Francisco Castelo Branco

Where is ABC?

#Somalia is also experiencing a similar situation after the declaration of independence of Somaliland and the recent conflict in Jubbaland. #AlShabaab and other groups continue to threaten the territorial integrity of the government in Mogadishu, which also receives support from the #US and #Turkey.

This seems to be the proposal of the #UnitedStates, which has been accepted by the government's opponents. However, General al-Burhan does not want to talk to anyone and prefers to extend the civil war indefinitely. #SaudiArabia and other countries are not on the side of the current regime.

The division in a country that has lost a large part of its territory, particularly in the south, can only be resolved with another agreement that satisfies both sides in the conflict. That is, the government retains one part of the territory and the RSF controls the other.

The civil war in #Sudan appears to be continuing, despite Abdel Fattah al-Burhan's recapture of the presidential palace in March. The celebrations proved premature because the #RSF paramilitaries returned to fighting and seizing important cities.

terrible decision

#Sudan and #Somalia continue to lose territory

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Some changes may occur, especially on the political and economic front, but #TelAviv will maintain the support of its biggest ally, the #UnitedStates, which continues to prioritize the Abraham Accords to maintain the security of the Jewish state in the region

The peaceful path to maintaining two states seems to please neither the Palestinians nor the Israelis, who intend to resolve the problem by force. The Old Continent's attempt to isolate #Israel will have few consequences other than preventing attacks against #Gaza and southern #Lebanon.

British positions are the only ones that can alter Israeli behavior due to their influence and history in that part of the world. However, there seems to be little respect for what the British have managed to do for both sides of the conflict.

Spain was one of the first to show disagreement with the Tel Aviv bombings by recognizing the territorial integrity of #Gaza. #UK and #France, which have much more political weight in the region, opted for the same path. Italy went further by cutting diplomatic relations with #Netanyahu.

The constant Israeli bombings against #Gaza are generating outrage almost worldwide, notably in #Europe, which also showed solidarity after the #Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023. The patience of some countries for the constant violations of ceasefire agreements seems to have run out.

#Europe is already managing to isolate #Israel

The biggest problem for #Trump will be convincing #Russia to end the war against #Ukraine. His old friend #Putin is also unwilling to demonstrate military and political strength in front of the Americans.

Despite these victories, the #WhiteHouse has still not managed to find a balanced solution to the problem between #Israel and #Palestine without having to support one side. However, there are some signs that the #UnitedStates is willing to support a two-state solution.

On the foreign front, there were great achievements of this President, especially the various peace agreements that were signed. Cambodia and Thailand have not resumed hostilities, Armenia and Azerbaijan sat down at the table much later, and India and Pakistan are now able to speak with each other.

especially with the end of press freedom, did not materialize, nor did the attempt to control Congress, despite the Republicans having a majority in the House of Representatives and the Senate. The measures he implemented do not risk impeachment if the Democrats win the midterm elections in 2026

namely, ending the "wokism" that marked the #Biden administration. The country turned completely to the right overnight, but some believe that only normality in the functioning of the government has been restored. Fears that a path towards totalitarianism would be defined,

A year after #DonaldTrump's second election as President of the #UnitedStates, his performance can be considered positive, despite his popularity not being the best. However, this time he will not be re-elected. Domestic changes were the priority of the new administration

#DonaldTrump had enough domestic political victories to complete the term

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The recent attacks on #Qatar and the continued presence of troops on the border with #Lebanon, two American friends in the region, have already put Tel Aviv's state of grace in jeopardy.

It won't be easy to convince the Israelis to accept this plan, even if they recover all the hostages. However, #Netanyahu is completely dependent on #Washington's decisions, for better or worse, regardless of who sits in the #WhiteHouse.

The plan presented by #DonaldTrump for the future of #Gaza is unlikely to be accepted by #Hamas. The group that maintains control of the territory would rather fight Israeli forces until the last minute than surrender, and the militants have no intention of living in exile.

There is a path to peace here, and more importantly, it fosters hope for a two-state solution— #Palestinian and #Israel, but that's another issue that needs to be resolved later. The priority is to end the bombings and surgical strikes, as happened on October 7, 2023.

The #UnitedStates proposal aims to end the group's influence in the #Gaza Strip, replacing it with a transitional entity supported by most Arab countries. During this period, the Israeli army will have to gradually withdraw from the territories occupied over the past two years.

#Hamas and #Israel will have difficulty to accept #Trump´s plan for #Gaza

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#DonaldTrump will once again be forced to meet with another dictator to avoid one more regional conflict.

Relations with the new #UnitedStates administration are not the best, but there is the possibility of an understanding to maintain geopolitical balance. The latest threat to global security is #NorthKorea, which also constantly provokes its southern neighbors and #Japan.

#China continues to threaten #Taiwan, even against the wishes of the Americans and under threat of international isolation similar to that which occurred with #Russia. However, its economic influence in many countries could lead to a different stance.

#Moscow has also rejected #UnitedStates proposals to end the conflict, which is a sign of political confrontation, even with the change of tenants in the #WhiteHouse. #China continues to threaten #Taiwan, even against the wishes of the Americans and under threat of international isolation