At #EPOP2025, we were delighted to award Pippa Norris the 2025 Sir David Butler Prize for Lifetime Contribution to the Study of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties.
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
08.09.2025 10:01 —
👍 25
🔁 8
💬 0
📌 0
Being permanently America-brained is going to end up a politically fatal condition for European politicians
08.09.2025 08:41 —
👍 152
🔁 16
💬 7
📌 1
Academic authors, here's a peek into the black box of journal publishing from an journal editor if you can bear it:
06.09.2025 23:09 —
👍 1003
🔁 473
💬 18
📌 105
LLMs can't stop making up software dependencies and sabotaging everything
: Hallucinated package names fuel 'slopsquatting'
LLMs hallucinating nonexistent software packages with plausible names leads to a new malware vulnerability: "slopsquatting."
12.04.2025 22:31 —
👍 1341
🔁 387
💬 33
📌 143
Model to Meaning: How to interpret statistical models with marginaleffects for R and Python
📚😅🎉
Yay!! I just submitted the complete manuscript of my upcoming book to the publisher!
Learn to easily and clearly interpret (almost) any stats model w/ R or Python. Simple ideas, consistent workflow, powerful tools, detailed case studies.
Read it for free @ marginaleffects.com
#RStats #PyData
10.04.2025 19:06 —
👍 592
🔁 147
💬 21
📌 9
Looking forward to meet you tomorrow at the MZES-DVPW 'Methods of Political Science'!
26.03.2025 20:13 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
APSR 2025
Lots of talk about ‘left behind’ places & far-right’s rise.
How do industrial decline, economic hardship, & resentment actually fuel far-right support?
In new @apsrjournal.bsky.social
paper exploring
Xylella epidemic that devastated centuries-old 🫒 groves in 🇮🇹, we find out
shorturl.at/xgeho
07.03.2025 10:50 —
👍 161
🔁 65
💬 1
📌 2
Open source GenAI comparator
A useful interactive tool developed by PEReN to compare the degree of openness of AI models in regard of the Open Source Initiative (OSI): publicly accessible weights, publicly available data, allows redistribution etc.
www.peren.gouv.fr/en/compare-o...
09.03.2025 07:18 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
Paul B. Preciado :
Épisode de l’émission · Avec philosophie · 07/03/2025 · 59 min
Remise en contexte et réhabilitation du Manifeste Cyborg d’Haraway par Paul B. Preciado ⬇️⬇️⬇️
podcasts.apple.com/fr/podcast/a...
08.03.2025 08:02 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
The problem with Dems chasing public opinion is that THE PUBLIC'S VIEW OF THINGS IS JUST MOVING IN RESPONSE TO WHAT POLITICAL FIGURES SAY AND IT'S VERY OBVIOUS IN THE DATA MY GOD
07.03.2025 17:10 —
👍 6366
🔁 1175
💬 211
📌 135
Jeunes femmes plus progressistes, jeunes hommes plus conservateurs ? Quelles explications ?
J'apporte quelques éléments de réponse dans cet article 👇 de @jeromelatta.bsky.social , en m'appuyant aussi sur une note de recherche 📑 co-écrit avec @hautetristan.bsky.social
04.03.2025 06:10 —
👍 22
🔁 8
💬 1
📌 0
Title page for Machine Bias. How Do Generative Language Models Answer Opinion Polls?
Abstract:
Generative AI is increasingly presented as a potential substitute for humans, including as human research subjects in various disciplines. Yet there is no scientific consensus on how closely these in-silico clones could represent their human counterparts. While some defend the use of these “synthetic users,” others point towards the biases in the responses provided by the LLMs. Through an experiment using survey questionnaires, we demonstrate that these latter critics are right to be wary of using generative AI to emulate respondents, but probably not for the right reason. Our results i) confirm that to date, models cannot replace research subjects for opinion or attitudinal research; ii) that they display a strong bias on each question (reaching only a small region of social space); and iii) that this bias varies randomly from one question to the other (reaching a different region every time). Besides the two existing competing theses (“representativity” and “social bias”), we propose a third one, which we call call “machine bias”. We detail this term and explore its consequences, for LLM research but also for studies on social biases.
Last version of our forthcoming paper on why we cannot use large language models to answer surveys as a diverse sample -- and it's not what you think. w/ Julien Boelart @ppraeg.bsky.social @eollion.bsky.social and Ivaylo Petev @crestsociology.bsky.social osf.io/preprints/so...
04.03.2025 06:48 —
👍 16
🔁 6
💬 0
📌 1
Voilà exactement ce qu'il fallait éviter.
04.03.2025 06:57 —
👍 25
🔁 3
💬 2
📌 1
Economist - graph of “hard rise”
The most important thing to identify here is the strong inversed relationship between “conservative” (moderate) right and “hard” right.
One might think that Conservative parties are a Trojan horse of far right success.
01.03.2025 08:11 —
👍 50
🔁 9
💬 2
📌 4
I would greatly appreciate your feedback !
19.02.2025 13:46 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
I am happy to announce that I will be presenting an early-stage method paper about automated detection of electoral pledges in political and media discourses.
Meet me around 11am on March 27th at the MZES-DVPW 'Methods of Political Science' in Mannheim #polisky #poliscisky
19.02.2025 13:45 —
👍 3
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 1
America’s Crisis of Civic Virtue | Journal of Democracy
The problem for democracy today is not capitalism; it is a decline in public honesty and civility. But there is an opportunity to revive our sense of national community, if we seize it.
"Faith in capitalism itself is falling — according to Pew, the percentage of Americans with a positive impression of the system declined from 65 to 57 percent in just four years, from 2019 to 2023." —Arthur C. Brooks
www.journalofdemocra...
18.02.2025 13:31 —
👍 4
🔁 4
💬 0
📌 0
18.02.2025 02:57 —
👍 31881
🔁 5850
💬 519
📌 223
#veilleesr Contre-la-montre pour sauver les données scientifiques des sites fédéraux américains https://www.courrierinternational.com/article/etats-unis-contre-la-montre-pour-sauver-les-donnees-scientifiques-des-sites-federaux-americains_227586
18.02.2025 08:00 —
👍 9
🔁 5
💬 0
📌 0
Une lecture de la CP-CNU sur le rapport sur l’autonomie des
universités de l’ANRT : l’autonomie n’est pas la solution au sous financement de l’université. C’est même probablement une partie du problème #LRU2007 #HelloESR
conseil-national-des-universites.fr/data/documen...
17.02.2025 22:29 —
👍 11
🔁 6
💬 0
📌 0
can’t wait to flight there
18.02.2025 08:55 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
Fermez-la, je lis l'avenir.
www.ft.com/content/3f95...
17.02.2025 16:17 —
👍 78
🔁 4
💬 17
📌 3
Signez la pétition
Alerte du Planning familial sur le désengagement du Département de la Drôme
Le Conseil Départemental de la #Drôme ferment ses 7 centres de santé sexuelle (CSS) et diminuent les subventions du Planning et aux CSS des hôpitaux. 🙅
Cette décision précarise la lutte contre les violences et la santé sexuelle des Drômois·es. ⛔
✍️ #Pétition :
www.change.org/p/alerte-du-...
#AURA
12.02.2025 15:40 —
👍 272
🔁 329
💬 7
📌 40
Should you trust these results given that they were generated with LLMs? Broadly yes, but you have to validate every time. GPT-4o 2024-11-20 (which produced the results above) has human-level performance. But the 08-06 version is a stinker and greatly underperformed.
10.02.2025 15:50 —
👍 19
🔁 2
💬 3
📌 1
For statistical articles, replication data has become essentially universal and pre-registration is up to 30% of statistical articles (probably related to the rise of survey experiments)
10.02.2025 15:47 —
👍 10
🔁 1
💬 2
📌 0
Cela semble absurde, et j’ai été choqué la première fois que je l’ai compris, mais la France – il n'y a pas d'autre mot – est bien un paradis fiscal pour milliardaire
Explications détaillées 🧵
07.02.2025 14:55 —
👍 1972
🔁 1372
💬 39
📌 97
White House budget proposal could shatter the National Science Foundation
“This kind of cut would kill American science and boost China.”…
The US government has been turned over to a group of extraordinarily ignorant people, and they are working to destroy science in this country. Cutting over half the NSF budget would save < 0.1% of the federal budget, but do incalculable harm. Simply heartbreaking.
arstechnica.com/science/2025...
07.02.2025 12:28 —
👍 710
🔁 219
💬 31
📌 15