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ECFR European Security

@ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

@ecfr.bsky.social ideas and analysis on Europe’s security, defence, enlargement, resilience and eastern neighbourhood dynamics

529 Followers  |  61 Following  |  129 Posts  |  Joined: 29.11.2024
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Posts by ECFR European Security (@ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social)

Germany's Armoured Brigade 45 assumed command of NATO's Multinational Battlegroup Lithuania. The brigade's two other battalions were formally assigned last week; they will arrive in Lithuania by the end of 2027.

For context and outlook, see: ecfr.eu/article/blue... @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

05.02.2026 13:04 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Map of the northern hemisphere depicting possible flight paths of Russian ballistic and cruise missiles across the Arctic to targets in the continental United States.

Map of the northern hemisphere depicting possible flight paths of Russian ballistic and cruise missiles across the Arctic to targets in the continental United States.

Nuuk-lear standoff: Why the US and Europe should cooperate on missile defence in the Arctic ecfr.eu/article/nuuk...

The standoff over Greenland strained alliance relations: but using NATO to improve cooperation and counter Russian nuclear coercion could be a silver lining to this episode, I argue.

30.01.2026 11:39 — 👍 17    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1
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Nuuk-lear standoff: Why the US and Europe should cooperate on missile defence in the Arctic – European Council on Foreign Relations Greenland has long played a strategic role in Western defence and missile warning systems. Now Trump’s “Golden Dome” plan offers an opportunity for US-Europe co

@rafaelloss.bsky.sociall writes "Greenland’s geography is a critical piece of Trump’s 'Golden Dome'. Alliance relations might be strained: but using NATO to improve US-European cooperation and counter Russian nuclear coercion could be a silver lining to this episode."
🔗👇 https://bit.ly/3NZwsnP

30.01.2026 12:05 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 2    📌 0

Trump has released a new National Defense Strategy (NDS). @rafaelloss.bsky.social points out that "One red thread weaves throughout American rhetoric and actions: unburdening the US from defending Europe." This calls for Europeans to do three things now.

👉 Read more: https://bit.ly/3NG6zcD

26.01.2026 13:14 — 👍 6    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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📢 ECFR is here in Nuuk, Greenland!

Katrine Westgaard argues that Europe now has an important opportunity to strengthen its political and economic ties with Greenland. @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

Keep up to date with ECFR's research on Greenland!
👉 https://bit.ly/4jU1tWl

25.01.2026 15:55 — 👍 11    🔁 5    💬 3    📌 0
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Putin’s longest war: Calling time on Russia’s endurance myth – European Council on Foreign Relations Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine has now lasted longer than the Soviet Union’s fight against Nazi Germany, with incomparably smaller gains. The West should stop

"The notion that “time is on the Russian side” betrays a lack of strategic patience and, even more importantly, squandered opportunities to exploit Moscow’s growing structural vulnerabilities", write @jkobzova.bsky.social and Leo Litra.
@ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

https://bit.ly/3LLfQzs

16.01.2026 14:07 — 👍 14    🔁 8    💬 0    📌 3
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Arctic hold‘em: Ten European cards in Greenland – European Council on Foreign Relations Europeans have real leverage in the face of Donald Trump’s threats towards Greenland—and time on their side. They must use it to raise the prospective costs of

Europeans have real leverage in the face of Donald Trump’s threats towards Greenland and time on their side. They must use it to raise the prospective costs of annexation. @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

ecfr.eu/article/arct...

16.01.2026 09:59 — 👍 32    🔁 16    💬 2    📌 0
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The World in 2026: Global Public Opinion One Year into the Second Trump Presidency – European Council on Foreign Relations How do publics around the world view geopolitics one year into the second Trump presidency?  ECFR’s 2024 polling  reveal

📆 Save the date!
📢 Register: https://bit.ly/4ps9BhL
How is the world reassessing power one year into Trump’s presidency? Join our webinar about ECFR’s new 21‑country survey data and find out shifting alliances, polarity, and views on the EU’s global role.

📍 15 January, 17:30 (CET)

13.01.2026 08:50 — 👍 2    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0
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EU enlargement standoff: will veto-free membership redefine unity or deepen divisions?

Engjellushe Morina writes in @brusselstimes.com that EU enlargement is caught in a veto-driven stalemate that risks deepening divisions across the Union.

"With clear timelines and political courage, the EU can enlarge without compromising the equality that defines it."
https://bit.ly/3Z9T5Iv

14.01.2026 14:41 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 1
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The world in 2026 – European Council on Foreign Relations Mark Leonard welcomes Julien Barnes-Dacey, Jana Kobzová, Andrew Small and Alex Vines to discuss upcoming political changes in 2026

🎧 New Week, New episode!

@markhleonard.bsky.social is joined by @jkobzova.bsky.social, Julien Barnes-Dacey, Jana Kobzová, Andrew Small and Alex Vines to discuss what challenges Europe should focus on in 2026. What dynamic political shifts might we see this year?

https://bit.ly/4jALdcw

09.01.2026 14:25 — 👍 3    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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Peace with teeth: What Britain and France’s troop commitment means for Ukraine – European Council on Foreign Relations Britain and France have committed to deploying their armies on the ground in Ukraine. This is one step towards providing the robust security guarantees the coun

Britain and France have committed to deploying their armies on the ground in Ukraine. This is one step towards providing the robust security guarantees the country needs to deter future Russian aggression, writes Leo Litra ⬇️
ecfr.eu/article/peac...

09.01.2026 09:18 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Peace with teeth: What Britain and France’s troop commitment means for Ukraine – European Council on Foreign Relations Britain and France have committed to deploying their armies on the ground in Ukraine. This is one step towards providing the robust security guarantees the coun

Britain and France have committed to deploying their armies on the ground in Ukraine. "This is one step towards providing the robust security guarantees the country needs to deter future Russian aggression", writes Leo Litra. @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

https://bit.ly/3YvBPgz

08.01.2026 17:29 — 👍 7    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 2
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Ukrainian border, Balkan future: How Trump’s peace deal could impact Kosovo and Serbia – European Council on Foreign Relations A Russia-Ukraine peace deal that capitulates to Putin risks destabilising the Western Balkans, emboldening Serbian territorial claims and undermining EU credibi

A Russia-Ukraine peace deal that capitulates to Putin risks destabilising the Western Balkans, emboldening Serbian territorial claims and undermining EU credibility, writes Engjellushe Morina.

https://bit.ly/4s4AqLz

19.12.2025 12:03 — 👍 11    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 0
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Europe’s resilience isn’t just steel and silicon. Biosolutions must be part of defence and resilience strategies—backed by coordinated policy, investment & industry collaboration. Key takeaway from the ‘Securing Tomorrow’ conference. #ECFRDARE, @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social, @danskindustri.dk

19.12.2025 10:49 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Accelerate the accessions: Why faster is better in EU enlargement policy The Ukraine war has revived EU enlargement for Albania, Moldova, Montenegro and Ukraine, but they face obstacles. Accelerating membership for these frontrunners would unlock the process before rivals…

@engjellushem.bsky.social writes on the EU accession of Albania, Moldova, Montenegro and Ukraine within the next 5 years. The EU must avoid indefinite gradualism and institutional reform cannot be deferred. Full accession should be the paramount focus.
https://bit.ly/4pKSfhf

18.12.2025 16:37 — 👍 6    🔁 5    💬 1    📌 0
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No cash, no bullets, no say: A 10-point memo for Europe on Ukraine Without sufficient money and weapons, Europeans will be unable to convert their talking points into a sustainable peace.

A 10-point memo for Europe on Ukraine >> some tough but necessary reading here. @jkobzova.bsky.social @ecfr.eu

ecfr.eu/article/no-c...

04.12.2025 23:39 — 👍 28    🔁 10    💬 0    📌 0
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Fragile frontline: The consequences of declining military aid to Ukraine Russia’s renewed offensive in Ukraine’s east makes urgent international support essential. Europe must now mobilise financial assistance to secure Ukrainian sovereignty—and its own security…

Russia’s renewed offensive in Ukraine’s east makes urgent international support essential. Europe must now mobilise financial assistance to secure Ukrainian sovereignty—and its own security.

Latest by Leo Litra ⬇️
ecfr.eu/article/frag...

08.12.2025 13:09 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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No cash, no bullets, no say: A 10-point memo for Europe on Ukraine Without sufficient money and weapons, Europeans will be unable to convert their talking points into a sustainable peace.

Without sufficient money and weapons, Europeans will be unable to convert their talking points into a sustainable peace.

@jkobzova.bsky.social shared a 10-point memo for Europe on Ukraine ⬇️
ecfr.eu/article/no-c...

05.12.2025 15:00 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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No cash, no bullets, no say: A 10-point memo for Europe on Ukraine Without sufficient money and weapons, Europeans will be unable to convert their talking points into a sustainable peace.

One would think that by now, my points are kind of obvious and yet here we are: 10 points the Europeans need to take into account when asking for a seat at the table on #Ukraine:

ecfr.eu/article/no-c...

05.12.2025 09:51 — 👍 7    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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No cash, no bullets, no say: A 10-point memo for Europe on Ukraine Without sufficient money and weapons, Europeans will be unable to convert their talking points into a sustainable peace.

Without sufficient money and weapons, Europeans will be unable to convert their talking points into a sustainable peace, writes @jkobzova.bsky.social of @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social in a A 10-point memo for Europe on Ukraine
ecfr.eu/article/no-c...

05.12.2025 10:28 — 👍 5    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0
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Showstoppers: How to fix Europe’s military immobility and improve deterrence Europeans are focused on improving their military readiness—but deterrence also depends on moving forces fast. EU infrastructure plans must prepare Europe’s land, sea and air routes for commerce and…

Showstoppers: How to fix Europe’s military immobility and improve deterrence ecfr.eu/article/show... @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

02.12.2025 17:58 — 👍 10    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 1
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The trouble with FCAS: Why Europe’s fighter jet project is not taking off The disagreement over the Franco-German-Spanish fighter aircraft system, FCAS, shows that when it comes to building a European defence industry, political will is not enough…

The disagreement over the Franco-German-Spanish fighter aircraft system, FCAS, shows that when it comes to building a European defence industry, political will is not enough, writes @rikefranke.bsky.social
ecfr.eu/article/the-...

01.12.2025 11:07 — 👍 26    🔁 8    💬 3    📌 0
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The diplomatic minefield: What now for Ukraine? Leo Litra and Lesia Ogryzko are joined by Eric Ciaramella and Jana Kobzova to discuss the development and its implications…

🎧What are the potential consequences of the proposed plan, and do Ukraine and Europe still hold any leverage? What are the risks of considering European security as a mere transactional deal?

https://ecfr.eu/podcasts/episode/the-diplomatic-minefield-what-now-for-ukraine/

30.11.2025 10:52 — 👍 4    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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The diplomatic minefield: What now for Ukraine? Leo Litra and Lesia Ogryzko are joined by Eric Ciaramella and Jana Kobzova to discuss the development and its implications…

Trump’s controversial 28-point plan to end the war in Ukraine has rattled Western capitals and could jeopardise Ukraine’s sovereignty.

The new @ecfr.eu podcast episode explains what’s at stake — for Ukraine, Europe, and the transatlantic partnership.
ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...

27.11.2025 16:06 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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What Europe should do about a bad Ukraine deal Donald Trump’s 28-point plan to end the fighting in Ukraine would be a dream outcome for the Kremlin. Here is how Europeans can ensure it does not become their continent’s nightmare.

Donald Trump’s 28-point plan to end the fighting in Ukraine would be a dream outcome for the Kremlin. Here is how Europeans can ensure it does not become their continent’s nightmare, writes @jkobzova.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4a9CnzC

25.11.2025 08:00 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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What Europe should do about a bad Ukraine deal | ECFR Donald Trump’s 28-point plan to end the fighting in Ukraine would be a dream outcome for the Kremlin. Here is how Europeans can ensure it does not become their

🇺🇦 Il piano in 28 punti di Trump per porre fine alla guerra in Ucraina sarebbe un risultato da sogno per il Cremlino. Ecco come gli europei possono garantire che non diventi un incubo per loro ⬇️
✍️ @jkobzova.bsky.social x @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

25.11.2025 08:00 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Europe's two wars: The danger of the comfort zone | ECFR Europe's focus on Ukraine's perilous “kill zone” obscures a second front: a hybrid war into the continent's “comfort zone”. Europeans must confront this second

Moscow is aiming for the political destruction of NATO and the EU. By eroding trust between member states, sowing economic instability and undermining democratic institutions, it seeks to fragment European unity, writes Nicu Popescu @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/47X57dA

25.11.2025 09:31 — 👍 12    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 1
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What Europe should do about a bad Ukraine deal Donald Trump’s 28-point plan to end the fighting in Ukraine would be a dream outcome for the Kremlin. Here is how Europeans can ensure it does not become their continent’s nightmare.

Ukraine 🧵
1/ In the past hours, ECFR’s policy fellows have been working on explaining the Ukraine-Russia peace plan from several perspectives.

@jkobzova.bsky.social wrote a step-by-step plan for Europeans to ensure it does not become their continent’s nightmare. ecfr.eu/article/what...

24.11.2025 16:13 — 👍 7    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 0

Europeans must consider hybrid threats as seriously as the kinetic destruction in Ukraine’s “kill zone”. Investments in asymmetric warfare capabilities—drones, cyber defence and rapid-response teams—need to match the innovation seen on the Ukrainian battlefield.

24.11.2025 11:23 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Europe’s two wars: The danger of the comfort zone Europe’s focus on Ukraine’s perilous “kill zone” obscures a second front: a hybrid war into the continent’s “comfort zone”. Europeans must confront this second assault with clarity and cohesion…

Europe’s focus on Ukraine’s perilous “kill zone” obscures a second front: a hybrid war into the continent’s “comfort zone”. Europeans must confront this second assault with clarity and cohesion, lest the foundations of their security crumble, writes Nicu Popescu ⬇️
ecfr.eu/article/euro...

24.11.2025 11:23 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0