fpl-edge

💹 PL DGW24 matchups

First look at projected goals, clean sheet % and WDL odds for the weekend's round of Premier League games, via betting markets - and some projected #FPL assistant manager points

GW22 clean sheet % 🥅🧤

NOT: 48%
ARS: 44%
MCI: 41%
CHE: 38%
NEW: 34%
FUL: 32%
LIV: 31%
MUN: 29%
WHU: 27%
TOT: 26%
CPL: 26%
EVE: 23%
LEI: 20%
BHA: 20%
BOU: 14%
SOU: 14%
AVL: 13%
BRE: 10%
IPS: 9%
WOL: 8%

Source: Oddschecker

Diaz: 31%
Amad: 31%
Gakpo: 31%
Munoz: 31%
Eze: 31%
Sarr: 31%
Szmodics: 30%
Rutter: 30%
Mbeumo: 29%
Delap: 29%
Ings: 28%
Foden: 28%
Madueke: 28%
Murphy: 28%
Wood: 28%
Wissa: 28%
Sancho: 28%
Mitoma: 27%

Probability based on player starting.

GW21 anytime scorer % ⚽

Haaland: 58%
Isak: 56%
Palmer: 48%
Hojlund: 48%
Jesus: 45%
Salah: 43%
Gordon: 41%
Garnacho: 41%
Jackson: 40%
Havertz: 40%
João Pedro: 38%
Mateta: 36%
Bruno: 36%
Watkins: 36%
Trossard: 35%
Martinelli: 35%
Vardy: 34%
Ødegaard: 34%
Jota: 33%
Jimenez: 33%
Welbeck: 33%

PL GW20: top scorer long-list and equivalent #FPL goal points

Cool website with great stats and up to the minute live info for everyone who wants to boss their mini leagues!

GW20 anytime scorer % ⚽

Haaland: 64%
Salah: 55%
Watkins: 52%
Isak: 49%
Darwin: 48%
Jota: 45%
Palmer: 42%
Jimenez: 42%
Diaz: 41%
Gakpo: 39%
Foden: 38%
Evanlison: 38%
Solanke: 36%
Son: 36%
Jackson: 36%
Muniz: 36%
Jesus: 35%
Mbeumo: 35%
Wood: 35%
Gordon: 34%
Bailey: 34%
Havertz: 33%
AA: 33%
Wissa: 31%

Haha! That all sounds totally sensible, except for the gut feeling I have! 😂 Nkunku would only be for one week. I’d swap him out for Iwobi in GW20. It’s way more short term than i’d usually consider, but I wonder if he might have a belter like he did against Southampton! I’d swap back in GW23/24…

I’m debating a crazy move of Palmer and Jackson out for Nkunku and Haaland (-4)
Despite City’s terrible form, their next four games are all against teams amongst the worst 5 defences in the league according to expected goals conceded. If Haaland doesn’t come good now, he never will…

Other less likely players to be benched, who are on 4 yellows currently include Antonee Robinson, Morgan Rogers, Jurien Timber, James Maddison, Ryan Ait-Nouri, but maybe there’s a slight risk of it…

With Jackson on 4 bookings, and Maresca saying Chelsea will rotate 1/2/3 players this week after a poor result against Fulham , is it likely Jackson is benched? If he escapes a booking this week, the threshold jumps to 10 before a suspension, so Ipswich seems like a perfect week not to risk him…

Nkunku

Anthony Gordon

Noteworthy players suspended this gameweek:
- Munoz
- Andreas
- Joelinton
- Delap
- Cucurella
- Ait Nouri

Noteworthy players on 4 yellow cards:
- Morgan Rogers
- Van Hecke
- Dunk
- Kluivert
- Nico Jackson
- Sanchez
- Vardy
- Bernardo Silva
- Paqueta

GW17 clean sheet % 🥅🧤

ARS: 42%
FUL: 41%
CHE: 36%
NEW: 34%
MUN: 30%
BRE: 29%
MCI: 26%
BHA: 24%
LEI: 24%
WOL: 24%
LIV: 23%
NFO: 22%
WHU: 20%
AVL: 18%
BOU: 17%
CPL: 17%
IPS: 15%
EVE: 15%
SOU: 11%
TOT: 10%

Source: Oddschecker

Accumulated Expected Goal Involvement (xG+xA) up to GW16

The chart shows all 20 teams' total xGI and players' share in that. Note that LIV and EVE have played 1 game less than others, and this data also doesn't include the BOU vs WHU game.

Data source: @fbref.com

#FPLCommunity #FPL

Cunha charged with misconduct. He has until Thursday to respond, and therefore might still be available for the Leicester game if it takes more than a few days to process. Give it until the deadline before making any moves as there’s a decent chance we’ll have more info by then.

This is how many points you would've scored from your Assistant Manager Chip in GW16

Potential for a double Gameweek 24…

GW16 anytime scorer % ⚽

Isak: 55%
Haaland: 54%
Salah: 51%
Palmer: 51%
Jackson: 44%
Darwin: 41%
Evanilson: 40%
Felix: 39%
Gordon: 38%
Saka: 38%
Solanke: 38%
Havertz: 36%
Son: 36%
Neto: 35%
Barnes: 34%
Diaz: 34%
Johnson: 34%
Watkins: 34%
Larsen: 33%
Cunha: 33%
Wood: 33%
Jesus: 33%
Semenyo: 32%

Me too! Felt like a good move!He’ll get a brace when he comes on for the last 20 minutes right???

Everton vs Liverpool called off as Storm Darragh batters Merseyside The final derby at Goodison Park has been postponed due to inclement weather

Breaking: Everton vs Liverpool called off as Storm Darragh batters Merseyside via @joethomas18.bsky.social

www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/sport/footba...

Alexander Isak pre-Palace

Eddie Howe's team-news ahead of #NEWLIV:

"Alex [Isak] took a knock to his hip; we haven’t seen him in training yet, but we don’t think it a long-term injury. Dan [Burn] got through the game well. He was outstanding against Crystal Palace, and he came through the game okay."

Quick Premier League turnaround!

Here is some match prediction data:

GW14 Predictions 📊
GW14 - 19 Goals ⚽
GW14 - 19 Clean Sheets 🧤
GW14 - 19 Win % ⚖️

GW13 🔒

Anyone taken a bigger hit this week?

Bruno, Hojlund and Strand Larsen to Mitoma, Isak and Pedro (-8)

Pedro 🧢

OR 132k

Good luck everyone!

-8 Fernandes and Hojlund to Mitoma and Isak? Not fancying this United team to do much against Everton, and then it’s three tough fixtures against Arsenal, Forest and City…

GW13 clean sheet % 🧤🥅

ARS: 43%
MUN: 43%
NOT: 41%
BHA: 40%
BRE: 34%
CHE: 30%
NEW: 29%
TOT: 29%
LIV: 26%
BOU: 25%
CPL: 25%
WOL: 22%
MCI: 20%
IPS: 18%
LEI: 15%
AVL: 14%
EVE: 14%
WHU: 14%
FUL: 12%
SOU: 10%

Source: Oddschecker

Saka 7
Palmer 10
Bruno 3
Mbeumo 14
Salah 10
Pedro 13
Welbeck 5
Wissa 7

Pedro, Jackson, Isak, Cunha

Made my first early transfers this week, getting Isak in for Hojlund (disaster transfer in GW11). Took a hit to do it too, taking out Bruno for Mitoma!