Abundant energy for business
Reinvigorating the private sector with rooftop solar
Good study by William & Peter Bisley: solar on 10% of NZ's available commercial & industrial roofs would cost $3b, earn $600m a year, and add 1.5 TWh of winter storage to the lakes βΒ the same amount of energy the cracked LNG scheme is supposed to deliver.
bisley.substack.com/p/abundant-e...
19.02.2026 05:22 β
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Great piece from @dsquareddigest.bsky.social, which touches on one of the big theories for why English-speaking countries do especially badly at housebuilding:
Adversarial and litigious common law systems (Anglo) vs judge-led civil law systems elsewhere.
samf.substack.com/p/build-the-...
16.02.2026 12:13 β
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Looking forward to talking about this next week at CCCSS. I'll be asking how our pandemic response might have been different if we'd used complexity thinking. Without wanting giving too much away, it's a trick question ...
16.02.2026 02:22 β
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Keynote: Complex systems in action
When models are applied to complex systems in action, they can influence decisions and trajectories, becoming elements within the systems they seek to represent.
Mathematical models are often employed as devices for prediction or optimisation. But when models are applied to complex systems they can become elements within the systems they seek to represent.
Explore complex systems in action with @hendysh.bsky.social at #cccss26 β https://bit.ly/3O4FNee
15.02.2026 04:00 β
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Weather forecast for Sunday 15: heavy rain with gale southerlies
Me, signing up for Round the Bays: February is Wellingtonβs nicest month
Wellington:
10.02.2026 19:18 β
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I will be looking for an RA soon as my amazing postdoc has got a permanent role on our team. I will be looking for an emerging MΔori researcher who has a social science background preferably :) dm me if you know of anyone or want to kΕrero
23.01.2026 08:32 β
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Haeata Community Campus disputes MPI's mouldy school lunch claim
The school says an internal investigation has found no evidence to support the Ministry for Primary Industries' claims.
No matter who is to blame for the moldy school lunches, the programme is clearly not meeting food traceability standards. Hard to understand what MPI is up to here www.rnz.co.nz/news/nationa...
05.02.2026 08:34 β
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Visiting academic to address spread of misinformation
For Carl Bergstrom, misinformation is like a living organism β it can travel across networks and spread through populations like pathogens. The...
Landing in Dunedin Aotearoa in about 90 minutes for the start of a trip that represents the culmination of a dream Iβve had since I was ten years old.
04.02.2026 23:43 β
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A cartoon by Toby Morris showing pink-haired scientist Siouxsie Wiles standing with her right arm extended, holding a very long pink worm that reaches almost to her boots. It is accompanied by the words Vote noke waiuu, the North Island worm for Bug of the Year bugoftheyear.ento.org.nz
For the next couple of weeks, I'm championing noke waiΕ«, the North Auckland Worm, for the Bug of the Year competition. Thanks to Toby Morris for this great little cartoon, which shows one reason I think you should give it your vote: it can grow up to 1.4 metres long!
04.02.2026 07:14 β
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A drawing of a green wheelie bin with a worm laid alongside to show how long it is
Have you voted for your favourite 3 critters for Bug of the Year? If not, show some love for noke waiΕ«, an enormously long hairy noodle that can glow in the dark! Head to bugoftheyear.ento.org.nz to vote by Feb 16th. @tepunahamatatini.bsky.social @siouxsiew.bsky.social
03.02.2026 05:49 β
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Possible, although Iβve never heard of anyone doing that before. Would suggest he knew who he was dealing with, which he claims not to have.
02.02.2026 04:12 β
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But to be clear, it still makes no sense given heβs directing funds to his personal bank account.
02.02.2026 03:58 β
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Heβs talking about teaching buyout, which would normally attract overheads, so if it werenβt for the fact heβs directing the funds to his own personal bank account Iβd say this checks out, once you convert to NZD.
02.02.2026 02:58 β
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Yes, he does suggest that when heβs fishing for more $$, but in detailing his estimate of $50k he seems to be suggesting that it would be buyout for his teaching. This would need to have been arranged through the UoA.
01.02.2026 23:08 β
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Also, he makes out to Epstein that the money will be used to buy him out of teaching (i.e. will go to the UoA), but then offers a personal bank account for payment.
01.02.2026 22:13 β
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Yuck.
01.02.2026 04:56 β
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Nice that the #TheCovidResponse has made the longlist, but the competition looks absolutely stellar.
29.01.2026 00:43 β
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Iβm rapt that @tepunahamatatini.bsky.social is bringing Carlβs science and voice on important issues to NZ π§ͺ. Join us at the Capital City Complex Systems Symposium in late February in Wellington, for a friendly and exciting discussion - when hopefully the weather will be settled.
22.01.2026 03:22 β
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He will be speaking about:
β The impediments to high-risk, high-return science
β Problems with the peer review system for scientific literature
β The ways that social media and LLMs such as ChatGPT are changing society
β How to live, learn and thrive in a world where LLMs are ubiquitous
22.01.2026 03:09 β
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Scatter plot of fatalities per million versus policy costs for NZ if it had followed other OECD country policies (constructed using the Oxford Index). The plot shows a positive correlation between fatalities and cost.
In the meantime, here is a plot of fatalities vs cost for a set of counterfactuals for NZ had we followed other OECD country policies (via the Oxford Index and our cost function). There is a no-policy counterfactual as well (red dot).
02.12.2025 22:10 β
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Yes, @michaelplanknz.bsky.social and I have a preprint on the way which looks at optimal policy choices (mitigation, suppression, elimination) for future pandemics with a cost function that includes economic and health impacts.
02.12.2025 22:10 β
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