But presumably this is euphemistically attributable to "actuarial turnover"
24.07.2025 06:28 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@tmsnowsill.bsky.social
Health economist at the University of Exeter. Also: stats, maths, politics, Star Wars, programming, NFL New York Jets, Formula 1, pixel art...
But presumably this is euphemistically attributable to "actuarial turnover"
24.07.2025 06:28 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0The whole time we were growing up and we thought there was no way the table of the Emperor's New Clothes could actually happen in real life...
22.07.2025 19:05 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 01. Kevin Gross and I just posted a new science-of-science preprint.
This one explores the looming peer review crisis. As many of you know, it's becoming significantly more difficult for journal editors to find scholars willing to serve as peer reviewers for submitted manuscripts.
I absolutely don't love Labour focusing more on not losing voters to the right (on immigration, welfare, etc.) than the left, but a lot of people say stuff like "they are losing 2Γ as many votes to the Greens" without realising that one vote lost to a party that can overtake you is twice as bad...
07.07.2025 21:08 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0This post is so meta...
01.07.2025 16:11 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Wow! Project Hail Mary is coming to the big screen! I had totally missed that this was coming... Here's hoping it can live up to the book.
@chelseaparlett.bsky.social have you seen?
My model was fitting just fine until I realised my data was only 320 of N=325.
Now it refuses to fit.
When is the next stop so I can get off this train?
#ChoiceModelling #DiscreteChoiceExperiment #stats #stata #econometrics #HealthEconomics
This, but also if you are one of the academics that say data are available on request and you have actually provided it on request, go you! (Next time go even further and deposit it so you don't lose it)
18.06.2025 12:05 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Donβt think Iβve ever muttered the words βfuck me sidewaysβ quite so much reading a story as this one.
13.06.2025 12:02 β π 920 π 319 π¬ 93 π 266Many of my left wing friends and colleagues would be surprised to see me taking this tone, as I am often the centrist dad in the conversation.
And for anyone arguing that private landlords leaving reduces the supply of private rented housing - it also reduces demand (almost) identically.
Absolutely. Many issues with π¬π§ housing are exacerbated by landlordism, rent-seeking in the truest sense.
I'm almost too angry to put in words all the ways their state-sanctioned greed has impoverished the nation. The situation can only improve by them rage-quitting.
Abject market failure.
The Editorial Boards of leading health economics journals are issuing a Joint Statement of Principles on Editorial Independence. In these troubled times some scholars worry their work might suffer ideological attack. We reaffirm our commitment to unfettered scholarship. Please repost.
21.05.2025 14:41 β π 54 π 41 π¬ 2 π 5The UK government must step in to protect jobs in #HigherEducation.
Voluntary and compulsory redundancies throughout the sector.
Staff costs have been squeezed for years - the sector needs cash. Either bring back international students, raise tuition fees, or reinstate block funding... Do it fast!
"I'm sorry, my heart exploded with joy when you said my study's findings will be used, and didn't hear the rest of what you said."
08.04.2025 12:16 β π 19 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0You're in the clear!
28.03.2025 19:08 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0π± now you've put me on the spot!
28.03.2025 16:49 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0There is an academic theoretical paper I keep coming back to, and every time I read it I can't work out if I'm really dumb or the authors are really dumb...
No, I will not say which paper it is!
I do love this show. If you have time for only one Star Wars podcast a month, make it this one!
12.03.2025 17:51 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I am more enthusiastic than most for frailty models. When so much analysis outside survival analysis uses random effects it baffles me that we don't.
I think they have great explanatory power for things like accelerating then decelerating hazard at the population level.
For general survival analysis (not just parametric models) the Stata documentation st intro is great. Most of these are free online for slightly out of date versions.
04.03.2025 20:43 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Stata PDF documentation for streg is pretty good. If you want something with more maths the 3 page primer by Peter Treasure of Cambridge you can find by searching for "individual frailty gamma" is also good.
04.03.2025 20:42 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Trump has no interest in peace, he only wants Zelenskyy to lose and Putin to win. Next step will be undoing sanctions on Russia. The US has truly switched sides, and it probably all originates from Zelenskyy not helping Trump screw Biden in 2020 election.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/m...
Rail fares in the UK don't even obey the triangle inequality, it's so frustrating!
27.02.2025 13:10 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Bonus panel and hovertext here: smbc-comics.com/comic/murderer
21.02.2025 22:10 β π 369 π 47 π¬ 7 π 2Trump is a dangerous & ridiculous hypocrite.
Zelenskyy declared martial law because Ukraine was invaded. He wants to declare martial law because people have pronouns and there are undocumented migrants.
Only one of them is a dictator, and he's in the role we used to call leader of the free world.
post a female character that you love
18.02.2025 22:28 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Indeed, what they want is mob rule. Majoritarian if possible, but if not they are very happy to also be a mob-ruling minority oppressing everyone who is not them.
A democracy is more than elections. Rule of law is a perquisite, pluralism a strength.
To make UK higher education significantly more progressive, scrap fees in favour of a graduate tax and make the unit of resource for universities higher for home UG students from more deprived backgrounds.
31.01.2025 11:06 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Squeezed in 20 minutes this evening... I'm working on coding a stripped down version of the beautiful game Forest Shuffle.
It's got some fun features (lots of the cards are "split" and you choose which half to play) but also interactivity between players is limited (no stealing, peeking, etc.)
Exceptional detail to be found at www.nhsforsale.info/private-prov... about private provision of major #NHS services
30.01.2025 09:27 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0