Oleg Urminsky's Avatar

Oleg Urminsky

@olegurminsky.bsky.social

Prof @ UChicago Booth. Trying to learn how people think. Not a statistician but not exactly a psychologist either. You kids keep me young. Find my stuff here: https://home.uchicago.edu/~ourminsky/

2,149 Followers  |  1,317 Following  |  121 Posts  |  Joined: 24.09.2023  |  2.1746

Latest posts by olegurminsky.bsky.social on Bluesky

Now THIS is field work

30.06.2025 02:02 β€” πŸ‘ 64    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Along with his text he sent me this. Ps: Dems, he’s a 21 yr old white male attending college in South Carolina. Get on this. Stat.

23.06.2025 22:23 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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161. The Court's Disastrous Ruling in the Third-Country Removal Case The majority did not just greenlight an especially odious immigration policy without any explanation; it did so in a case in which the government defied the district courtβ€”twiceβ€”with no consequence.

Today’s unsigned, unexplained #SCOTUS ruling clearing the way for removals of migrants to third countries without any additional process is a disasterβ€”not just on the merits, but because of the government misbehavior that it not only refuses to punish, but effectively rewards.

Me, via β€œOne First”:

23.06.2025 21:59 β€” πŸ‘ 9351    πŸ” 3481    πŸ’¬ 583    πŸ“Œ 320

The thing about the Khalil case is that it's very very good that he's free now but you can't have it take three months between "the government kidnaps you off the street for no basis reason whatsoever" and "a judge makes them let you go." You just can't.

21.06.2025 00:11 β€” πŸ‘ 14270    πŸ” 3429    πŸ’¬ 211    πŸ“Œ 125

Sorting matters! @ericjjohnson.bsky.social @olegurminsky.bsky.social @katymilkman.bsky.social @angeladuckworth.bsky.social

20.06.2025 11:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
The ousted members of the ACIP are reeling from their unexpected dismissals, and many are laying low at the request of academic institutions that fear reprisals from the Trump administration.

The ousted members of the ACIP are reeling from their unexpected dismissals, and many are laying low at the request of academic institutions that fear reprisals from the Trump administration.

If you are an academic institution that has a dismissed ACIP member- it is time to grow a spine. Not speaking out will not spare you from this administration, but speaking out will at least shed light on what is happening to people who are not aware.

11.06.2025 01:44 β€” πŸ‘ 135    πŸ” 52    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

The military isn’t being employed to carry out an immigration policy.

The immigration policy, and especially the way the administration is choosing to carry it out, is an excuse to call out the military.

08.06.2025 03:00 β€” πŸ‘ 17043    πŸ” 4322    πŸ’¬ 352    πŸ“Œ 222

The June issue of JCR is now up on consumerresearcher.com, with a special section on "Gen AI and Consumer Research".

05.06.2025 01:03 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Heavily armed paramilitary forces stormed a local San Diego restaurant today, deployed stun grenades against a crowd of onlookers, and kidnapped a handful of kitchen workers.

31.05.2025 05:33 β€” πŸ‘ 7746    πŸ” 4137    πŸ’¬ 599    πŸ“Œ 875

Deporting a gay man to Russia is beyond horrific, and yet this admin is happy to do it.

And the verbal abuse he describes is abhorrent; and not new. Guards at detention centers, jails, and prisons get away with crap like this all the time. It’s appalling, it’s not new under Trump, just worse now.

31.05.2025 22:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2475    πŸ” 1035    πŸ’¬ 49    πŸ“Œ 37

Trump administration: We’ll beat China by destroying everything that makes us competitive with China.

31.05.2025 16:53 β€” πŸ‘ 167    πŸ” 65    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 3
Graphs showing 25 years of budgets for the National Institute of Health, NASA, and the NSF. In all cases, the proposed budget for next year is far, far below any year of the previous quarter century.

Graphs showing 25 years of budgets for the National Institute of Health, NASA, and the NSF. In all cases, the proposed budget for next year is far, far below any year of the previous quarter century.

There are 2 previous historical cases of countries destroying their science and universities, crippling them for decades: Lysenkoism in the USSR and Nazi Germany. The Trump administration will be the 3rd.
It's not just budgets but research, institutions, expertise, and training the next generation.

31.05.2025 04:43 β€” πŸ‘ 15426    πŸ” 7995    πŸ’¬ 464    πŸ“Œ 538
Hawaii's KΔ«lauea volcano spews molten lava more than 1,000 feet in the air
YouTube video by KOMO News Hawaii's KΔ«lauea volcano spews molten lava more than 1,000 feet in the air

Amazing.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBUw...

31.05.2025 17:57 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

now is the time for universities to announce that they collectively will not disenroll any international student who has their visa revoked, and that they will ensure remote degree completion is possible

29.05.2025 00:40 β€” πŸ‘ 549    πŸ” 155    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 7
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How I Survived White Genocide in South Africa To be safe: Live openly among Black folks, wander around by yourself, and take public transport everywhere.

β€œThis cunning strategy of hiding in plain sight and constantly wandering around in remote locations by myself where I could have been easily dispatched and left for the vultures worked brilliantly.” prospect.org/world/2025-0...

26.05.2025 22:52 β€” πŸ‘ 138    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 4

Same as it ever was: "In 1927, Albert Johnson said of the act he sponsored that it protected America from 'a stream of alien blood, with all its inherent misconceptions respecting the relationships of the governing power to the governed.'"

26.05.2025 15:27 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Wow. Revoking tenure is something that Harvard has not done before it seems (though some have resigned so Harvard did not have to act).

Gino is now off the HBS faculty list: www.hbs.edu/faculty/unit...

26.05.2025 00:45 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Scientific conferences are leaving the US amid border fears Some meetings have been put on hold in response to foreign researchers’ travel concerns.

US conferences are being cancelled or relocated as speakers decline, science discourse is limited and others not allowed to attend. Certainly I would avoid going under the current regime

24.05.2025 07:25 β€” πŸ‘ 290    πŸ” 114    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 18
Hi Tripp,
I'm a reporter with the Guardian US, based in New York. I hope this finds you well.
I'm reaching out about your most recent article and its inclusion of the claim, "Young Chinese women have small fingers." What is the source of this information? The full sentence attributes the claim that such small fingers make them "nimble" and therefore "valuable" to iPhone manufacturing to unnamed "supply chain experts", but it's unclear whether those same experts are the source of the claim that young Chinese women have small fingers in the first place. Are they? How do they know? Is there a study you can cite? And are we talking length? Circumference? Is it question of muscle strength? Or bone density? What is the normative range for finger size, to what extent do young Chinese women fall outside of it, and how do you - or your sources - know this?

Hi Tripp, I'm a reporter with the Guardian US, based in New York. I hope this finds you well. I'm reaching out about your most recent article and its inclusion of the claim, "Young Chinese women have small fingers." What is the source of this information? The full sentence attributes the claim that such small fingers make them "nimble" and therefore "valuable" to iPhone manufacturing to unnamed "supply chain experts", but it's unclear whether those same experts are the source of the claim that young Chinese women have small fingers in the first place. Are they? How do they know? Is there a study you can cite? And are we talking length? Circumference? Is it question of muscle strength? Or bone density? What is the normative range for finger size, to what extent do young Chinese women fall outside of it, and how do you - or your sources - know this?

Incidentally, how are you defining "Chinese" in this sentence? As I'm sure you and your supply chain experts know, China is a large country with dozens of ethnic minorities. It is hard to imagine that hand size is a trait linked to national identity, but the lack of specificity leaves the question open. Did hand size among Han Chinese living in Taiwan vs the PRC diverge after the civil war? Could this be a function of political economy rather than a genetic trait? So many questions. Relatedly, how are you defining "young"? Do Chinese women's fingers grow as they age? Or is size not actually the meaningful characteristic? It's hard to tell from the information you provided!
I ask all these questions because unless you have answers to them, I am afraid that you may have portrayed racist pseudoscience as if it were fact in an article for the New York Times. If that wasn't your intent, I hope you will reflect upon the long history of certain forces using race science claims to attribute suitability for certain types of labor to certain types of people, and amend your article.
Best,
Julia Wong

Incidentally, how are you defining "Chinese" in this sentence? As I'm sure you and your supply chain experts know, China is a large country with dozens of ethnic minorities. It is hard to imagine that hand size is a trait linked to national identity, but the lack of specificity leaves the question open. Did hand size among Han Chinese living in Taiwan vs the PRC diverge after the civil war? Could this be a function of political economy rather than a genetic trait? So many questions. Relatedly, how are you defining "young"? Do Chinese women's fingers grow as they age? Or is size not actually the meaningful characteristic? It's hard to tell from the information you provided! I ask all these questions because unless you have answers to them, I am afraid that you may have portrayed racist pseudoscience as if it were fact in an article for the New York Times. If that wasn't your intent, I hope you will reflect upon the long history of certain forces using race science claims to attribute suitability for certain types of labor to certain types of people, and amend your article. Best, Julia Wong

welp I sent an email

24.05.2025 15:35 β€” πŸ‘ 6932    πŸ” 1287    πŸ’¬ 190    πŸ“Œ 139

This is bravery.

24.05.2025 16:50 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

they should invent an opposition party that exists

23.05.2025 02:27 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump Has Cut Science Funding to Its Lowest Level in Decades (Gift Article) The lag in funding extends far beyond D.E.I. initiatives, affecting almost every area of science: chemistry, computing, engineering, materials and more.

Outstanding presentation of the devastating cuts at NSF and their impact across multiple areas of scientific research and training. Angry at the impact now and in the long-term to US research. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

23.05.2025 02:03 β€” πŸ‘ 45    πŸ” 31    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

This isn't about whether you like Harvard or not. This is about whether any organization in our country has a right to exist without bending the knee to Donald Trump.

23.05.2025 01:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1399    πŸ” 288    πŸ’¬ 17    πŸ“Œ 8

This framing is all wrong

Our international students are not a β€œcrucial funding source”

They are our STUDENTS

They are the reason we EXIST

We teach STUDENTS

22.05.2025 18:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1496    πŸ” 364    πŸ’¬ 38    πŸ“Œ 30
According to The New York Times, the lawyers said at the hearing - held in Vermont - that the government would move to deport Petrova to Russia despite concerns that it would be dangerous for her to return to the country, where she was arrested in 2022 for protesting Russia's war in Ukraine. Gregory Romanovsky, her attorney, said returning to the country would be "suicide" for Petrova in a March interview with The Crimson.

According to The New York Times, the lawyers said at the hearing - held in Vermont - that the government would move to deport Petrova to Russia despite concerns that it would be dangerous for her to return to the country, where she was arrested in 2022 for protesting Russia's war in Ukraine. Gregory Romanovsky, her attorney, said returning to the country would be "suicide" for Petrova in a March interview with The Crimson.

Petrova's boss, Leon Peshkin, said in an interview on Thursday that the researcher had good reason to fear being returned to Russia because she had publicly protested the Russian invasion of Ukraine in its first days, called for the impeachment of Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, and was arrested.
She managed to flee, first to the former Soviet republic of Georgia and then to the United States, to continue her research on genomes.
Peshkin said that Petrova was a highly skilled researcher - "she is spectacular, the best I've ever seen in 20 years at Harvard,, - and had a visa that enabled her to work in the US and travel abroad freely. In February, however, when she was in Paris on vacation, her boss "made a huge mistake". He asked her to pick up a box of frog embryo samples from colleagues in France and bring them back to the lab at Harvard.
The import of these samples, Peshkin said, was legal, but Petrova made some sort of paperwork mistake on the US customs declaration form and was stopped by customs officers on her return to Logan airport in Boston.

Petrova's boss, Leon Peshkin, said in an interview on Thursday that the researcher had good reason to fear being returned to Russia because she had publicly protested the Russian invasion of Ukraine in its first days, called for the impeachment of Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, and was arrested. She managed to flee, first to the former Soviet republic of Georgia and then to the United States, to continue her research on genomes. Peshkin said that Petrova was a highly skilled researcher - "she is spectacular, the best I've ever seen in 20 years at Harvard,, - and had a visa that enabled her to work in the US and travel abroad freely. In February, however, when she was in Paris on vacation, her boss "made a huge mistake". He asked her to pick up a box of frog embryo samples from colleagues in France and bring them back to the lab at Harvard. The import of these samples, Peshkin said, was legal, but Petrova made some sort of paperwork mistake on the US customs declaration form and was stopped by customs officers on her return to Logan airport in Boston.

Crimson update on detained Harvard researcher

What is missing is that her HARVARD BOSS told her to bring these items into the country (see Guardian piece)

Harvard owns this & should be doing the work of defending her

www.thecrimson.com/article/2025...

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

18.05.2025 20:53 β€” πŸ‘ 640    πŸ” 190    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 4

You can't report the news soberly when the news itself is wildly drunk.

11.05.2025 20:51 β€” πŸ‘ 95    πŸ” 21    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Every day disproves the existince of the mythical centrists that I also wish were an actual bulwark against extremism in the US but that no amount of journalist applause can will into reality these days.

11.05.2025 21:49 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

True story: When I was a contractor at a NASA facility I kept M&Ms on my desk. A civil servant I worked with ate a few one day. The next day I came in to find a pound bag on my desk. He wanted to "reimburse" me because he didn't want the few he ate to be seen as a gift. Anyway

11.05.2025 12:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3986    πŸ” 923    πŸ’¬ 99    πŸ“Œ 35

It’s really striking how irregular the bands of mostly men conducting federal immigration enforcement are. They seem to have no particular uniform, they wear a variety of different agency initials on their tactical vests, or none at all, they’re inconsistent about displaying a badge…

11.05.2025 02:39 β€” πŸ‘ 8661    πŸ” 2312    πŸ’¬ 612    πŸ“Œ 209

@olegurminsky is following 20 prominent accounts