ArXiv Paper Poster (cs.SI & ph-soc)

Causal Attribution of Coastal Water Clarity Degradation to Nickel Processing Expansion at the Indonesia Morowali Industrial Park, Sulawesi
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.07331
Indonesia's nickel ore export ban has driven rapid expansion of smelting and hydrometallurgical processing capacity at th...📈🤖

Masked Unfairness: Hiding Causality within Zero ATE
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.06984
Recent work has proposed powerful frameworks, rooted in causal theory, to quantify fairness. Causal inference has primarily emphasized the detection of \emph{average} treatment effects (ATEs), and subsequent ...📈🤖

Mathematical modeling of urban sprawl
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.08338
Urban land cover doubled between 1985 and 2015, yet the spatial dynamics of urban form remain under-quantified, despite its importance for sustainability, infrastructure planning, and climate risk. Urban expansion is a non...📈🤖

Detecting Fake Reviewer Groups in Dynamic Networks: An Adaptive Graph Learning Method
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.08332
The proliferation of fake reviews, often produced by organized groups, undermines consumer trust and fair competition on online platforms. These groups employ sophisticated s...📈🤖

The Theory and Practice of Computing the Bus-Factor
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.07845
The bus-factor is a measure of project risk with respect to personnel availability, informally defined as the number of people whose sudden unavailability would cause a project to stall or experience severe d...📈🤖

Transition State Theory for Network Dynamics
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.07147
Many classic questions of structural theory concern discrete changes, such as the formation or dissolution of groups, role turnover, or faction realignment. Here, we consider a basic framework combining prior work o...📈🤖

Robustness and size-dependence of circadian rhythms in multiscale suprachiasmatic-nucleus networks
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.07114
Understanding how multi-scale network structure influences circadian rhythms in the suprachiasmatic nucleus (SCN) is essential for uncovering the principles of r...📈🤖

Photons = Tokens: The Physics of AI and the Economics of Knowledge
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.06630
Debates about artificial intelligence capabilities and risks are often conducted without quantitative grounding. This paper applies the methodology of MacKay (2009) -- who reframed energy polic...📈🤖

The Potential for an Innovation Winter: Estimating Impact of Federal Research Reductions on Faculty Activity
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.06629
The proposed reductions in federal research support proposed by the Trump Administration for 2026 would profoundly degrade the United States research u...📈🤖

Critical dynamics govern the evolution of political regimes
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05994
The emergence and decline of democratic systems worldwide raises fundamental questions about the dynamics of political change. Contrary to the idea of a stable endpoint of liberal democracy, recent ba...📈🤖

Stochastic Event Prediction via Temporal Motif Transitions
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05874
Networks of timestamped interactions arise across social, financial, and biological domains, where forecasting future events requires modeling both evolving topology and temporal ordering. Temporal lin...📈🤖

Operational Emergence of a Global Phase under Time-Dependent Coupling in Oscillator Networks
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05668
Collective synchronization is often summarized by a complex order parameter $R e^{i\Psi}$, implicitly treating the global phase $\Psi$ as a meaningful macroscopic coor...📈🤖

The DSA's Blind Spot: Algorithmic Audit of Advertising and Minor Profiling on TikTok
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05653
Adolescents spend an increasing amount of their time in digital environments where their still-developing cognitive capacities leave them unable to recognize or resist commerc...📈🤖

Mapping the long-term trajectories of political violence in Africa
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.06502
Existing models of political violence often emphasize discrete transitions, when conflicts emerge, escalate, or subside, without considering the longer trajectories of violence that accumulate ...📈🤖

Rethinking Thematic Evolution in Science Mapping: An Integrated Framework for Longitudinal Analysis
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.06436
Strategic diagrams and co-word analysis are widely employed to examine the conceptual structure of scientific domains and their development over time. Yet a str...📈🤖

Risk mapping novel respiratory pathogens with large-scale dynamic contact networks
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.06235
Background: Human-to-human transmission of pathogens fundamentally depends on interactions among infectious and susceptible individuals, yet traditional population-scale models ...📈🤖

Estimating the Containment Effectiveness and Economic Cost of Inner-city Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.06207
Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are crucial for controlling pandemics, but existing research often overlooks the heterogeneity of individual behav...📈🤖

The Architects of Narrative Evolution: Actor Interventions Across the SAGES Framework in Information Campaigns
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05802
Narratives in digital spaces are not merely organic phenomena. They are strategically shaped by a range of actors to influence public perception, beh...📈🤖

From Line Knowledge Digraphs to Sheaf Semantics: A Categorical Framework for Knowledge Graphs
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05685
This paper proposes a categorical framework for knowledge graphs linking combinatorial graph structure with topos-theoretic semantics. Knowledge graphs are represente...📈🤖

Shock Propagation and Macroeconomic Fluctuations
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05367
We study how idiosyncratic firm-level shocks generate aggregate volatility and tail risk when they propagate through a production network under overlapping adjustment: new productivity draws arrive before the ec...📈🤖

Capability Thresholds and Manufacturing Topology: How Embodied Intelligence Triggers Phase Transitions in Economic Geography
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.04457
The fundamental topology of manufacturing has not undergone a paradigm-level transformation since Henry Ford's moving assembly line in ...📈🤖

Threadle: A Memory-Efficient Network Storage and Query Engine for Large, Multilayer, and Mixed-mode Networks
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.04446
We present Threadle, an open-source, high-performance, and memory-efficient network storage and query engine written in C#. Designed for working with f...📈🤖

The effect of a toroidal opinion space on opinion bi-polarisation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05337
Many models of opinion dynamics include measures of distance between opinions. Such models are susceptible to boundary effects where the choice of the topology of the opinion space may influence...📈🤖

Wealth Tax Neutrality as Drift-Shift Symmetry: A Statistical Physics Formulation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05283
We reformulate the neutral wealth tax framework of Froeseth (2026) in the language of stochastic dynamics and statistical physics. Individual wealth under geometric Brownian motio...📈🤖

Extensions to the Wealth Tax Neutrality Framework
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05277
Froeseth (2026) shows that a proportional wealth tax on market values is neutral with respect to portfolio choice, Sharpe ratios, and equilibrium prices under CRRA preferences and geometric Brownian motion. Thi...📈🤖

Asset Returns, Portfolio Choice, and Proportional Wealth Taxation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05264
We analyse the effect of a proportional wealth tax on asset returns, portfolio choice, and asset pricing. The tax is levied annually on the market value of all holdings at a uniform rate. We sho...📈🤖

The role of spatial scales in assessing urban mobility models
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05227
Urban mobility models are essential tools for understanding and forecasting how people and goods move within cities, which is vital for transportation planning. The spatial scale at which urban mobi...📈🤖

Cognitive Warfare: Definition, Framework, and Case Study
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05222
Cognitive warfare has emerged as a central feature of modern conflict, yet it remains inconsistently defined and difficult to evaluate. Existing approaches often treat cognitive operations as a subset of...📈🤖

Approximate master equations for the spatial public goods game
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05001
The spatial public goods game has been used to examine factors that promote cooperation. Owing to the complexity of the dynamics of this game, previous studies on this model neglected analytical ap...📈🤖

When minor issues matter: symmetries, pluralism, and polarization in similarity-based opinion dynamics
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.04939
Polarization is a problem in modern society. Understanding how opinions evolve through social interactions is crucial for addressing conditions that lead to ...📈🤖