Krug Flintheart

Market looks like no one almost gives a damn about Iran

Macro is bearish. 1) 15% tariffs Monday opening. 2) Iran war looks inevitable. 3) Russian-Ukraine negotiations look useless. #bitcoin #economics

For traders: Entry only above ~95K with stop under ~80K. Until then, the range ~80-95K governs Bitcoin’s short-term behaviour. #Bitcoin #TradingStrategy

If bulls want to take charge they’ll need a clear move above ~US$ 88k-90k. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading

Bitcoin drops below US$ 84K, heading toward the key 80K support. Risk sentiment still weak. #Bitcoin #crypto #BTC
Support ~ 80K / Resistance ~ 90K

This whole move is supply-driven. I’m not fighting it — trend stays down. #Bitcoin #BTC

Bitcoin just slid below ~$81k amid heavy risk-off sentiment and $3.7B+ in ETF outflows. The bear case isn’t just hype. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket

Retail traders are catching falling knives, stacking longs and leverage while funding rates stay high. That leaves the market exposed to volatility spikes and liquidation cascades. Institutions remain cautious — historically, in 86% of similar setups BTC dropped ~16% within a month.

A decent night buy-in on the Asian markets. It will most likely be sold off by Europe and the US. #Bitcoin #AsianSession #MarketFlow #CryptoTrading

As for me consider bitcoin is pretty oversold now

Statistically, in such cases, a short-term return to the previous support around 106k is needed. After that, the low may be revisited. #Bitcoin #SupportLevel #MarketStatistics #CryptoAnalysis

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Bitcoin (BTC) fell to four-month lows of $98,900 on Tuesday.
I say that the market is "transitioning into a bear market".

Bulls market is over. I agree.

📈 What it means
The bearish scenario (short below $108K) has not been triggered yet — support is still holding.
The probability of a corrective move up to $113K–$114K has now increased to around 55%,
while strong resistance remains near $116K.

BTC Market Update
Price: around $111,200–$111,500
Trend: sideways, within the $108,000–$116,000 range
RSI (1H): ~48–50 — neutral
MACD: showing a weak attempt to turn upward
Volume: moderate, no visible impulse

As for me, it’s likely up on CPI today and then down on FOMC to the 103–104k level. #Bitcoin #CPI #FOMC #MarketForecast #CryptoTrading

Watch these levels closely — they’re where the bounces and breakouts will happen. #Bitcoin #SupportAndResistance #MarketLevels #TradingStrategy

Everything looks like the retail market is about to get shaved for the second time. #Bitcoin #RetailTraders #MarketCycle #CryptoAnalysis

11 red candles in a row on the 1-h timeframe — I think this is the first time I’ve seen that. #Bitcoin #RedCandles #MarketVolatility #CryptoTrading

My opinion: we’ll return to the 18–20 range this week, since the purely speculative drop was driven by news that triggered a cascade of liquidations. Such moves usually fade quickly. #Bitcoin #MarketRecovery #Liquidations #SpeculativeDrop #CryptoAnalysis

I estimate the probability of growth in the coming hours/days at around 50–55%. The probability of a correction is 45–50%. If the price can hold above the support area of $117–123K and break through the ~$124–125K resistance, the growth potential remains significant. #Bitcoin

Important economic events for this week

Bitcoin as usually does its "bitcoin thing". I have no idea what will happen next. So just reflectin' Uptober.

A small bearish divergence, an unclosed CME gap AT 109200, and the looming U.S. government shutdown — together this forms a bearish signal. #Bitcoin #BearishSignal #CMEGap #USDebt #CryptoMarkets

A CME gap has formed on the Bitcoin chart up to 109200. These have been closing nicely so far. Also, RSI is heavily oversold. #Bitcoin #CMEGap #RSI #Oversold #CryptoTrading

Looks like no one cares about CPI today. Almost zero impact.

CPI today in 30 minutes. Volatility incoming.

Also bullish divergence here at 1h bitcoin chart