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Faye Norby

@fayenorby.bsky.social

Cardiovascular epidemiologist -University of Minnesota. 1000-mile Iditarod Trail Invitational champ. Ultrarunning, dogs, wild places, northern lights, wood spoons, heart health, & human-powered pursuit of the ineffable.

392 Followers  |  615 Following  |  62 Posts  |  Joined: 15.11.2024
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Posts by Faye Norby (@fayenorby.bsky.social)

Graph of award probability of R35 and R01 from NIH factbook as a function of review rank percentile. As is apparent, 2025 is a significant departure, with lower award probabilities at all scores <40 and significant departures from norm, where even being in the top 10% is no longer a nearly certain indicator of success.

Data source: https://report.nih.gov/nihdatabook/report/302

Graph of award probability of R35 and R01 from NIH factbook as a function of review rank percentile. As is apparent, 2025 is a significant departure, with lower award probabilities at all scores <40 and significant departures from norm, where even being in the top 10% is no longer a nearly certain indicator of success. Data source: https://report.nih.gov/nihdatabook/report/302

The data is in: the NIH goalposts have shifted.

What were once almost certain fundable scores have become coin flips and what used to be likely grants have become aspirational, leading to fewer awards.

Another manifestation of how HHS policies have led to fewer awards and less science.

07.03.2026 01:59 β€” πŸ‘ 624    πŸ” 375    πŸ’¬ 19    πŸ“Œ 57

I don’t really know what I expect in posting this, but maybe some people see it and can learn from it.

I’ll call it β€œlessons from an unwilling immigration attorney.”

1/

11.02.2026 21:56 β€” πŸ‘ 5248    πŸ” 2657    πŸ’¬ 85    πŸ“Œ 907
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Every photo from Minneapolis looks like this. Cops decked out with guns and full tac gear facing off against people in bathrobes, parkas, and sweatpants armed only with whistles and cell phones.

Yet every verified MAGA chode on X dutifully calls it a riot or violent insurrection.

11.02.2026 23:50 β€” πŸ‘ 13562    πŸ” 4808    πŸ’¬ 244    πŸ“Œ 275
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US Olympic Curling Team member speaks out against ICE:

"I'm proud to represent Team USA. But we'd be remiss if we didn't mention what's going on in Minnesota and what a tough time it's been. What's happening is wrong. There's no shades of gray."

10.02.2026 20:57 β€” πŸ‘ 32355    πŸ” 7758    πŸ’¬ 493    πŸ“Œ 649
46th St & I-35w, 175 E 46th St, Minneapolis, MN 55419, USA
Description:
As I was leaving my home, I hear cars honking near the top the of bridge. People screaming and whistling, I got in my uber and drove out. My uber driver mentioned that they were standing on top of the bridge and doing a check point and stopping people.

46th St & I-35w, 175 E 46th St, Minneapolis, MN 55419, USA Description: As I was leaving my home, I hear cars honking near the top the of bridge. People screaming and whistling, I got in my uber and drove out. My uber driver mentioned that they were standing on top of the bridge and doing a check point and stopping people.

46th St & I-35w, 180 E 46th St, Minneapolis, MN 55419, USA
Description:
4 vehicles pulled over a man in a red van on 46th over 35. Agents in Police US border patrol vests surrounding vehicle checking papers

46th St & I-35w, 180 E 46th St, Minneapolis, MN 55419, USA Description: 4 vehicles pulled over a man in a red van on 46th over 35. Agents in Police US border patrol vests surrounding vehicle checking papers

ICE is still doing checkpoints in Minneapolis like we are an occupied territory. Life remains really hard here thanks to Trump's thugs.

06.02.2026 14:56 β€” πŸ‘ 4804    πŸ” 1893    πŸ’¬ 109    πŸ“Œ 66
Screenshot of a map and table listing ICE warehouse purchase data.

Screenshot of a map and table listing ICE warehouse purchase data.

🚨 New: We built a visual tracker of the warehouses ICE is targeting across the US.

Working off an idea from @actualkatherine.bsky.social, we’ve mapped active searches, canceled deals, and linked state property records.

Explore the map here: tinyurl.com/ICEWarehouse...

04.02.2026 18:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2855    πŸ” 1878    πŸ’¬ 100    πŸ“Œ 130
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A large CAVA bag stuffed with what it says is $50,000 for White House Border Czar Tom Homan.

It’s been reported Homan took bribery money when he was recorded by the FBI accepting a bag full of $50,000 in cash.

β€œICE GTFO OF MN”

Minneapolis February 4, 2026

04.02.2026 23:07 β€” πŸ‘ 8510    πŸ” 2292    πŸ’¬ 97    πŸ“Œ 107
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a Republican witness in the GOP's "Somali Scammers" hearing details how he drives by childcare centers and looks at how many footprints in the snow there are to determine how many kids are there. Psycho stuff.

04.02.2026 21:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2047    πŸ” 485    πŸ’¬ 311    πŸ“Œ 223
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BALDWIN: Is it true you ended longstanding practice of including external scientists as part of director search committees?

BHATTACHARYA: Senator, I've been working very har--

Q: Is it true?

BHATTACHARYA: We've changed the process so that there's no formal committee bc we don't have time for it

03.02.2026 17:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1725    πŸ” 568    πŸ’¬ 129    πŸ“Œ 33

But Aaron, the observers were giving them finger guns

03.02.2026 16:24 β€” πŸ‘ 129    πŸ” 32    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 1
photo of a tv screen during a broadcast of an Unrivaled basketball game. two broadcasters sit on either side of the screen in the foreground. in the background is a fan in a t-shirt that reads

I FIND YOUR
MINNESOTAN
ACCENT AND
ABILITY TO
WITHSTAND
INTIMIDATION
INCREDIBLY
SEXY.

ABOLISH ICE

photo of a tv screen during a broadcast of an Unrivaled basketball game. two broadcasters sit on either side of the screen in the foreground. in the background is a fan in a t-shirt that reads I FIND YOUR MINNESOTAN ACCENT AND ABILITY TO WITHSTAND INTIMIDATION INCREDIBLY SEXY. ABOLISH ICE

This hero Unrivaled fan.

03.02.2026 01:37 β€” πŸ‘ 365    πŸ” 77    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 6
Preview
Love Notes

i havent shut off the notification for this form and it has just been vibrating every minute in my hand.

just a steady beat.

25.01.2026 03:56 β€” πŸ‘ 710    πŸ” 213    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 33

I am loving all the variations of the Rebel Alliance Starbird. Rebel Loon, Rebel Ptarmigan, Rebel Cactus Wren, I am not joking when say I would collect one for every state, territory, native nation. Bring on the Rebel Blue Birds, Cardinals, Mockingbirds, all of them.

01.02.2026 19:58 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Protest sign from MN that says, β€œDEARLY BELOVED.
WE ARE GATHERED HERE TODAY
TODISMANTLE THIS THING CALLED ICE.” with a picture of Prince in the left hand lower corner.

Protest sign from MN that says, β€œDEARLY BELOVED. WE ARE GATHERED HERE TODAY TODISMANTLE THIS THING CALLED ICE.” with a picture of Prince in the left hand lower corner.

10/10 ICE protest sign

31.01.2026 22:20 β€” πŸ‘ 9563    πŸ” 2615    πŸ’¬ 57    πŸ“Œ 116
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Just moments ago the parkway was TAKEN OVER by winter cyclists. At first I thought hundreds, but they just kept coming. Thousands and thousands! I almost cried. I’m so dang proud of MN right now.

31.01.2026 21:20 β€” πŸ‘ 870    πŸ” 200    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 12

Even then, all he did was keep them from taking her all the way to Whipple. The bar is so low

31.01.2026 15:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Recall that Melissa Hortman and her husband were murdered not long ago by a fake cop who showed up at their door looking like this guy

30.01.2026 16:53 β€” πŸ‘ 32623    πŸ” 12309    πŸ’¬ 628    πŸ“Œ 276

This is funny and so so true

29.01.2026 03:04 β€” πŸ‘ 77    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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brass solidarity band performing β€œstand by me” in the streets of whittier next to alex pretti’s memorial. the crowd started chanting β€œthe people united will never be defeated” so they incorporated it into the song. i love minneapolis

27.01.2026 00:22 β€” πŸ‘ 23474    πŸ” 7825    πŸ’¬ 331    πŸ“Œ 883
@GuntherEagleman on Twitter says, "BREAKING: The "No-Go-Zone" in Minneapolis is getting fully stocked like a pop-up leftist supply depot, free hand warmers, winter gear, coffee, food, milk, you name it.

This is PROFESSIONAL-grade logistics. Someone is BANKROLLING this autonomous zone.

@GuntherEagleman on Twitter says, "BREAKING: The "No-Go-Zone" in Minneapolis is getting fully stocked like a pop-up leftist supply depot, free hand warmers, winter gear, coffee, food, milk, you name it. This is PROFESSIONAL-grade logistics. Someone is BANKROLLING this autonomous zone.

I mostly just stay off Twitter altogether but after double checking that the Walter Hudson post was still up I ran across this and just had to share so the Romancelandians who bought hand warmers could hear about the PROFESSIONAL GRADE LOGISTICS.

25.01.2026 21:03 β€” πŸ‘ 5064    πŸ” 639    πŸ’¬ 500    πŸ“Œ 628
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A video of Alex Pretti reading out the final salute of an unnamed veteran he cared for until the end of his life in the ICU, posted to Facebook by his son.

25.01.2026 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 47139    πŸ” 18182    πŸ’¬ 1014    πŸ“Œ 1851

ICE killed a man whose job was caring for the people who previously served in Hegseth’s department in Hegseth’s home state.

25.01.2026 00:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Minnesota Officials Say They’ve Been Blocked From Investigation Into Federal Agent’s Killing of a Minneapolis Resident State officials said they took the unusual step of obtaining a search warrant for the scene but were still denied access by Department of Homeland Security officials.

NEWS: Minnesota investigators just said they were unable to do any work on the scene where Border Patrol agents shot and killed a US citizen.

They even went so far as to obtain a search warrant, and DHS still blocked their access to the scene.

24.01.2026 21:22 β€” πŸ‘ 254    πŸ” 159    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 21

Fuck ICE

24.01.2026 15:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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'Sinister Minnesotans' T-Shirt Show your solidarity with the Sinister Minnesotans refusing to back down from the ICE agents currently polluting their great state with brutality, lawlessness, and an obvious dependence on testosteron...

We've made this Sinister Minnesotans shirt from our Stan Kelly comic this week.

Net proceeds from this shirt will be donated to local organizations doing their part to keep Minnesotans safe and send ICE agents home to ruin their own fucking communities.

Fuck ICE and stay strong, Minneapolis.

23.01.2026 21:30 β€” πŸ‘ 2175    πŸ” 610    πŸ’¬ 56    πŸ“Œ 41
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Trump’s ICE Goons Detained a 5-Year-Old. Then JD Vance Made It Worse. Much of the media is treating the vice president’s Minneapolis visit as an attempt to lower the temperature. If anything, he raised it.

I'm calling bullshit on the media narrative that JD Vance tried to "soften" things in Minneapolis. He blamed the left for ICE violence and called the 5-year-old's father an "illegal alien" even though he's lawfully applying for asylum.

New piece from me:
newrepublic.com/article/2056...

23.01.2026 18:12 β€” πŸ‘ 4307    πŸ” 1252    πŸ’¬ 225    πŸ“Œ 83

The clergy just keep coming to this anti-ICE protest.

Genuinely unclear where they all will go β€” it’s packed outside on the sidewalk already.

23.01.2026 16:18 β€” πŸ‘ 5657    πŸ” 1624    πŸ’¬ 59    πŸ“Œ 122
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You don’t know your role yet maybe, but we are all finding out just what we have to offer.

In Minneapolis, one man knew immediately what he could offer and said β€œBring me your clothing”.

23.01.2026 02:57 β€” πŸ‘ 10489    πŸ” 3666    πŸ’¬ 124    πŸ“Œ 350

This is a lovely story. You should take 3 minutes and read it.

23.01.2026 13:42 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Learned this one from an elementary school child in Baltimore:

ice ice they’re not nice,
that’s why they have butt lice
Itchy hair everywhere
they don’t change their underwear

23.01.2026 04:00 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0