Stan Veuger

Tuesday morning at 9am—

Thanks to our editor at @uchicagopress.bsky.social
and all the authors who contributed @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @stanveuger.bsky.social @s-stantcheva.bsky.social @mariusbrulhart.bsky.social @kurtschmidheiny.bsky.social & many others not on here!

Excited to receive our new 536 page book on tax competition and coordination in the mail today:

"Policy Responses to Tax Competition" (w/ Poterba &
@omzidar.bsky.social)

I know everyone is looking forward to order it here:
amazon.com/-/es/Respons...

Come join us @europeatharvard.bsky.social on Oct. 29th!

Other prosecutors are investigating former CIA director John Brennan, another prominent Trump critic, and former FBI director Christopher Wray, who was originally appointed by Trump but enraged conservatives who came to believe he had wielded the bureau’s powers against them. Former officials have received subpoenas in recent days in the Wray inquiry, according to a person with direct knowledge of the matter.

incredibly, bleakly funny that trump is going after christopher wray, who spent his entire tenure at the fbi with his head down desperately trying to avoid trump's attention and did nothing to protect the bureau from trump's attacks www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

Coming around to the theory that they're Truman Showing him

Charlie Kirk’s podcast cohost!

More history from this Nazi adulated by the Trump team. These are explicit, proud Nazis who scream and cry and call every referee they can find when you quote their Nazism back to them.

If Timothy Mellon shows an interest…

Just as a reminder, Bondi’s origin story in Trump world is that she said she was going to investigate Trump University, Trump sent her a $25K check and the investigation disappeared. She later became Trump’s personal defense lawyer. So yeah, don’t challenge her integrity.

It's not just that they're going to strike down a law against conversion therapy, it's that they're going to do it on behalf of made-up claims from a straw plaintiff who can't honestly show the law affected her at all

We’ll be talking about post-liberalism and capitalism at GW on October 20th.

But most intuitively there just aren’t many obvious pathways from the weather (shock) on a particular (non-election) day to political outcomes other than the protest activity we study.

More generally it notes that the structure we use (short-run weather as instrument while controlling for long-run westher) is least vulnerable.

I am obviously biased but I do not think the critiques presented there apply to our paper.

In fact the most closely related paper to ours, Collins and Margo (JEH 2007), is highlighted as not suffering from clear exclusion restriction violations (and ours is better, of course).

DO POLITICAL PROTESTS MATTER? EVIDENCE FROM THE TEA PARTY MOVEMENT* ANDREAS MADESTAM DANIEL SHOAG STAN VEUGER DAVID YANAGIZAWA-DROTT Can protests cause political change, or are they merely symptoms of underlying shifts in policy preferences? We address this question by studying the Tea Party movement in the United States, which rose to prominence through coordinated rallies across the country on Tax Day, April 15, 2009. We exploit variation in rainfall on the day of these rallies as an exogenous source of variation in attendance. We show that good weather at this initial, coordinating event had significant consequences for the subsequent local strength of the move-ment, increased public support for Tea Party positions, and led to more Republican votes in the 2010 midterm elections. Policy making was also af-fected, as incumbents responded to large protests in their district by voting more conservatively in Congress. Our estimates suggest significant multiplier effects: an additional protester increased the number of Republican votes by a factor well above 1. Together our results show that protests can build political movements that ultimately affect policy making and that they do so by influencing political views rather than solely through the revelation of existing political preferences. JEL Code: D72.

Come to Harvard's Center for European Studies on Election Day (in the Netherlands) on October 29.

if you ask the average American to describe what they think a tougher immigration system should look like, they will describe something a degree of magnitude softer and more generous than the current reality.

The lesson here is that people are both better and dumber than they appear.

John Roberts: Good morning, counsel. Before we begin, I understand that there is an update to the caption in this case?
Me: Yes, your honor. My client recently changed their name.
JR: Alright. And what is your client's new name?
Me: Webster Bivens, your honor.
JR: <covering the mic> oh shit

Election Day in the Netherlands: The Return of the Center? On October 29, the Dutch will head to the polls for general elections, after the four-party coalition government collapsed when Geert Wilders, leader of…

More details here: ces.fas.harvard.edu/events/2025/...

Come to Harvard's Center for European Studies on Election Day (in the Netherlands) on October 29.

Yes indeed—on that same page an on YouTube.

We’ll be analyzing the Dutch election results at AEI on October 31.

Come listen to ambassador Tazelaar, Matthias Matthijs, @constelz.bsky.social, and Marnix van Rij.

Register here: www.aei.org/events/the-n...

We’ll be analyzing the Dutch election results at AEI on October 31.

Come listen to ambassador Tazelaar, Matthias Matthijs, @constelz.bsky.social, and Marnix van Rij.

Register here: www.aei.org/events/the-n...

What I'm referring to. It's a privilege to be invited onto networks to talk about my reporting but I have limits. Similarly stopped doing NewsNation after Nextar took its Kimmel stance.

I’ve been looking around for the most credulous mid-campaign piece about Trump’s obviously fatuous Project 2025 disavowal, and I think it might be this one from Politico. www.politico.com/news/magazin...

"They hated immigrants more than they loved their own country's freedom" would make a hell of an epitaph.

On their holiest day, Manchester’s Jews face their ‘darkest of moments’ Amid fasting and prayer, terror comes to Crumpsall

On their holiest day, Manchester’s Jews face their ‘darkest of moments’.

Our story about today’s attack.

manchestermill.co.uk/on-their-hol...

We’ll be hosting European Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis at AEI on the 14th. Register here: www.aei.org/events/the-t...

In fairness it’s not that obvious!