And “fortress of stupidity“ uh oh
Mat I recommend a book published 40 years ago by the late historian Roy Mottahedeh, The Mantle of the Prophet
And a collection of his articles published just a couple years ago
04.03.2026 00:38 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 0
Let’s hear from President Trump about what kind of president would start a war with Iran.
03.03.2026 21:37 —
👍 710
🔁 292
💬 36
📌 12
Yes and
His cognitive failings are very real but still largely downstream of his juvenile nihilism and malice
03.03.2026 23:00 —
👍 12
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
we appear to have four competing fascist movements jockeying for control: blood & soil nazism under miller and hegseth, darwinian ecofascism from rfk, technofascism under vance and musk, and one Big Wet Hitler who understands the true animating core of the american volk is a deep love for shopping
03.03.2026 22:21 —
👍 7488
🔁 1783
💬 103
📌 63