Thea Johansen

Abstract for the article: How does right-wing terrorism affect electoral support for populist radical right parties (PRRPs)? Recent research has produced contrary answers to this question. We argue that only high-intensity attacks, whose motives and targets mirror PRRPs’ nativist agenda, are likely to generate a media backlash that dampens electoral support for PRRPs. We test this argument by combining high-frequency survey and social media data with a natural and survey experimental design. We find that right-wing terror reduced support for the radical right party Alternative für Deutschland after one of the most intense nativist attacks in recent German history. An analysis of all ninety-eight fatal right-wing attacks in Germany between 1990 and 2020 supports our argument. Our findings contribute to an understanding of how political violence triggers partisan detachment and have important implications for media responsibility in the aftermath of terrorist attacks.

🚨 New article out!

“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social

👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...

We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.

Short summary thread below 👇

Very proud to have been a part of this project and to see my first co-authored article out in the world! Read @jacobnyrup.bsky.social excellent thread for more info on the data! 🥳

BJPolS abstract discussing the treatment of the Sámi and other minorities by governmental discrimination, the role of Truth and Reconciliation Commissions in Norway, and their historical and present effects on national reconciliation.

#OpenAccess from July 2025 -

How Does Public Opinion Respond to Government Injustices Against Historically Discriminated Minorities? Evidence from Norway - cup.org/4lRGSBG

- Helga Malmin Binningsbø, Karin Dyrstad & @finseraas.bsky.social

From the streets to the ballots: protests, polls and polarization in Hong Kong Social movement research indicates that protests can influence voting behaviour through several informational and psychological mechanisms. Yet, we know little about the individual variation in how...

I’m very happy to share that the first paper of my PhD, «From the streets to the ballots: Protests, polls and Polarization in Hong Kong» has been published online in @democratization.bsky.social

It is open access, and you can read it here:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

📊 New dataset and paper alert!
We’re proud to launch the Opposition Movements and Groups (OMG) Dataset, 1789–2019: a global dataset covering 1,452 mass mobilization movements. It was just published in Comparative Political Studies. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Below follows a 🧵

New paper alert 😄 ! Mauricio Rivera Celestino, Scott Gates and I have a paper out in the Journal of Conflict Resolution: lnkd.in/gzqYuTmN! The work began in 2017 as part of the Street-Level Autocrat project. Since then, children have been born, data collected, and now, the article is finally out:

Meninger: Professor Carl Henrik Knutsen: – Mer sannsynlig enn ikke at det amerikanske demokratiet vil overleve Trump Trump og hans støttespillere undergraver demokratiet, og det er en reell fare for demokratisk sammenbrudd. Det er likevel gode sjanser for at demokratiet overlever, men det krever mot-mobilisering.

Endelig fikk jeg skrevet ned kronikken som har tatt opp mye plass i hodet mitt de siste par ukene:

www.vg.no/nyheter/i/gw...

Can citizen action translate into incumbents changing their regimes from within? @chknutsen.bsky.social and I find that the answer is yes in our latest piece, “Citizen Action and Elite Responses: Opposition Mass Movements and Regime Change From Within”, now out in JCR: doi.org/10.1177/0022...

Hva kan vi vite om effekten av etablering av ungdomsklubb på Furuset?: Et svar til Tøge, Ulland og Andersen: Nordic Journal of Urban Studies: Vol 4, No 2 Idunn is Scandinavian University Press’ (Universitetsforlaget) digital publishing platform for academic journals and books.

For de som husker studien som fant at "[...] fritidsklubber [har ikke] noen direkte effekt på lokalmiljøet utenfor klubbens fire vegger" (doi.org/10.18261/nju...). @oyvindstiansen.bsky.social og Andreas Kokkvoll Tveit svarer på hvorfor dette er fullstendig feil konklusjon å dra fra studien. (1/n)

Charles Butcher (NTNU) presenting the LEGACIES project. Capturing the presence of pre-colonial states and their potential influence on post-colonial democratization.

Hello! I thought a list of women scholars in conflict and security studies could be helpful! Let me know if you want to be added/removed! go.bsky.app/Np3NivX

On the concept of representation

On the role of emotions in explaining how we think about politics, and vice versa

Making the case for a citizen’s perspective

@andreavik.bsky.social’s trial lecture🔥🔥Fantastic insights on how perspectives from political psychology can inform our understanding of the legitimacy of unelected representation. Amazing lecture by an amazing scholar

Congrats! 🎉🥳

For those interested in democratic backsliding - After a lot of hard work, I'm excited to share that the data visualizations for the Democratic Erosion Event Dataset are all now in order and Shiny apps up and running. We have a lot of exciting things in the pipeline. Stay tuned!

LEGACIES is also hiring a PhD candidate in CP/IR:

www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...

Super exciting project and a fantastic PI! You will also become a part of our research group @NTNU «Political Instability and Armed Conflict»

Application deadline: 17.03.2024

polisky conflictsky

Come join us in Trondheim! Two weeks left to apply for the postdoc position in the very cool (both people- and research-wise) LEGACIES project: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
#polisky #conflictsky

Postdoctoral Fellow in political science/international relations: LEGACIES project (257118) | NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology Job title: Postdoctoral Fellow in political science/international relations: LEGACIES project (257118), Employer: NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Deadline: Thursday, February 29, 2024

Vacancy for a postdoc on ERC-funded LEGACIES at NTNU: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...

More about LEGACIES and the project team: www.legacies-project.com

We are planning the first WhoGov Workshop to be held in Oslo on the 29-30th of August 2024. We welcome all research using WhoGov in some capacity and we have funding to cover travel expenses for participants.

Find the call for papers through the link or use the QR code: bit.ly/WhoGov_Workshop

During the past decade, analyses drawing on several democracy measures have shown a global trend of democratic retrenchment. While these democracy measures use radically different methodologies, most partially or fully rely on subjective judgments to produce estimates of the level of democracy within states. Such projects continuously grapple with balancing conceptual coverage with the potential for bias (Munck and Verkuilen 2002; Przeworski et al. 2000). Little and Meng (L&M) (2023) reintroduce this debate, arguing that “objective” measures of democracy show little evidence of recent global democratic backsliding.1 By extension, they posit that time-varying expert bias drives the appearance of democratic retrenchment in measures that incorporate expert judgments. In this article, we engage with (1) broader debates on democracy measurement and democratic backsliding, and (2) L&M’s specific data and conclusions.

Very happy to have worked on this PS article with @chknutsen.bsky.social, @acrowinghen.bsky.social, @medzihorsky.bsky.social, @danpemstein.bsky.social, @silindberg.bsky.social and four other colleagues! 1/6 doi.org/10.1017/S104...

polisky poldatasky openaccess

Nytter arbeidet til aktivister som fredsprisvinner Narges Mohammadi? Les kronikken.

Andre advent tenner vi et lys for håp. Da passer dagens kronikk av @mariannedahl.bsky.social, @haakongjerlw.bsky.social, og @chknutsen.bsky.social perfekt. ‘Iranske Narges Mohammadi er tildelt årets fredspris. Men nytter arbeidet til aktivister som Mohammadi?’ Ja, viser forskningen!

What happens when autocrats concede to protests? Our paper on state concessions and protest mobilization has an issue now!

with Sebastian Hellmeier in @cpsjournal.bsky.social

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Vern av demokratiet er ikke en popularitetsmåling Erna Solberg annonserte i en pressekonferanse mandag at hun fortsetter som Høyres leder og statsministerkandidat inn mot valget i 2025. Det er en avgjørelse som skaper en skummel presedens i norsk p...

– Høyre kunne mandag satt en ny standard for håndtering av alvorlige habilitetsbrudd i norsk politikk. Istedenfor blir det et nytt lavmål i det som må kunne kalles et politisk uår, skriver @theajohansen.bsky.social som er stipendiat ved ISS på NTNU.

Vern av demokratiet er ikke en popularitetsmåling Erna Solberg annonserte i en pressekonferanse mandag at hun fortsetter som Høyres leder og statsministerkandidat inn mot valget i 2025. Det er en avgjørelse som skaper en skummel presedens i norsk p...

Skal ikke alvorlige habilitetsbrudd få konsekvenser i norsk politikk? Jeg mener det er spesielt tre grunner til at Høyre burde konkludert annerledes i fortsatt støtte til Erna Solberg
www.tronderdebatt.no/vern-av-demo...

Det er også uforståelig for meg at man ikke ser ut til å ha vektlagt hvorvidt andre partier kan ha tillit til Høyre. Ønsker vi oss et politisk klima der partiene ikke kan stole på at overtramp hos regjeringspartier får konsekvenser?

Høyres sentralstyre sier at de tror velgerne vil ha tillit til Erna neste stortingsvalg, men norske velgere burde aldri bli satt i en posisjon der de må velge mellom hvem de tror vil levere politisk og hvem som har fulgt demokratiske spilleregler.

Sellanraa er bra på lunsj og god kaffe!

Anbefaler Jacobsen og Svart!

Mitigating the legacy of violence: Can flood relief improve people’s trust in government in confli... Climate change and violent conflict present two of the most substantial barriers to reaching the Sustainable Development Goals by 2030. Many of the co…

Happy to have a new paper out with the eminent Kristina Petrova! We explore the impact of disaster response on political trust in Pakistan and find that disaster relief can improve people’s evaluation of the government even in contexts of protracted violence. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

"Woman , Life , Freedom"
Sterk og viktig fredspris i dag til Narges Mohammadi for hennes kamp for kvinners rettigheter i Iran. Kan anbefale Ingrid Vik Bakken sin kronikk om protestene i Iran fra i fjor www.adressa.no/midtnorskdeb...

The Nobel Peace Prize 2023 The Nobel Peace Prize 2023 was awarded to Narges Mohammadi “for her fight against the oppression of women in Iran and her fight to promote human rights and freedom for all”

The Nobel Peace Prize awarded a true hero: Narges Mohammadi!

“Woman – Life – Freedom”

www.nobelprize.org/prizes/peace...