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Dario Perkins

@darioperkins.bsky.social

MD Global Macro, macro themes/research/risks, central-bank specialist, started career at HM Treasury in late 90s, ex ABN AMRO, AC Milan fan

8,574 Followers  |  562 Following  |  1,072 Posts  |  Joined: 19.10.2023  |  1.9248

Latest posts by darioperkins.bsky.social on Bluesky

Rachel Reeves with an emergency speech to reset the narrative... or "Tuesday" as it is otherwise known

04.11.2025 08:42 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Clocks With No Hands (Prod Cut) by DarioPerkins East Coast hip-hop, boom-bap drums, aggressive punchy delivery, dark minor key piano stabs, layered synth bass, tight snares, menacing mood, confrontational energy, sharp articulate female vocals, 95 ...

After the Miran diss track, my latest: a rap about the AI bubble.

Its f***ing amazing www.producer.ai/song/7b40e9a...

03.11.2025 21:26 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

This is amazing 🀣

02.11.2025 15:57 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The first verse is particularly good. I tried to make a video but it put me in a queue for a week and wouldn't complete. Think I just put someone's electricity bills up...

02.11.2025 15:10 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Now that is good

02.11.2025 15:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is a work of staggering genius:

02.11.2025 14:24 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

🀣

02.11.2025 14:24 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Dot Plot Casualty β€” Verse 1 Highlight (45s, fades) by DarioPerkins Aggressive 90s West Coast battle rap, hard-hitting boom-bap drums, menacing sub-bass, sparse minor-key piano stabs, vinyl crackle texture, confrontational male vocals, raw stripped-down production, mi...

I asked AI to write a 90s-style diss track from Jay Powell to the new FOMC member - with very little prompt- and the results were, er, SPECTACULAR
Now I just need to make a video. And clone Powell's voice 🀣

www.producer.ai/song/b8f520e...

02.11.2025 12:35 β€” πŸ‘ 35    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 4
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Fed Hikes in 2026?

Dario/Freya: No cut in December; worldwide reflation in '26; Fed capture may prevent hikes; long end will tighten financial conditions. @darioperkins.bsky.social

(I believe fed/treasury accord fades away in '26, some version of YCC rolls out.)

open.spotify.com/episode/6rPO...

30.10.2025 19:08 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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PMI surveys indicate elevated US price growth as tariffs drive inflation differential with rest of world

www.spglobal.com/marketintell...

04.07.2025 15:46 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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How the Cycle Ends and the Bubble Bursts Podcast Episode Β· GlobalData TS Lombard: Perkins Vs Beamish Β· 10/15/2025 Β· 42m

Fun pod from @darioperkins.bsky.social and Freya - The Fed kills cycles and they will murder this one too; Fed will not protect real rates; efficiency gains are not from ai; K-shaped economy/wealth effect is not real.

15.10.2025 17:34 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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@robarmstrong.bsky.social and @darioperkins.bsky.social doing a valuable public service in this morning’s Unhedged newsletter:
on.ft.com/4nOovPA

09.10.2025 08:53 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Reaccelerating into an Inflation Crisis? Podcast Episode Β· GlobalData TS Lombard: Perkins Vs Beamish Β· 10/02/2025 Β· 42m

Near the end of this @darioperkins.bsky.social frames out the pressures on the Fed in the late β€˜60s that look similar to present day. I think you can also hear some recognition of this in Fed speeches this week.

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/g...

03.10.2025 15:27 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Investors keep asking why the US economy is "behaving so bizarrely". Imagine a teacher turns up to school in a clown outfit, acts erratically all day, and keeps dishing out arbitrary rewards and expulsions. Would you ask why the kids are so distracted?

02.10.2025 07:31 β€” πŸ‘ 64    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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As the usual observation goes, dig only a little bit under every piece of BS in US society and you have better than even odds you'll find Regan...

by @darioperkins.bsky.social at hub.tslombard.com/chart-story/... via @adamtooze.bsky.social

01.10.2025 19:22 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The UK is in a hole and this govt thinks it can fix it with a shovel

23.09.2025 16:00 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Unhinged

22.09.2025 20:54 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Trump press conference

22.09.2025 20:54 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Wtf am I watching

22.09.2025 20:51 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

yeah thats what he meant by "risk management". Insurance against a specific risk - in this case the jobs market collapsing

18.09.2025 07:52 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

FOMC members haven't agreed on much in recent months, but they all agree that Miran is wrong about where interest rates should be. He managed to unite them 🀣

18.09.2025 07:48 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

People seem confused by Jay Powell, but his message was a complicated one. Both demand and supply are deteriorating, which isnt *that* disinflationary, but there is a chance demand deteriorates FASTER than supply - esp. if the labour market cracks. That's what they are watching for

18.09.2025 07:42 β€” πŸ‘ 35    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Arsonists blaming the fire brigade for turning up late

17.09.2025 21:09 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The irony of *that* FOMC dot is that it will only be correct if the administration's policies have tanked the economy

17.09.2025 20:50 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

my thoughts exactly. He regretted choosing Powell within MONTHS. Surely he wont make that "mistake" again

17.09.2025 15:16 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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wishful thinking

17.09.2025 14:51 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

🀣

12.09.2025 13:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

yeah.. until Trump 2.0

12.09.2025 11:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

1967....

12.09.2025 09:10 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

oops sorry! I thought I had kept them the same 🀣

12.09.2025 10:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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