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Chris Fonnesbeck

@fonnesbeck.bsky.social

Quantitative hack, PyMC Labs

343 Followers  |  216 Following  |  203 Posts  |  Joined: 27.07.2023
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Posts by Chris Fonnesbeck (@fonnesbeck.bsky.social)

Just heading up to Boston for @sloansportsconf.bsky.social today. If you happen to be at the meeting, please stop and say hello!

05.03.2026 15:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is good, and actually not really that Stan-specific. Could easily be used as guidance for Numpyro and PyMC with very minor tweaking.

05.03.2026 15:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Updated:

28.02.2026 13:28 β€” πŸ‘ 9001    πŸ” 2771    πŸ’¬ 80    πŸ“Œ 75

VAR is quite literally ruining football. Who wants to watch this?

28.02.2026 17:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image 28.02.2026 16:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1595    πŸ” 247    πŸ’¬ 35    πŸ“Œ 18
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McDavid named MVP at Milano Cortina 2026 despite silver-medal finish Canadian forward Connor McDavid was named the MVP and top forward at Milano Cortina 2026 despite Canada falling to the United States 2-1 in overtime in the gold-medal game on Sunday.

Fuck this. Connor Hellebuyck is the only reason the US is wearing gold medals. The only reason.

www.tsn.ca/olympics/art...

22.02.2026 22:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Word of the day: profligate (ˈprΓ€flΙ™Ι‘Ι™t)

22.02.2026 16:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

My gentle Puck, come hither.

22.02.2026 15:39 β€” πŸ‘ 1726    πŸ” 355    πŸ’¬ 27    πŸ“Œ 22

Shooting on Hellebuyck short side when he's hugging the post is a low-probability shot. #hockeyanalytics

22.02.2026 15:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Maybe the softest goal you will ever see. Canada appeared to have no idea how to run an OT.

19.02.2026 20:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If you haven't cancelled your @paramountplus.com subscription, you are complicit.

18.02.2026 18:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Springsteen next year. I'm sure he'd love it.

09.02.2026 02:29 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Inside OpenAI’s Super Bowl Return, Where Codex Takes Center Stage The 60 second spot will air at the end of the first quarter.

First appearance of Bayes formula in a Superbowl commercial.
share.google/0wy4mU4LefXk...

09.02.2026 02:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Mercury, Messenger of the Gods, by Giovanni Battista Tiepolo, 18th c, πŸ“Έ by @PhilEllsworth1

09.02.2026 00:57 β€” πŸ‘ 2372    πŸ” 407    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 9

Wow, Mike Johnson is actually swearing in Democrats now! What has the world come to?

03.02.2026 18:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Why on earth would you list command options in anything but alphabetical order?

02.02.2026 19:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

How are those tariffs working out?

31.01.2026 17:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I see blog posts like this almost every day. You never see the follow up post where the half-baked OSS tool doesn't measure up and they crawl back to the subscription. Lather, rinse and repeat.

31.01.2026 17:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Someone might want to tell Pep who owns Man City. He'd doubtless be shocked to learn what they've done, perhaps even resign.
bsky.app/profile/scot...

31.01.2026 12:06 β€” πŸ‘ 110    πŸ” 37    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

OpenClaw FTW

30.01.2026 21:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Somebody's getting a cabinet post!!

30.01.2026 21:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Someone said "It's like Canada's Mom just died."

And it's true.

I'm still crying.

30.01.2026 18:36 β€” πŸ‘ 33    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Welcome to Bluesky

30.01.2026 04:25 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Left hand on the ground trying not to hit the pavement; right hand still holding a cell phone. ICE person standing with a one handed grip pointing his gun right at the man’s head.

There is nothing about this that we should accept. We all must reject this. This is our government, & they want this

25.01.2026 15:25 β€” πŸ‘ 1502    πŸ” 554    πŸ’¬ 43    πŸ“Œ 43

The storm is up, and all is on the hazard.

25.01.2026 13:48 β€” πŸ‘ 415    πŸ” 73    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 3
ICE Agents Wait At Edge Of Delivery Table To Deport Newborn

ICE Agents Wait At Edge Of Delivery Table To Deport Newborn

ICE Agents Wait At Edge Of Delivery Table To Deport Newborn

22.01.2026 19:00 β€” πŸ‘ 10945    πŸ” 2783    πŸ’¬ 339    πŸ“Œ 181

A simple Claude Code skill for working with marimo notebooks.

github.com/fonnesbeck/m...

13.01.2026 15:15 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Should say: β€œSoon-to-be former top Democrats”

08.01.2026 23:45 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Time to end the Kevin experiment. #FFC

22.12.2025 21:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Rest easy, Rob Reiner πŸ™πŸΎπŸ’™πŸ•Š

This scene from "All In The Family"..... still applicable.

Caroll O'Connor πŸ•Š
Sally Struthers πŸ’™

15.12.2025 14:08 β€” πŸ‘ 281    πŸ” 97    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 9