UKWeather

Wimbleball will recover well. After a chilly dry week with the first overnight frosts of the season The end of the month will be pretty wet for a while (and windy) even with the possibility of some transient sleet/snow over the tops of Exmoor

“Be happy about the rain, because if you're not happy about it, it will still rain!”
By Kirsten Bruns.
#Exmoor

Morning all
pigeon coloured skies today
No light, no heat, no sunshine..... November
Fast forward to Summer sunshine Selworthy Green
Wall to wall sunshine for Monday although warm clothing weather with a marked drop in temperature @stormhour.com @exmoor.bsky.social

Good morning from SW England UK

Stranded cars on the main high street,Monmouth Town Centre this morning as the River Monnow bursts its banks after heavy rain due to Storm Claudia imgCredit: ITV News #flooding #monmouth #stormclaudia

Major incident declared this morning as severe flooding hits Monmouth town centre Img: Your Herefordshire Crews will continue to work in the area over the weekend, says Monmouthshire council Img Credit: Greg Wilding
#Monmouth #stormClaudia #flooding

Major incident declared this morning as severe flooding hits Monmouth town centre Img: Your Herefordshire Crews will continue to work in the area over the weekend, says Monmouthshire council img Credit Kim Chaos
#Monmouth #stormClaudia #flooding

Major incident declared this morning as severe flooding hits Monmouth town centre Img: Your Herefordshire Crews will continue to work in the area over the weekend, says Monmouthshire council #Monmouth #stormClaudia #flooding

Major incident declared this morning as severe flooding hits Monmouth town centre Img: Your Herefordshire #Monmouth #stormClaudia #flooding

Same in S of UK 17C (63F) Max today down to 3C(37F) Max in Scotland next week

Moderately heavy rain in all areas on east facing hills moving north of a line from Exmoor to Bath at 4pm clearing by dark followed by heavy squally showers this evening, drier in Dorset /Hampshire FloodRisk SE Wales @exmoor.bsky.social

Experimental Seasonal Forecast model for 24 January 2026
A bit of fun obviously not likely to bring prolonged heavy snow as this pressure pattern is sugguesting
Be interesting to look back on this then to see what actually happens

Good morning
A fine start apart from West Devon and Cornwall
Rain by early afternoon for much of the South West SE should stay dry til dark

Sunrise today Cothelstone Hill, Quantocks, Somerset
@stormhour.com

Saturday will be a fairly mild day of Scattered showers and sunny spells with a fresh westerly breeze. Temp up to 15C with shelter by 2pm. It will turn chilly overnight Sat/Sun under clearing skies down to about 5C (41F) @exmoor.bsky.social

Long-tailed Tit (Aegithalos caudatus): A highly sociable 13cm (5.1in) small bird with a long tail that is native to Asia & Europe. They mainly forage in mixed or deciduous woodland. Cute photo taken by Ossi Saarinen in Finland.

Up to 40" of rain in mountains N of Kingston JA
N turn JA imminent along path of least resistance in next few hours. Persistent torrential rain Kingston area Likely path W JA exiting Montego Bay, affecting Cuba late Weds #melissa #hurricanemelissa Img Credit BrandonClement WxChasing

Air traffic Diverted #melissa

Strongest Major Hurricanes in caribbean 1971 -

Update 21:23 27/10
Likely landfall west JA Savanna La Mar
6 am local time Tues 28th Oct 12.00GMT
Exiting N of Island Montego Bay
Small chance may pass just to the west of JA
Currently av wind 175mph
Gusts 220mph
Pressure 906mb #melissa #hurricanemelissa #jamaica

Definitely Mary Beauty and the beast @906mb centre so could be strongest ever to hit JA hopefully they are all well prepared to stay under shelter safely until Melissa passes
in T-16hrs

Absoloutley insane SST's at 32C (90) powering
Categorising System Needs reclasifying CAT6 CAT7 ? 18mb to Glibert

#HurricaneMelissa eyewall
Centre of Hurricane This pm
#JamaicaHurricane #hurricane
c/o Jeremy DeHart Teal 42 Mission to centre of hurricane #Melissa Lightning darts around the eyewall as the centre transits through its eyewall replacement cycle
One of the driest hurricane centres ever recorded

From a crewmember on yesterday's Teal 74 mission into now-Category 5 Hurricane #Melissa. As clear of an eye as you will see in the Atlantic basin.

Update 18:00GMT
Torrential downpours now cover much of JA
#Melissa the third exceptionally powerfully CAT5 #Hurricane of the season is now bearing down on Jamaica. Record Sea surface temps in the area at 32C (90F) powering the weather machine
Landfall Jamaica tonight
#hurricaneMelissa

Update 17:00GMT
#Melissa is now a exceptionally powerful CAT5 #Hurricane
Landfall in Jamaica will be tonight
Tues 28Oct25 04:00GMT / 11pm DST 27/10/ JA
Current Poistion: 140 miles S of Kingston
Average wind speed 160mph
Gusts 200mph
Pressure: 913mb #hurricanemelissa
Catastrophic effects likely

wow Gilbert was 888mb

Hi Jeff greetings from the UK
Great 3D model!
How does #Melissa compare to Gilbert?
Is this likely be be sub 900mb?
Is there any shear forecast?
What's the SST there?
How much power is this to lose landfall JA
Are the cross Hairs on Guantanamo Cuba?

Historic Hurricane Melissa @12:55 26-10-25 now CAT4
Strengthening rapidly
approx 120 miles from Kingston, Jamaica
Av Wind: 140mph
Gust: 170mph
Movemnt: W
Pressure:944mb
#HurricaneMelissa #melissa @stormhour.com

Now Cat3 @7:55 No wind sheer for rapid development Jamaica in the Cross Hairs for Tues further strengthening