Rachel Reeves with an emergency speech to reset the narrative... or "Tuesday" as it is otherwise known
04.11.2025 08:42 β π 15 π 3 π¬ 1 π 1@darioperkins.bsky.social
MD Global Macro, macro themes/research/risks, central-bank specialist, started career at HM Treasury in late 90s, ex ABN AMRO, AC Milan fan
Rachel Reeves with an emergency speech to reset the narrative... or "Tuesday" as it is otherwise known
04.11.2025 08:42 β π 15 π 3 π¬ 1 π 1After the Miran diss track, my latest: a rap about the AI bubble.
Its f***ing amazing www.producer.ai/song/7b40e9a...
This is amazing π€£
02.11.2025 15:57 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0The first verse is particularly good. I tried to make a video but it put me in a queue for a week and wouldn't complete. Think I just put someone's electricity bills up...
02.11.2025 15:10 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Now that is good
02.11.2025 15:03 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0This is a work of staggering genius:
02.11.2025 14:24 β π 8 π 2 π¬ 1 π 0π€£
02.11.2025 14:24 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I asked AI to write a 90s-style diss track from Jay Powell to the new FOMC member - with very little prompt- and the results were, er, SPECTACULAR 
Now I just need to make a video. And clone Powell's voice π€£
www.producer.ai/song/b8f520e...
Dario/Freya: No cut in December; worldwide reflation in '26; Fed capture may prevent hikes; long end will tighten financial conditions.  @darioperkins.bsky.social 
(I believe fed/treasury accord fades away in '26, some version of YCC rolls out.) 
open.spotify.com/episode/6rPO...
PMI surveys indicate elevated US price growth as tariffs drive inflation differential with rest of world
www.spglobal.com/marketintell...
Fun pod from @darioperkins.bsky.social and Freya - The Fed kills cycles and they will murder this one too; Fed will not protect real rates; efficiency gains are not from ai; K-shaped economy/wealth effect is not real.
15.10.2025 17:34 β π 2 π 2 π¬ 1 π 0@robarmstrong.bsky.social and @darioperkins.bsky.social doing a valuable public service in this morningβs Unhedged newsletter: 
on.ft.com/4nOovPA
Near the end of this @darioperkins.bsky.social frames out the pressures on the Fed in the late β60s that look similar to present day. I think you can also hear some recognition of this in Fed speeches this week. 
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/g...
Investors keep asking why the US economy is "behaving so bizarrely". Imagine a teacher turns up to school in a clown outfit, acts erratically all day, and keeps dishing out arbitrary rewards and expulsions. Would you ask why the kids are so distracted?
02.10.2025 07:31 β π 64 π 8 π¬ 2 π 0As the usual observation goes, dig only a little bit under every piece of BS in US society and you have better than even odds you'll find Regan...
by @darioperkins.bsky.social at hub.tslombard.com/chart-story/...  via @adamtooze.bsky.social
The UK is in a hole and this govt thinks it can fix it with a shovel
23.09.2025 16:00 β π 6 π 2 π¬ 3 π 0Unhinged
22.09.2025 20:54 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Trump press conference
22.09.2025 20:54 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Wtf am I watching
22.09.2025 20:51 β π 20 π 2 π¬ 1 π 0yeah thats what he meant by "risk management". Insurance against a specific risk - in this case the jobs market collapsing
18.09.2025 07:52 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0FOMC members haven't agreed on much in recent months, but they all agree that Miran is wrong about where interest rates should be. He managed to unite them π€£
18.09.2025 07:48 β π 22 π 1 π¬ 0 π 1People seem confused by Jay Powell, but his message was a complicated one. Both demand and supply are deteriorating, which isnt *that* disinflationary, but there is a chance demand deteriorates FASTER than supply - esp. if the labour market cracks. That's what they are watching for
18.09.2025 07:42 β π 35 π 3 π¬ 2 π 0Arsonists blaming the fire brigade for turning up late
17.09.2025 21:09 β π 14 π 3 π¬ 0 π 0The irony of *that* FOMC dot is that it will only be correct if the administration's policies have tanked the economy
17.09.2025 20:50 β π 27 π 3 π¬ 2 π 0my thoughts exactly. He regretted choosing Powell within MONTHS. Surely he wont make that "mistake" again
17.09.2025 15:16 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0wishful thinking
17.09.2025 14:51 β π 7 π 3 π¬ 1 π 1π€£
12.09.2025 13:22 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0yeah.. until Trump 2.0
12.09.2025 11:35 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 01967....
12.09.2025 09:10 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0oops sorry! I thought I had kept them the same π€£
12.09.2025 10:33 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0