Truth Warrior 🇮🇱

904th - 1.5m pic of 27 Aug 2025 (left) and 20 Aug 2025 (right). There are around 50 of what I’m sure are tanks, but the section to the left there - might be tanks, or it might be something else.

Also, moral of the story is: don’t rely on low-res imagery.

3/3 Where they’ve come from exactly I do not know. Either back from the front lines, from bases, from Belarus/another friendly country or all the above.

I will try to keep UVZ under observation as best I can moving forward.

2/3 I’ve counted 300 tanks in total. My belief is they are T-62, T-72 and T-90. I can’t be sure if they’ve brought T-64 here. The tanks are mostly in decent shape overall, although they do require repairs, it seems. Some are in atrocious condition, likely only suitable for spare parts, if at all.

1/3 Alright, I'm now trying to keep an eye on UVZ - a BTRZ that's seemingly not been really looked at this war. 30cm pic of 12 Aug 2025.

2/2 Second, there are a multitude of alternative suppliers much closer to India. They can make do without Russian oil just fine - they’ll just have to pay a wee-bit more for it, is all.

1/2 Two points about India’s Russian oil imports.

First, this. You do the maths.

Sorry, people, 904th goes back to 'Likely decent' - Jompy has a higher-res pic of the 17th of August that we cannot share, but suffice it to say, it's good quality tanks, around 50 from what I saw.

You're welcome.

What I'm suggesting is that of the ~800 tanks (fewer now, I haven't counted), only one row seems 'decent'. Meaning the vast majority of the tanks is a write-off. Hope this clarifies it.

Quick Russian tank storage base and BTRZ status report 3.0

Junk and/or empty:
349th
2456th / 103rd
1311th
111th
2544th
22nd
6018th
Omsktransmash (visible hulls)
103rd BTRZ
904th

Mainly junk and/or possibly empty by now:
61st BTRZ
769th

Likely decent:
UVZ (visible hulls)

904th low-res imagery of 12 Aug 2025 (with cloud & shadow) vs 8 July 2025 + medium-res of 6 July 2025 for comparison. I am not seeing any tanks here anymore, and the base itself is looking quite a bit thinner than before.

Quick Russian tank storage base and BTRZ status report 2.0

Junk and/or empty:
349th
2456th / 103rd
1311th
111th
2544th
22nd
6018th
Omsktransmash (visible hulls)
103rd BTRZ

Mainly junk:
61st BTRZ
769th

Likely decent:
904th
UVZ (visible hulls)

Rubtsovskiy BTRZ 1.5m image of 28 Jul 2025. Looks like the BMPs are still there, little change vs GE of 23 May 2025.

What did Russian tank storage bases say when offered to join the Special Military Operation?

No tanks.

😂

769th 1.5m image of 16 July 2025. As of this date, there is seemingly one row of decent-ish looking T-62s left in the SW section. As I've previously speculated, by now (a month later) it's likely even they are gone. This one is a junker.

6018th 1.5m image of 4 Aug 2025. No tanks, likely junk BMPs, some trucks (as far as I can see). I'd say that this base is kaput.

On second thought, let's move 769th over to 'Mainly junk' for consistency.

No no, fair question. At a certain point, whether you're Russian or American, junk is junk - the metal so rusted the equipment cannot be derusted, coated and pushed into service. I believe we're at that point.

Quick Russian tank storage base and BTRZ status report (my personal assessment):

Junk and/or empty:
769th
349th
2456th / 103rd
1311th
111th
2544th
22nd
Omsktransmash (visible hulls)
103rd BTRZ

Mainly junk:
61st BTRZ

Likely decent:
904th
UVZ (visible hulls)

Unknown:
6018th (likely empty)

Omsktransmash 1.5m image of 10 July 2025. Not much change in the yards since May 2025. I consider the visible hulls at this BTRZ junk.

103rd BTRZ 50cm image of 31 July 2025. Not much left here and no replenishment. Jompy has ID'd T-62s, BRDM-2s and BTR-70s here.

7049th 50cm image of 24 Jul 2025. Approx 15 2S3s and 21 2S19s. I note that this is an artillery range and probably a school/training facility.

You're welcome, and thank you for the kind words.

We know for sure the Russian Soviet legacy stocks have declined severely BOTH quantitatively AND qualitatively. This is further substantiated by the decline in registered losses in recent months. One can thus infer that the 'viable' % is at the lower end, if that helps.

Heck, it's hard enough keeping up with where shit comes from and where it's going, or even what it is, as it is! These T-90s that have popped up like a fucking Jack In The Box at UVZ are giving me headaches!

To be honest, I'm wary of making estimates like lower end to higher end. Because it's speculative. We could say 30% of the withdrawn tanks are fully refurbishable, or it could be 40%, or 70%. How extensive are the repairs? Are they deployed to the war or stored? Too many variables.

This is on GE Pro - 19 July 2025.

In terms of what's available to deploy, I'd think moving forward they will be withdrawing what I've outlined in (1) veeeeeery cautiously.

And no, no evidence exists as to what's in the hangars. Re what % is spare parts vs fully refurbed - we can't know, sadly.

2/2 They’ve gone from ‘we want Kh, Z, L & D oblasts in exchange for a ceasefire’ to ‘we will settle for just D’.
While I certainly don’t think Ukraine should agree to this proposal, I do believe progress is being made. Certainly, this is a positive development?

1/2 I don’t normally like to comment on matters like negotiations (simply because nothing can really be verified and measured), but - assuming reports of Russia’s current proposal are true - I find it puzzling nobody is recognising that Russia’s ceasefire demands have come down a few notches.

Regarding UVZ, at this point, it's hard to tell with certainty what is happening with these tanks. We will need to wait and see what movement happens in the future.

I do believe their quality is quite poor, though, so I don't think they're ready to be sent off.